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The Battle for 7th


Giselle
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looking at the fixtures i can see us continuing to do well for another month or so, but then we run into a wall of pretty tough games and we'll probably sink down to our more natural position. said after the two tough opening fixtures that we had winnable games up until late october, when we come into 5 more difficult games in a row (three of them man utd, man city and chelsea). be interesting to see if we can capitalise on playing lesser sides and then how we stand up to a tougher challenge.

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looking at the fixtures i can see us continuing to do well for another month or so, but then we run into a wall of pretty tough games and we'll probably sink down to our more natural position. said after the two tough opening fixtures that we had winnable games up until late october, when we come into 5 more difficult games in a row (three of them man utd, man city and chelsea). be interesting to see if we can capitalise on playing lesser sides and then how we stand up to a tougher challenge.

 

I reckon 7 points from the next 4 games would equal a brilliant start. Wins against Blackburn & Wigan, and a draw at either Wolves or home to Spurs. Think we'll lose one though. Actually I think we should be looking at 10 points before we have that hard trio of games.

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You could be a fair few points ahead of us by the time we play you.

 

Does that mean you're expecting more shit performances against shit teams from your side? Or are you talking about the actual league table?

 

We've got an easy run coming up, which means we won't be able to make up a lot of points. Winning against Blackburn and drawing against Wolves - which would be a good two matches - would leave us with no points gained in this metric because we're expected to pick up 4 points.

 

This table needs to be looked at in conjunction with the actual league table. Some teams that have had seemingly good starts - like Villa - have only done so because of the easy set of fixtures that they've had. Villa will plummet down the season before long when they start playing their tougher fixtures because they haven't built up enough of a buffer. We're two points ahead of schedule, which is brilliant because when we play the away matches in Manchester, any point gained is bonus. We won't have to 'catch up' per se because we win, draw and lose the games we're supposed to. If it all goes to plan we end up with 58 points and 7th place. But for Villa, if they don't pick up points against teams that they're expected to lose to, they'll be fucked.

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havent read all of op, cos it looks too complicated. but is it like a golf par for 7th place?

 

Yeah.

 

Home win against a non-top 6 side = par for the hole (or game)

Away draw to non-top 6 side = par for the hole (the game)

 

Home win against top 6 side = eagle

Away win against top 6 side = double eagle/albatross

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You could be a fair few points ahead of us by the time we play you.

 

Does that mean you're expecting more shit performances against shit teams from your side? Or are you talking about the actual league table?

 

We've got an easy run coming up, which means we won't be able to make up a lot of points. Winning against Blackburn and drawing against Wolves - which would be a good two matches - would leave us with no points gained in this metric because we're expected to pick up 4 points.

 

This table needs to be looked at in conjunction with the actual league table. Some teams that have had seemingly good starts - like Villa - have only done so because of the easy set of fixtures that they've had. Villa will plummet down the season before long when they start playing their tougher fixtures because they haven't built up enough of a buffer. We're two points ahead of schedule, which is brilliant because when we play the away matches in Manchester, any point gained is bonus. We won't have to 'catch up' per se because we win, draw and lose the games we're supposed to. If it all goes to plan we end up with 58 points and 7th place. But for Villa, if they don't pick up points against teams that they're expected to lose to, they'll be fucked.

 

Oh I just meant in terms of us having hard fixtures coming up. Don't really have a game where we can say we 'expect' 3 points until deep into November.

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havent read all of op, cos it looks too complicated. but is it like a golf par for 7th place?

 

Yeah.

 

Home win against a non-top 6 side = par for the hole (or game)

Away draw to non-top 6 side = par for the hole (the game)

 

Home win against top 6 side = eagle

Away win against top 6 side = double eagle/albatross

 

:lol: superbly put :)

 

 

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If we are in late December, January time and are still in with a realistic shout then I'll get excited. We have made an excellent start to the season but it's still early days and one or two poor results could see us fall quite a few places.

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