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However, the FFP monitoring period is a moving target, so Newcastle are still subject to some restrictions and cannot spend limitless amounts. If we look at the calculation for 2022/23, this will drop the £41m profit from 2018/19, which gives them less room to manouevre.

 

I estimate that their maximum loss for this season to remain compliant is £63m, i.e. £10m lower than last year’s £73m. That will be a challenge, given that the club has not made any big money player sales, while the cost base will have increased for this season’s player acquisitions (and there will be a full-year impact of the January 2022 arrivals).


Plenty elsewhere in the analysis that provides encouragement that this will be achievable. But does put a bit of a slant on the Chris Wood transfer perhaps?

 

 

Edited by GeordieT

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4 minutes ago, TheBrownBottle said:

Expanding the Gallowgate isn’t likely to result in significant increases in income - and the problem we’re going to have is always going to be match day revenues. Even with 60k in the ground, we’d be taking a fraction that which Arsenal, Spurs etc do.  8k extra seats in the Gallowgate will only bring in c.£3-4m per season (barring cup games).  The relatively small population size combined with low average incomes stops the club from earning what others do.  Higher corporate seating revenues is where the money could be made from international money - corporate boxes etc.  Spending large sums on the executive areas once we’re reestablished at the top end of the table is where those match day revenues will come into play.  

 

This is where St James current layout hurts us.  We could really do with a couple rings of boxes around the ground.  Like Wembley, Arsenal & Tottenham.   Doing this without reducing the capacity of ruining what St James is would be very difficult.

 

 

Edited by KetsbaiaIsBald

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I don’t understand why we just don’t sell 2 of our best boxes for £30m per season to 2 of the super rich Saudi’s, gets round the PL’s fair value and related party’s shit as they have no say how much a club can sell tickets for. 

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3 minutes ago, TheBrownBottle said:

Expanding the Gallowgate isn’t likely to result in significant increases in income - and the problem we’re going to have is always going to be match day revenues. Even with 60k in the ground, we’d be taking a fraction that which Arsenal, Spurs etc do.  8k extra seats in the Gallowgate will only bring in c.£3-4m per season (barring cup games).  The relatively small population size combined with low average incomes stops the club from earning what others do.  Higher corporate seating revenues is where the money could be made from international money - corporate boxes etc.  Spending large sums on the executive areas once we’re reestablished at the top end of the table is where those match day revenues will come into play.  

This is why I think that their preferred option would be a new stadium, probably on Leazes Park.

 

Obviously there are a lot of hurdles to overcome there but you're right that corporate income is one area where we are miles behind and adding an extra 8k seats for Joe Public at £35 a pop isn't going to be a difference maker.

 

I reckon they'll look at these options, in order of preference; 

 

1. Expand SJP including substantial increase in corporate facilities 

2. New stadium, close to or on current site 

3. Expand SJP without substantial increase in corporate facilities 

4. New stadium away from current site 

5. Stick with what we have now

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3 minutes ago, KetsbaiaIsBald said:

 

This is where St James current layout hurts us.  We could really do with a couple rings of boxes around the ground.  Like Wembley, Arsenal & Tottenham.   Doing this without reducing the capacity of ruining what St James is would be very difficult.

 

 

 

The East Stand used to have them, of course.  This to me is why a demolition of the East Stand and Gallowgate would be the way forward if we have to stay at SJP - the best use of the narrow footprint of the East would be to redo it with some seating plus a shitload of corporate.  Then have some corporate in the Gallowgate but expand it to ensure you get the extra capacity.  It likely wouldn’t increase the ground to 60k, but it would maximise income. 
 

The better solution to me is a rebuild elsewhere so that you don’t have to compromise on revenues or income.  But I understand why that isn’t popular. 

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1 minute ago, TheBrownBottle said:

The East Stand used to have them, of course.  This to me is why a demolition of the East Stand and Gallowgate would be the way forward if we have to stay at SJP - the best use of the narrow footprint of the East would be to redo it with some seating plus a shitload of corporate.  Then have some corporate in the Gallowgate but expand it to ensure you get the extra capacity.  It likely wouldn’t increase the ground to 60k, but it would maximise income. 
 

The better solution to me is a rebuild elsewhere so that you don’t have to compromise on revenues or income.  But I understand why that isn’t popular. 

 

If money was no object I would:

 

1.  Build a 50k ikea stadium somewhere close that ends up being used for something else

2. Move there

3. Tear down St James and build a state or the art stadium on the current site.  I'm sure starting from scratch on that site you could have a 70k+ stadium.  

 

St James, as much as we love it, architecturally and design wise is about 5-10 projects iterating/improving on the last one.  I would still find this hard to take as I do love the uniqueness the build history has brought to the stadium.  

 

I never see this happening though.  I think we will see another iteration improving things a bit but not being game changing.

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5 minutes ago, KetsbaiaIsBald said:

 

If money was no object I would:

 

1.  Build a 50k ikea stadium somewhere close that ends up being used for something else

2. Move there

3. Tear down St James and build a state or the art stadium on the current site.  I'm sure starting from scratch on that site you could have a 70k+ stadium.  

 

St James, as much as we love it, architecturally and design wise is about 5-10 projects iterating/improving on the last one.  I would still find this hard to take as I do love the uniqueness the build history has brought to the stadium.  

 

I never see this happening though.  I think we will see another iteration improving things a bit but not being game changing.

I’ve said it before on here, but my first preference would be to approach the council re building on the bit of Leazes Park right next to SJP, with a guarantee that once the work is completed the current SJP will be demolished and a new park built on the spot - replete with boating lake etc.  Plus a significant investment in other renovations as required. 

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Just now, TheBrownBottle said:

I’ve said it before on here, but my first preference would be to approach the council re building on the bit of Leazes Park right next to SJP, with a guarantee that once the work is completed the current SJP will be demolished and a new park built on the spot - replete with boating lake etc.  Plus a significant investment in other renovations as required. 

 

I'd like that too.  After the last attempt I just presumed it was a no go. 

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13 minutes ago, nufcnick said:

I don’t understand why we just don’t sell 2 of our best boxes for £30m per season to 2 of the super rich Saudi’s, gets round the PL’s fair value and related party’s shit as they have no say how much a club can sell tickets for. 

 

It wouldn't, any transaction the club makes of £1m or more has to be approved by the PL. And before anyone says 'well just sell 30 at £999,999', the PL still have the ability within the rules to determine that they are related party transactions at above fair market value, being below £1m just means they don't have to be pre-approved.

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47 minutes ago, KetsbaiaIsBald said:

This summer is going to clear up what we can actually do financially.  It could be a huge sponsorship deal for shirt, training ground and stadium.  Or a premier league handcuffed marginal improvement.   If it's the latter next season could be incredibly hard for us.  Potentially balancing Europe with the league with a marginally better squad.  We could easily slip down to mid table.  Making the bigger deals hard to justify again.  The rules set up to maintain the greedy six's dominance are well thought out.  They are not stupid.  We see teams flirt with breaking into it for a year and then really struggle.  I do think/hope we're different but its not going to be easy.  

I know I am stating the obvious but CL qualification will play a huge part on Sponsorship deals and budget for players.  Huge few weeks.

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8 minutes ago, Jackie Broon said:

 

It wouldn't, any transaction the club makes of £1m or more has to be approved by the PL. And before anyone says 'well just sell 30 at £999,999', the PL still have the ability within the rules to determine that they are related party transactions at above fair market value, being below £1m just means they don't have to be pre-approved.

Only sponsorships have to be approved, the PL can’t say anything if the club wants to sell 40 seats at £1m per season 

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1 minute ago, nufcnick said:

Only sponsorships have to be approved, the PL can’t say anything if the club wants to sell 40 seats at £1m per season 

 

I don't think that's correct, having read the PLs rules any transaction a club makes can be determined to be a associated party transaction and above fair market value.

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35 minutes ago, Whitley mag said:

The fact we are even worried about FFP is a joke when you consider these figures are pre their January outlay.

 

 

Let is just hope they don't some how scrape into the CL.

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2 minutes ago, Geordie Ahmed said:

Are you referring to this season or next?

 

For next season a lot will depend on which manager they end up with

I guess he means wining the champions league and denying 4th place a spot. 

 

 

Edited by KetsbaiaIsBald

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1 minute ago, Geordie Ahmed said:

Are you referring to this season or next?

 

For next season a lot will depend on which manager they end up with

this season - they would have to win the CL to do it but as slim a chance as it is - it is still a chance.

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To try and find something positive after yesterday, this lot even pre-Ashworth seemingly knew their onions despite all the skepticism.

 

Their first choice managerial target is clearly unreal, and is doing at Villa what their second choice managerial target is doing here. He’s also clearly unreal, by the way, and I’m not sure Howe many of us were fully convinced of either at the time.

 

The leadership we’ve now got at the top of the club is hopefully what will bring a sustained period of being generally fucking class, perhaps better than we’ve ever been before in an era where it’s more difficult to do that than ever before.


Yesterday was horrible, but the trajectory we’ve been on since the takeover is unreal and it all stems from the consortium. It all stems from PCP, really. For all the snark about Staveley, the allegations of her being a fraud, she’s proving to be exactly the opposite. If the source of our money was somehow clean, if it ever could be, it would be the perfect takeover.

 

We looked doomed last year. We’re on the cusp of CL qualification this year, and have been to a cup final, it’s absolutely fucking mental :lol:.

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Just now, Rich said:

To try and find something positive after yesterday, this lot even pre-Ashworth seemingly knew their onions despite all the skepticism.

 

Their first choice managerial target is clearly unreal, and is doing at Villa what their second choice managerial target is doing here. He’s also clearly unreal, by the way, and I’m not sure Howe many of us were fully convinced of either at the time.

 

The leadership we’ve now got at the top of the club is hopefully what will bring a sustained period of being generally fucking class, perhaps better than we’ve ever been before in an era where it’s more difficult to do that than ever before.


Yesterday was horrible, but the trajectory we’ve been on since the takeover is unreal and it all stems from the consortium. It all stems from PCP, really. For all the snark about Staveley, the allegations of her being a fraud, she’s proving to be exactly the opposite. If the source of our money was somehow clean, if it ever could be, it would be the perfect takeover.

 

We looked doomed last year. We’re on the cusp of CL qualification this year, and have been to a cup final, it’s absolutely fucking mental :lol:.

 

They were also very humble & gracious in defeat. Contrast that to the whinging we'd had aimed at us over the last few games, it shows they are generally a class above those who reside in the league.

 

You just know that when something like this happens it redoubles their efforts to move forward and make it better. In 2 months time that will be in 2 or 3 star players. So cheers Villa for pointing out not everything is perfect. 

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Couldn't agree more, @Rich. I can understand anyone that might hesitate to label any owner as a legend or an icon or any other synonym like that - and I would feel uneasy deifying an owner in the same way we would with an actual 'football person,' because ultimately their top priorities isn't football. However, it would take a sudden and dramatic change to Staveley's competence and dedication for her to not achieve an historic status alongside certain other club greats, when all is said and done. Her commitment to this club since 2017 is unrivalled by any other individual, frankly. 

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Freeing us from Ashley and the first year and half or so under PCP’s guidance all stemmed from Amanda’s persistence. She’s a legend in her own right for that. 
 

What happens after is almost 2.0 for me, I’ll never ever not show nothing but admiration and respect to her for the last 18+ months. 
 

As for waking up today and thinking about yesterday, not bothered. We’ll pick it up and it’s clearly still in our hands. We need to go and do the job. 

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