Dancing Brave Posted April 30, 2022 Share Posted April 30, 2022 Odds to go down Watford 1/1000 Everton 8/11 Leeds 9/4 Burnley 7/2 Southampton 150/1 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sean Posted April 30, 2022 Share Posted April 30, 2022 2 hours ago, 54 said: As Man City are beating Leeds, if the result sticks any dropped points for Leeds, Everton or Burnley going forward means we'll be mathematically safe. Pretty sure this is completely incorrect like Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
midds Posted April 30, 2022 Share Posted April 30, 2022 538 have it as: Everton 60% Leeds 28% Burnley 12% Huuuuge game for Everton tomorrow, hope Chelsea don't have their flipflops on Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
54 Posted April 30, 2022 Share Posted April 30, 2022 2 minutes ago, Sean said: Pretty sure this is completely incorrect like I'm 5 down to be completely honest Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
gdm Posted April 30, 2022 Share Posted April 30, 2022 3 minutes ago, Sean said: Pretty sure this is completely incorrect like It is. Completely Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sean Posted April 30, 2022 Share Posted April 30, 2022 Just now, 54 said: I'm 5 down to be completely honest Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kid Icarus Posted April 30, 2022 Share Posted April 30, 2022 I have an unreasonable dislike for 538 like. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
HaydnNUFC Posted April 30, 2022 Share Posted April 30, 2022 Maximum points total Leeds and Burnley can get is 46, Everton can get 47. We're on 43. Can see Everton getting 9 or 10 points tbf. Burnley can probably get 7, Leeds could get 5. Could well go to the last day but between Leeds and Everton. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
DebuchyAndTheBeast Posted April 30, 2022 Share Posted April 30, 2022 On 26/04/2022 at 01:21, ponsaelius said: Yeah I seem to remember getting a bit of jip for even suggesting Burnley might get to 36. There is always a chance that teams down the bottom put runs together near the end of the season. There is every chance Burnley/Everton push each other and raise the threshold right up now. I am very glad we are well out of it with our last 4 games. Some people on here were saying that both Burnley and Everton wouldn't even reach the 35pts mark. Glad that we're already on 40+ points or we would've got dragged in the scrap given our remaining fixtures. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
ponsaelius Posted April 30, 2022 Share Posted April 30, 2022 (edited) 3 hours ago, Kid Icarus said: I have an unreasonable dislike for 538 like. It's interesting enough but it's not really any more useful or accurate a predictor than betting odds. In fact based on comparing them I've found the bookies to be a more reasonable assessment. We had a 78% chance of going down according to 538 in late December. I don't think our odds ever drifted that badly because punters and bookies would have factored in elements like the spending we would do in Jan - whereas from what I can see 538 appears to be blunt statistics based on fixtures. Edited April 30, 2022 by ponsaelius Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paullow Posted April 30, 2022 Share Posted April 30, 2022 10 minutes ago, ponsaelius said: It's interesting enough but it's not really any more useful or accurate a predictor than betting odds. In fact based on comparing them I've found the bookies to be a more reasonable assessment. We had a 78% chance of going down according to 538 in late December. I don't think our odds ever drifted that badly because punters and bookies would have factored in elements like the spending we would do in Jan - whereas from what I can see 538 appears to be blunt statistics based on fixtures. GWN posted these odds on Dec 28th just before the transfer window, so yeah, nothing like 78%: Norwich 1/6 Newcastle 9/11 Watford 28/29 Burnley 6/5 Leeds 3/1 Brentford 9/1 Palace 16/1 (No sign of Rafa's Everton at that stage...) By Jan 22nd, and after Leeds it was: Norwich 1/4 Watford 1/3 Burnley 8/15 Newcastle 13/8 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
maze Posted May 11, 2022 Share Posted May 11, 2022 FYI: We are mathematically safe if Leeds draw (max points then 42) or lose (max points then 40) to Chelsea tonight. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
PauloGeordio Posted May 11, 2022 Share Posted May 11, 2022 2 hours ago, maze said: FYI: We are mathematically safe if Leeds draw (max points then 42) or lose (max points then 40) to Chelsea tonight. summer transfer window is going to be a joy! Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miercoles Posted May 11, 2022 Share Posted May 11, 2022 Come the fuck on! I know we're "safe" already but I can't bring myself to relax until it's mathematically secure. Wishing this game was not against Chelsea tbh, they seem determined to lose at any cost these days. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jinky Jim Posted May 11, 2022 Share Posted May 11, 2022 1 hour ago, Miercoles said: Come the fuck on! I know we're "safe" already but I can't bring myself to relax until it's mathematically secure. Wishing this game was not against Chelsea tbh, they seem determined to lose at any cost these days. A draw would do….ends our relegation fears (I know)…..and gives Leeds chances of avoiding relegation a little boost Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheInfiniteOdyssey Posted May 11, 2022 Share Posted May 11, 2022 (edited) Southampton may get quite concerned if Leeds pick up something from tonight. Can see them getting tanked at home to Liverpool next week and wouldn’t be confident on them getting much from Leicester either. Leeds’ GD is just horrific though. Edited May 11, 2022 by TheInfiniteOdyssey Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jinky Jim Posted May 11, 2022 Share Posted May 11, 2022 2 minutes ago, TheInfiniteOdyssey said: Southampton may get quite concerned if Leeds pick up something from tonight. Can see them getting tanked at home to Liverpool next week and wouldn’t be confident on them getting much from Leicester either. Leeds’s GD is just horrific though. Don’t think Southampton or Leicester will get any points from that game….they are both utter shite atm. 🤪 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
bowlingcrofty Posted May 11, 2022 Share Posted May 11, 2022 0 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
nufcnick Posted May 11, 2022 Share Posted May 11, 2022 Well this thread can now be closed and never reopened Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scoot Posted May 11, 2022 Share Posted May 11, 2022 Yeah, hopefully we never ever see this thread again. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kid Icarus Posted May 11, 2022 Share Posted May 11, 2022 Down to a 3 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disco Posted May 11, 2022 Share Posted May 11, 2022 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Prophet Posted May 11, 2022 Share Posted May 11, 2022 Never in doubt. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lenny Posted May 11, 2022 Share Posted May 11, 2022 6 minutes ago, Scoot said: Yeah, hopefully we never ever see this thread again. No doubt some witty joker will bump this thread after we inevitably lose our first game of next season Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
PauloGeordio Posted May 11, 2022 Share Posted May 11, 2022 (edited) 11 minutes ago, nufcnick said: Well this thread can now be closed and never reopened Edited May 11, 2022 by PauloGeordio Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
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