Think it's just a case of realising that the squad at this time is pretty much mid-table quality.
Pretty potent attack, defence is a shadow of its former self. Therefore we'll drop a lot of points. We've won just about as many games as we've lost this season. Last season, we lost only 5.
We may yet make some kind of European competition, but as others have pointed out, this summer must be used wisely. Can't repeat all this next season, especially the injuries.