bovril

Playing 3-4-3 with Kabak/Rashica/Mclean down the side of Raphinha. We've gone very attacking and as a result I think Leeds will bombard us and lead to us picking up many a booking. Normann isn't great at 15/8 so had to combine. Kenny Mclean though at 10/1 looks outstanding value. It has also poured it down all morning here (now brightened up) so pitch will be very greasy and hence prone to mistakes/mis-timed tackles. 

10+ booking points each / Kabak to be carded @ 10/3

Normann to be carded / Raphinha assist @ 9/1

Mclean to be carded / Rodrigo 1+sot @ 15/1

Rashica and Aarons both to be carded @ 70/1

Kabak, Mclean, Normann all to be carded @ 110/1

Spoiler Alert: I'm actually a Norwich fan (stumbled upon this forum when searching for footie bet forums). 

Keep an eye out for Normann's price. He loves a tackle when staying on your feet would be better. He's actually a half-decent player with a good pass on him, but definitely great for yellow cards as well. Max Aarons is also underated in the pick-up-a-yellow-card stakes. Playing in a back three suits Hanley so less likely to pick up a card although we might change formations today due to Gibson's sending off. I'll update once team news is out shortly. 

Skybet have the £25 matched free bet in-play for the Villa vs West Ham game today (opt-in required).

Skipp & Shaw cards, Son 1+ sot, BTTS @ 33/1

Kane & Ronaldo 2+ sot each @ 6/1

On 28/10/2021 at 01:21, Wullie said:

Early heads up for the weekend, Romain Perraud doesn't pick up loads of cards but he will be in the unenviable role of "LB up against Sarr" this weekend and 15/2 with 365 is absolutely massive for anyone in that position. I think there's been 5 players booked already this season for bringing him down, in 9 games.

 

Bankes reffing too which is a bonus.

Perraud benched. There goes my free £5 bet. Walker-Peters playing instead. 

1 hour ago, Wullie said:

 

Already shortened to 5/1 which is bloody annoying as I wanted to have him in a double with my free fiver, have got the single on though.

Did exactly this earlier.

Stuck the free £5 bet on Ekong and Perraud @50/1

Origi 2+ shots on target & Minamino 1+ shot on target  @ 5/1

Some huge prices on cards for Preston vs Liverpool, e.g. Curtis Jones is 14/1

Hughes & C Jones both to be carded @ 100/1

Manchester City to score 2+ goals, 5+ Manchester City corners and 20+ West Ham booking pts @ 7/2

Soyuncu & Veltman both to be carded @ 22/1

Ramirez and Nolito both to score (was 18/1 [same price as 365]) now @ 33/1 

This is a value bet rather than one I think has a chance of coming in but can't reject that offer at small stakes. 

Another good day overall thanks to Salah and shots on target. Missed a big one sadly (needed any Liverpool player to get booked for £450) but we all have tales of 'just needed' and overall a decent weekend of profit.

Potential big one tonight with Marseille vs PSG at 7:45pm. 

Rashford, Ronaldo, Alexander-Arnold & Salah 1+ SoTeach, 3+ corners each team and 10+ booking points each team @ 18/1

Ronaldo & Salah 2+ shots on target each, 4+ corners each team and 20+ booking points each team @ 25/1

Salah to score anytime @3/1 (Sky super boost, Max bet £10).

Rodri / Cucurella / Trossard @ 200/1

Foden 2+sot & Jesus 1+ sot @ 5/1

Over 1.5 goals, 5+ Manchester City corners, 3+ Brighton corners and 10+ booking points each team @ 5/2

Veltman card, Grealish and Maupay 1+sot, Man City 4+corners @ 18/1

1 hour ago, Tisd09 said:

Missed the matched Bet offer from Sky, they don’t usually do that do they?

Started to do more and more £5 in-plays, obviously a money maker for them. This was the first £25 offer though, also nice how the free bet then has no expiry. 

Bookies love punters betting on acca’s as it’s a great source of profit margin for them (hence why they offer so many promos around them). I’d personally avoid doing any more than triples, unless it’s a 50p 20-fold type 1000-1 dream ticket for a bit of fun.

Craig Pawson is ref, far from ideal, has an average of under 3 cards a came. Think I’ll hold off on the cards until second half.

(Worth noting Skybet have a £25 matched bet in-play offer for the game - need to opt in)

Aubameyang 1+ sot @1/1

Both teams 2+ sot in each half @7/1

1 hour ago, bovril said:

[Man Utd vs Atalanta]

Predicting a barm stormer of a game with both sides attacking from the off:

 

Ronaldo & Muriel to score, 4+ corners each team and Wan-Bissaka & Luis Palomino to be carded @ 200/1

4+ corners each team & 20+ booking points each team @ 4/1

A goal in each half and 4+ corners in each half @ 2/1

Maguire 1+ headed shot on target @ 11/2

 

Chilwell / Fernandes / Sane anytime assists @44/1

 

 

 

Added to the below bet with Ronnnyyyyyyyy! Good night. 

Ronaldo to score a header and Shaw to be carded @ 22/1 (£5 free bet placed in-play first-half)

Ronaldo goal/YC on the cards again here! currently 76/1

[Man Utd vs Atalanta]

Predicting a barm stormer of a game with both sides attacking from the off:

Ronaldo & Muriel to score, 4+ corners each team and Wan-Bissaka & Luis Palomino to be carded @ 200/1

4+ corners each team & 20+ booking points each team @ 4/1

A goal in each half and 4+ corners in each half @ 2/1

Maguire 1+ headed shot on target @ 11/2

Chilwell / Fernandes / Sane anytime assists @44/1

2 minutes ago, Wullie said:

Renato Sanches appears to be starting up front for Lille vs Sevilla - 20/1 for 2 SOT

It will be Yilmaz and Jonathan David up top I imagine. Still, he likes a long range shot and share of set-pieces. 

Picked up the Salah 2sot sky boost @3/1 but nothing major tonight.

Mbappe & Reus assist double @ 16/1

Milner & Carrasco booked @ 20/1

Salah 2+ sot @3/1

Kondogbia card, Salah assist, Salah 2 SOT, 40/1 (copied Wullie's bet)

I didn’t have him but no idea how Gallagher escaped a booking there towards the end.

Prem refs clearly been told to go easy with the cards, atleast the ‘name’ refs. Still quite a few in the non-glamorous ties not on TV, e.g Norwich vs Brighton.

1 hour ago, gdm said:

Dunno what you’ve looked up but with betfair it’s 84/1 

Ah I initially read it as Gallagher 1+sot and Saka 2+sot, rather than 2+sot each. Mystery solved. 
 

Saka subbed at HT.

23 minutes ago, Nate said:

Gallagher, Ward & White card trixie - 70/1 treble B365

Gallagher & Saka 1+ SOT - 4/1 PP

Gallagher & Saka 2+ SOT - 74/1 PP

That looks fantastic value - what section did you find that? I've just looked at PP's bet builder for the same bet and it's priced up at 15.71/1?

Bukayo Saka & Emile Smith-Rowe to assist 1+ goal each @ 12/1

Saka & ESR 1+ sot each + 4+ Arsenal corners + both teams to be carded + Arsenal to win by 2 or more @ 7/1