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bovril

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Posts posted by bovril

  1. 3 minutes ago, The Prophet said:

    Will have a bit of Zinchenko at 8/1. Decebt ref in charge and Leipzig's right hand side rank well for fouls against. He was booked in the reverse fixture.

     

    Who is that with? seems massively long. Edit: Just seen, Skybet. He's around 4/1 most other places. 

  2. 3 minutes ago, The Prophet said:

    Mike Dean hasn't been the greatest this season, but I'll take Anthony Gordon at 7/1. 

     

     

     

    Like that. He'll be up against Saka and Tierney bombing forward. I've doubled him up with a rusty Xhaka at 22/1. 

  3. Early tip for tomorrow's game Sky have just put up:

     

    Ronaldo, Kane & Raphinha 2+ shots on target each (was 12/1) @ 18/1 

     

    That looks a cracking price for me. All three teams at home up against teams you would fancy them to beat. Definite value there. 

  4. 32 minutes ago, Optimistic Nut said:

    Almiron’s given away at least 3 fouls so far, 4/1 to be booked at Skybet. Guessing Bet365 that’ll be longer.

     

    Most stat websites have Almiron as 2 fouls rather than 3. Joelinton is on 3 and is a better bet for me. Currently 11/2 on 365 but I will wait for subs/price to increase to double digits before placing that bet. Usually look around the 70-75th minute mark.

  5. 11 hours ago, Optimistic Nut said:

    Objectively speaking but Norwich 3/1 tonight seems long.

     

    I'd agree with this. I make you favourites but not by that much given respective form of the teams and the tightening up of our defence under Dean Smith.

     

    Edit: Team news released

    - Rashica out for us (along with Normann) is a huge blow. Has been the biggest bright spark in our last two games.

    - Krafth, who I think is a liability for you, also dropped to the bench. 

     

    Going to be a long night for us (Norwich) I feel now.

  6. There is definitely a pattern from the leading referee's this year in the bigger games of letting a lot go in the first half and then clamping down on those same challenges in the second half to avoid sending off players. 

  7. We have so far proved to be much more solid under Dean Smith, giving away far less opportunities (comparing similar teams: Southampton and Wolves at home under Smith to Leeds and Watford at home under Farke). 

     

    However, we’ll almost certainly be missing Normann due to injury which is a blow. It’s a shame Wilson didn’t pick up a yellow to join Lascelles and Ritchie on the suspension bench. ASM seems to be a lot better in home matches as well. 
     

    I’d definitely take a point from a Norwich perspective but feel more optimistic now then under Farke.

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