

GG
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Everything posted by GG
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Oh fuck, yeah. Dunno how much to back it with. Peterborough +1.5 would do it, actually, right?
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Anyone know how I can lay this on Betfair right now? Peterborough to score next? Doesn't cover the case where Southampton win 3-2 and score next. Laying Southampton -1.5 and -2 Asian Handicap? Would that work?
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Anyone know how I can lay this on Betfair right now?
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25 on Southampton -1
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Initial £10, usually.
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£5 on Chelsea to win both halves.
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Deportivo Tachira beating Cruz Azul. Nice finish, they've been the better side by far so far.
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Stuck an unexpected 20 freebet on this as a double. Returns 48.33 (SNR).
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Yep, wipes out the liability owed by laying on Lanus. Who cares about maths when I have gambling... right?
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supposed to be revising for a probability exam right now. How it works, odds of 3/4, 1/2, 1/3 (3/4 + 1) * (1+ 1/2) + (1 * 1/3) = return. Either way. It's not difficult calculation. 7/4 * 3/2 * 4/3 = 84/24 = 7/2. (but the actual odds are 7/2 - 1 = 5/2)
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Those are the odds, but don't calculate the return. If you want the overall return (but displayed fractionally), add 1, so in the previous case you'd have 109/32. Sure that's right? Picked two random odds on a betting site, 4/11 and 16/5. According to your method a £1 double should return £2.16 (4/11 x 16/5 = 64/55. 64/55 + 1 = 119/55 = 2.163), but the site reckons it'd return £5.73. Yeah, I'm talking bollocks. I'll work out how it should work.
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Oh, it's 3-0. So now it means that my freebet is closer to being vindicated. (got 6/4 on it, SNR)
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Yeah, I'm watching it. Stuck £20 freebet on over 3.5 goals on this one - to make the 'worst case scenario' more palatable.
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Those are the odds, but don't calculate the return. If you want the overall return (but displayed fractionally), add 1, so in the previous case you'd have 109/32.
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Seriously, how is this easier than saying '2.35' or whatever? I just don't get it, especially if you're making accumulators; "11/8 times 7/4, yeah that'll be..". 77/32... - do they not do maths in Sweden?
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Sign up with everyone and they give you one.
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£10 on Sepahan, Austria Lustenau, Bayern, Brentford, Lanus. Returns 103.60. Layed 23 on Lanus at 1.85 after the first four came off, covering my back.
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spunked away a small free bet on over 3.5 goals @ 6/4 on this game tonight.
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Wasting free bets man. No point.
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Plus he'd be coming up against Danny Graham, who's quite slow anyway. And former team mates so should know what to expect. Two month period where they were together, where Graham had just moved across and was nowhere near the form/level he is now. Wouldn't say that'd count for much, really.
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Now to try and methodically win another 200 from this.
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I did a bit of matched betting in-play, but got completely fucked over the other day, found a reasonable arbitrage bet which was voided on one side due to 'palpable error'. Wiped out all the profits I'd made from it in an instant. Don't do it unless you're sure about what you're doing and I'd personally not recommend doing it in-play.
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25 (freebet) on Orlando Pirates, Lech Poznan, Sparta Prague, Sheffield United. Returns 154.29.
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You have to go back to 2004 to get a home West Ham midweek win, I think. (or maybe just a midweek win)
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