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cp40

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Everything posted by cp40

  1. urggh, fat cunt- turns over. edit- ^ dave
  2. cp40

    Steve McClaren

    absolutely this is the problem, the players run out on the pitch just to get away from him, not to play for him.
  3. cp40

    Relegationometer

    People not understanding the number in this thread has been a pet hate of mine for seasons now. 6 means people think we are 60% likely to go down, that's not very confident. You can get 2.25-2.32 from the bookies that we go down. The 7-10 camp should put all their savings on that and print money. I'm at a 7. So apparently, I think there is a 70% chance we'll go down. According to you, I should go and put thousands of pounds on us getting relegated at around 5/4. How is the terrible tipping line business? You winning much? I'll keep my money in the bank, cheers. Ooh, look at Richie Rich here. To be honest I don't know how much money you have in the bank but it's poor form to openly brag about it. 5/4 needs about 45% probability, that's terrible value for you with your 70% expectancy? Guaranteed to be the bet of your life, no matter the outcome. For the other questions, I don't have a tipping line business or bet much outside some major events. You win some and you lose some. I hope you don't bet much. (Hope I'm not getting whooshed, your post was so tragic that I wouldn't know what to bet on at 5/4.) I don't have a huge problem with the rest of what you've put. But this printing money thing, is absurd? How is it printing money, when it could quite clearly lose and there is a fairly substantial risk involved? It's not like it's a bet to lay and you're making 2-3 points in the process. That's printing money. As for a punt on a losing 1/5 shot, still being a good bet. I beg to differ. IMO, betting is about value, as much as anything. I would rather stake small, on better odds. I'm rarely tempted by a single bet on one lower than evens. I suppose it depends what type of punter you are? The best bet I have had, was a £1 reverse forecast in the 100 Guineas. 20/1, beating a 16/1. Returned about £250 odd. I've been burnt plenty of times, betting big on shorter priced favs. I haven't immediately thought afterwards "oh well. In my head, I fancied that to win. So it's a good bet." If you follow tipping and naps tables, where a £1 level stakes is used. Then the favourite often yields a lot of wins, but with a low or minus profit. Obviously, I'm not saying you'll always bet on the fav. But it just shows that betting on short priced things, that you think will win, isn't exactly a system that will win you lots of money. It's not an exact science and there are to many variables, to break it down as simply as you have. I don't call fancying something to win at short odds, then watching it get turned over and losing, a good bet. But maybe that's just me? Anyway. Back on topic. I'm at a 7 (70%) and we are s*** at football and I think, we will most probably go down. jeesus
  4. cp40

    Relegationometer

    just done that and got almost the same table- being as pessimistic as I thought i could- had us above wba as well. had us beating bournemouth, norwich ,villa,palace, swansea , and losing all the rest.
  5. cp40

    Sunderland

    Quite glad that she bought that up. What an awful defence he cannot undo some jeans with his hand in a cast, but he can drive all the way to meet her one-handed heard a few bits on radio today, reminds me of this.
  6. cp40

    Relegationometer

    People not understanding the number in this thread has been a pet hate of mine for seasons now. 6 means people think we are 60% likely to go down, that's not very confident. You can get 2.25-2.32 from the bookies that we go down. The 7-10 camp should put all their savings on that and print money. Fuck sake. For the last fucking time. My relegation detector works like a fucking earthquake measuring device. It fluctuates with the shit that goes on at the club. Right now the needle is on a fucking 9. The relegation fault line is gaping...Also the relegatonometer is not a real thing. cP40 made it up. Do you think owners, chairmen and magaers have an app on there phone, cos if they Ashley's would be on a fucking 9. I put about a 1 out of 10 thought into the rating syatem as well- so that needs factored in
  7. cp40

    Relegationometer

    I dont think the definition of bi-polar is shit/slightly less shit tho.
  8. cp40

    Steve McClaren

    If bournemouth get a result before they play us and we dont beat them we are so fucked.
  9. cp40

    Relegationometer

    I had a look at our up coming fixtures and thought Bournemouth was huge, then I had a look at their 3 fixtures before that game and decided we're done.
  10. Fatty has been dealing with things a little differently this season and after spending circa £80m on players this season and if rumours are to be believed, without relegation clauses included, you'd have to imagine that fat arse will be twitching right now. We all know FMA's propensity to royally fuck things up though and back his subservient employees to the hilt, but how far does that loyalty stretch when there's so much money at stake this season? It could go either way, I'm hoping he does the right thing when this is clearly not getting any better and time is quickly running out but I'm not convinced he's got it in him to make a sensible decision. I think if we lose the next game he might sack him, no real idea why, just a random feeling/hope. The worst decision he could make, other than keeping him! Do it now and we've got 18 days to sort something out, don't do it after the next game when it's one game less with less time to sort the fucking team out. We're run by a bunch of clowns man! Bang on, do it now and give the new utter idiot whos completely unsuited to it a chance to look at the team Honestly why is it so hard for them to just appoint a decent manager. Only NUFC can hire a manager that's so shit he doesn't even give you a bounce. But yeah, we totally need to give the next unsuitable manager time to find new ways of making us lose. if we get a bounce, it will be like throwing a hard rubber ball at a wall, bounce fucking hard into your eye.
  11. cp40

    Steve McClaren

    McClarens shitness is around -3 to 4 league places imo.
  12. cp40

    Sunderland

    Love their nonces them mackems
  13. cp40

    Steve McClaren

    P38 W8 D7 L23 F36 A70 GD-34 Pts31 terrible better than I thought tho
  14. cp40

    Steve McClaren

    what happend when he turned around and fucked off today after the first goal?
  15. cp40

    Steve McClaren

    anybody know our current 38 game total? (obvs not all his blame)
  16. cp40

    Steve McClaren

    I dont think the players listen to him or are interested or motivated by what he says, complete waste of time.
  17. as it stands if we can beat chelsea 8-0 we can catch swansea
  18. cp40

    Relegationometer

    pretty sure sunderland will beat us in the derby due to McClaren being shit. so things are headed for a shitty tight end to the season, no more than Ashley deserves tho.
  19. think swansea bournemouth wba are more realistic concerns.
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