bovril

Mctominay & Klich @ 16/1 365

Betting Village hit a false 347/1 double double with 365 yesterday. I wonder how many people got the money before they realised Sissoko wasn't actually booked. Another error by 365.

Saka assist / Xhaka card @ 17/1 betfair

R Henry & B Williams @ 29/1 Bet 365 (up against Saka and Salah respectively)

Rico Henry is 13/2 on Bet 365 (9/5 on betfair)

4 minutes ago, Alberto2005 said:

on 365 is it possible to see which free bets you have? Other than just seeing when you make a selection.

Click on your account > messages > inbox. It will detail all the offers that you have/had. They use an algorithm to offer the promotions to targeted accounts, hence why not everyone will see the same/receive different amounts for their free bets at times.

De Vrij & Brozovic (cards) @ 25/1 365

Mane & Lewandowski (assists) @ 20/1 betfair

Nothing stands out pre-match, will watch to see how game develops.

Trossard/Bruno/Ronaldo @ 250/1 (all three can get wound up - so with poor odds elsewhere, at least you get a bit of value with this)

Neves card & Son assist @ 14/1 Betfair

Cash & Joelinton @ 18/1 365

9 minutes ago, Wullie said:

Lewis O'Brien is one of those players where the price is wrong and stays wrong for ages. Booked in 3 of the last 4 and 7/29 this season, 365 still have him 11/2, compared with Betfair's 8/5.

Yes, I've been on him a few times as well. Also in the Championship, Willock (QPR) can be had for around 4/1 on Betfair for an anytime assist today away to a very-much bottom and woeful side in Barnsley. 

O'Brien & Berge @ 45/1 

C Willock anytime assist @ 4/1  

A couple of freebies on offer today:

Ronaldo 1+ sot @ evens skybet (max £10 bet)

£5 free bet on Premier League 365

2 hours ago, bovril said:

Jota to score a header @ 15/2 Skybet

Xhaka & Neves @ 12/1 Betfair

Fabinho & Jones & Maddison @ 225/1 365

Diaz assist & Amartey carded @ 20/1 Betfair

landed

Jota to score a header @ 15/2 Skybet

Xhaka & Neves @ 12/1 Betfair

Fabinho & Jones & Maddison @ 225/1 365

Diaz assist & Amartey carded @ 20/1 Betfair

7 minutes ago, gdm said:

Picked Shelvey and Gomes to be carded but didn’t bet it as price was shit

Had similar thoughts, so ended up plucking for Holgate & Willock @ 25/1. 

Cleverely & Kucka @ 25/1

Cleverely & Kucka & Sissoko @ 170/1

Shaw & Brownhill @ 18/1

Garner & Tielemens both carded @ 20/1 

S Cook card & Maddison assist @ 17/1

Chelsea vs Plymouth

J Edwards & J Wilson cards @ 45/1

Kidderminster vs West Ham

Both teams to receive a card @ 11/8

Hopefully using that 2nd bet to pay for a free punt on the long odds on the Chelsea game.

2 hours ago, bovril said:

Not starting just as a heads up.

 

Stevenson & T Moore @ 18/1 in the Hibs/Hearts derby. 

 

Guendouzi / Payet / Caqueret @ 55/1 in the Lyon/Marseille game.

 

 

 

Thanks all. Always nice when you land a 18/1 shot in the first 10mins!

5 hours ago, Wullie said:

Yeah the odds are really shit. I'm just doing small stakes doubles and trebles on that. Will have a few Lucky 15 card pairings across the games as well.

 

One price I've spotted that looks interesting is Scott Tanser of St Mirren. Doesn't look to have picked up loads over his career which might be why the price is so long but he's 5/1 with 365 and a huge 17/2 with Betfair - he's been booked in 5 of the last 7 games.

Not starting just as a heads up.

Stevenson & T Moore @ 18/1 in the Hibs/Hearts derby. 

Guendouzi / Payet / Caqueret @ 55/1 in the Lyon/Marseille game.

Doughty & Drameh @ 28/1 

Both have low average ratings on sofascore playing as wide fullbacks up against B Johnson and Max Low who are decent operators on the wing. Will then monitor match and add in a couple of names around the 75th-80th minute mark depending if the game has anything riding on it. 

Thought process for card betting:

1. Pick out games that are more likely to generate cards, e.g. a match between two evenly placed teams fighting for relegation (Norwich vs Watford) or a likely high-tempo game (Leeds vs Villa). Avoid teams that can control matches, e.g. Man City, who are very good at taking the sting out of games in the second half. 

2. Place a double card bet pre-match based on players that either are known to get easily triggered, e.g. Zaha/Xhaka/Mings etc. or up against a known foul creator like Saka/Raphinia/Sarr etc.

3. Watch the match first half to see how the game plays out. This is especially important in the Premier League this season with referees seemingly instructed to let a lot go in the first half and then start booking in the 2nd. 

4. Look for players that have been getting frustrated for whatever reason, e.g. a striker dropping deep as not getting service, a midfielder losing the ball often, a defender constantly getting beaten. Tyrese Campbell a good example of this for Stoke the other day before he got booked for a nothing moment with Nicholls. 

5. Monitor odds between 75th-80th minute mark, crucially wait for first two subs to pass, then go for attractive odds (anything 20/1+) on players depending on what you have noticed in Step 4/context of the game. 

I believe the bookies price up some players massively wrong between the 75th-80th in both directions (some are way too short, let's say Xhaka could be 3/1 with only 10mins left, and someone like Aubamenyang could be 30/1). You only have to hit Auba once a season at those odds, whereas Xhaka you need him 1 in 4 games. 

Hope the above helps or adds extra info. Monitoring the game in-play is the biggest advantage you can gain rather than any pre-match stats for players/refs for me. Knowledge on players mindset also key. 

1 minute ago, jack j said:

Haha how the fucks ge got booked when it went 1-1 last I seen

Kept hold of the ball in the net whilst Campbell tried to wrestle it off him. Real-time you saw the ref reach near his pocket whilst the Sky

cameras cut to a replay of the goal - was a nervous wait!

8 minutes ago, Alberto2005 said:

Was 14/1 5 mins ago, just gone down to 10/1.

GK’s odds will usually shorten if the team has a narrow lead. All other outfield players will lengthen.

I usually wait for 80mins, then see who is available at 20/1+. A subbed on offensive player for the current winning team normally has instructions to press and harry and break the flow up with fouls. They usually come with decent odds as well. Case in point Danny Ings for Villa last weekend. Aubamenyang used to be good for this too. 

Yep, thanks @Wullie for highlighting his record. Nice one to land that.

1 hour ago, Wullie said:

Huddersfield's second most booked player this season is the keeper Nicholls, who has been booked 5 times, and I think they've all been for time-wasting. Definitely one to look at if they take the lead. Starting price is 12/1 with 365.

 

Trebles with 365:

 

Thomas/Harwood-Bellis/Hogg 95/1

Tymon/Wilmot/O'Brien 75/1

 

Copied the two doubles with Baker on Betfair too.

Nicholls currently 14/1 at HT with Huddersfield 1-0 up.

No idea how Koroma is still on the pitch let alone not even in the book 

1 hour ago, bovril said:

Saka / Maddison / Trent all to assist @ 45/1 Betfair

W Hughes & Fabinho carded @ 14/1 365

J Ward & C Jones carded @ 40/1 365

Need a Fabinho card again.