Pata

Roma-Leverkusen

Has been a massive flop.

There’s still a home team in every derby.

Sad that I would have no faith in PL VAR to overturn that due to a hand touching Lautaro at some point or something.

Was his brother Lucas.

Three wins after losing to Villa.

There's nothing wrong with our form either, 8-0-2 in last 10 and only behind Man City who have been perfect. Liverpool are 6-2-2 during that span.

Had no idea cuba was actually Steve Bruce.

You can still over triple your money if you think Liverpool win all their remaining games, in other words it's less than 30% chance. Decent for something that most seem to think is already written in stone.

We just handled the (higher) pressure of a relegation fight brilliantly a year ago under Howe and I haven't seen any signs pointing towards bottling this one either.

Yet Liverpool have those remaining 9 points in the bag already.

You honestly think bookies or professional bettors don't factor all that to their calculations?

That's why fivethirtyeight or anybody else only gave them extremely unlikely chance of 4-6% or whatever it was. After they fucked up those few percents move to us, Man Utd and Liverpool.

Yet Liverpool will easily win any game they have left? I'm honestly shocked how poor people are with probabilities, KI is a smart guy too.

Huge exaggeration means it's an opportunity to make money regardless of the end result.

I'm sure our % was higher before any games were played this weekend. Doesn't mean Brighton losing wasn't good for everyone else in the hunt for top 4.

You have an opportunity to make money if you really believe it's so badly wrong. We're 1.13 (or 88.5%) right now on Betfair's exchange to make top 4.

Of course betting odds are more accurate and I'm sure they moved a bit too when Everton were scoring for fun today.

The problem is that he had already played the pass. It was a massive exaggeration and it's not a non-contact sport. I tend to agree that 'foul' like that isn't worth 0.8xG.

ASM in league games: 22/23: 21 appearances so far 21/22: 35 appearances 20/21: 25 appearances 19/20: 26 appearances 18/19: 34 appearances 17/18: 31 appearances 16/17: 34 appearances He'll likely hit your non-crock limit of 25 appearances even this season in the league.

They don't do probabilities in UK schools? Seems pretty logical to me that our likelihood of top 4 is upped a bit when one team with a small chance gets eliminated?

Inside 3 minutes you are saying we need to get rid of ASM due to his fitness and go buy Kieran Tierney.

March.

Replacing ASM with someone like Harrison isn't something a CL club should do. Not that convinced about Barnes either tbh.