Pata

Of course it swings when there are only few games left. Liverpool were about 60% favourites today, now the model can disregard those 4 times out of 10 when Liverpool dropped points.

Flat earthers are certain earth is flat.

I fucking hate maths but I'm like Einstein here. I'm worrying about the UK school system.

Something happening doesn't mean it was likely to happen. But yeah, I'm done with this conversation for now.

I think our home record is strong too and our away game is against the most beach team ever in Chelsea.

Bookies give us 75-80% and fivethirtyeight 81%. People also completely disregard the chance of us and Liverpool getting top4. Man Utd is just as likely as us to miss out.

Eh? They had won like every third game until that point but somehow a 9 game winning streak was likely?

Whatever man.

They only played against top 6 in those first 28 games?

Liverpool winning their final 9 in a row was like 5-10% chance at best, that's never likely.

Sorry, no it wasn't.

No, it isn't 50/50.

I mean they had gone something like 10-8-9 at that point, even if it happens doesn't mean it was likely at all.

We won't score a lot against this Leicester side at home?

Evans got the ball.

No, that's not how offside rule works.

ffs

Evans' backheel was lower than Jones.

I would start Isak and ASM, they are much better players than the ones who scored five on the counter for Everton. Need a big game from Willock and whoever is on the right too.

That’s what I would probably do but there’s a risk that it takes the crowd out of it and the anxious sighs would have a negative reaction.

Tactical battle between Howe and De Zerbi will be really interesting. Looking at results, Brighton seems to struggle against low block (Everton, Forest, Man Utd twice) but are brilliant when there's more space to exploit. Howe has trusted our own style in pretty much every match and it will be interesting to see if he's more conservative in this one considering Brighton's style. Toning down the press and sitting lower seems to make sense but I'm not sure if Howe is too proud (not a dig at all, I'm also proud of it) to change our style against anyone at home. They also battered us at Amex and we were really lucky to walk away with a point, IIRC it was still Potter but it's still relevant.

I'm almost certain that Chelsea will sign Osimhen in the summer, perfect fit. Very likely that Kane will end up at Man Utd too.

Of course false positions exist after 36 games, Pardew's 5th place and Bruce's midtable season are perfect examples. I would say Brighton are pretty much on the same level as us for now, but that probably won't be the case in near future due to the difference in spending power.

Martinelli would have been thrown out for that in the fucking NHL playoffs but doesn't get a booking.

Risk of ASM starting, would make the Brighton game a complete write off.