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Everything posted by Kid Icarus
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The Europeometer™ (2024/25) - NUFC Qualify for Champions League
Kid Icarus replied to Rich's topic in Football
Yes it does, but I'll bow out. The Scandinavian reddit maths nonces are out in force and I cba -
The Europeometer™ (2024/25) - NUFC Qualify for Champions League
Kid Icarus replied to Rich's topic in Football
No it's not. Those 4 could be much better teams and you can be out of form, have injuries etc. You can flatten out the creases in football and talk about it in terms of your chosen factors, or probability, it's a minefield. -
The Europeometer™ (2024/25) - NUFC Qualify for Champions League
Kid Icarus replied to Rich's topic in Football
No, because football is nothing like flipping coins. -
The Europeometer™ (2024/25) - NUFC Qualify for Champions League
Kid Icarus replied to Rich's topic in Football
It's nothing to do with our previous results in terms of maths and probability, it's to do with how often it actually happens in reality. It's extremely rare because football is so chaotic and over a long enough timeline it'll churn out 'unlikely' individual results regardless of form, confidence, strength of opposition etc. You don't even need to know the maths, just look at how many times 9 wins on the bounce has actually happened in 32 years. -
The Europeometer™ (2024/25) - NUFC Qualify for Champions League
Kid Icarus replied to Rich's topic in Football
Or to phrase it another way, 9 wins in a row is obviously now more likely having won 5 already, but these upcoming 4 games are now more likely to include draws and losses based purely on how rare a 9 game winning streak is. -
The Europeometer™ (2024/25) - NUFC Qualify for Champions League
Kid Icarus replied to Rich's topic in Football
It's not that it's less likely than before we went on this run, it's that these 4 are less likely to win as part of an extended run of 9 wins than they would have been as their own 4 game winning streaks if we'd drawn or lost against Spurs. -
The Europeometer™ (2024/25) - NUFC Qualify for Champions League
Kid Icarus replied to Rich's topic in Football
FWIW 9 or more consecutive wins in the Premier League has happened 9 times (Man City x2, Man United x2, Liverpool x2, Arsenal, Chelsea, Spurs) across 32 years and 50 odd clubs. If we do it, it would be a historical achievement for our club. It's very rare. -
The Europeometer™ (2024/25) - NUFC Qualify for Champions League
Kid Icarus replied to Rich's topic in Football
The history of winning that many games in a row actually happening. The last time we did it was 32 years ago and we brought out a video. We've never done it in the Premier League. -
The Europeometer™ (2024/25) - NUFC Qualify for Champions League
Kid Icarus replied to Rich's topic in Football
It's obviously tight, but being 5 points off 2nd is fantastic like. Makes Brighton, Everton and West Ham even more frustrating but I'm chuffed we seem to have really turned a corner. -
It's not that hard like Rod. He's basically what Beckham would be if no one played 442 anymore and he had to be shoe-horned in at right back instead.
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Robertson's used to getting away with being a snide, dirty cunt, that's why.
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Yakubu? Everton, Boro, Portsmouth
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He's insufferable like Incredible how bad TAA has been.
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Shoulders need to be taken notice of now in the same way elbows are, it's getting daft. That's a red and he knew what he was doing just as VVD did against Gordon.
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Neville back in his box. Not that it'll stop him making the talking point of the entire weekend about Man United's green shoots of improvement like.
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100% pen. Couldn't be any more of a handball
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TAA rolling back the years with this defensive display.
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They have been, yet somehow still win. They were godawful in 22/23.
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The Europeometer™ (2024/25) - NUFC Qualify for Champions League
Kid Icarus replied to Rich's topic in Football
Yusssss ✊️ -
He won motm didn't he? brilliant until then. ipswich committing suicide here like, very naive.
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Soft, but it's a pen.
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Wilson should still be getting booked like.
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The Europeometer™ (2024/25) - NUFC Qualify for Champions League
Kid Icarus replied to Rich's topic in Football
Nice to see that you believe it's possible now.