Newcastle United have around a 6.7% chance of winning Carling Cup - discuss

[Guest RowanB]

We are currently fourth favourites to win the Carling Cup 2010/2011!! Betfair punters have us as a 15.0 shot, implying we have a 6.7% chance of winning our first major trophy since 1969. I'll take that!

 

COME ON.

 

 

[Guest johnson293]

We'll probably be drawn away at Man Utd next round!

 

Just gonna take each game as it comes in the comp, and hope for the best to be honest!

[Guest ObiChrisKenobi]

I'm... becoming.... DELUDED! [/thunder and lightning]

[adam1]

[thomas]

Your pole doesn't make sense.

 

Also voting our probability somewhere between 0 and turd. 

[OzzieMandias]

Change the fucking deluded thread title right now.

[broonalegeordie]

lets not get carried away!!

although if we avoid man utd and arsenal we have a good chance!

[Robster]

Change the fucking deluded thread title right now.

Aye. Going to look laughable for any guest fans of other teams browsing the board  :-[

[Guest RowanB]

Your pole doesn't make sense.

 

Also voting our probability somewhere between 0 and turd. 

 

The poll DOES make sense. How does this thread imply any kind of delusion? We are fourth favourites to win the tournament at odds of 15.0. That implies a 6.7% chance. Money talks. Why do you think people are trading at that price? If you're so confident we're not going to win, just lay the 15.0 on offer at Betfair.

[Disco]

...and the worst thread of the year award goes to this chump.

[Guest RowanB]

...and the worst thread of the year award goes to this chump.

 

FFS. Don't take it so seriously. Anyone that views this with a modicum of intelligence, will realise it's a probability related poll.

[OzzieMandias]

...and the worst thread of the year award goes to this chump.

 

FFS. Don't take it so seriously. Anyone that views this with a modicum of intelligence, will realise it's a probability related poll.

 

Pity you didn't compose the title with a modicum of intelligence.

[Guest RowanB]

...and the worst thread of the year award goes to this chump.

 

FFS. Don't take it so seriously. Anyone that views this with a modicum of intelligence, will realise it's a probability related poll.

 

Pity you didn't compose the title with a modicum of intelligence.

 

Well for anyone with a few braincells to rub together, it obviously isn't certain that we're going to win the tournament. It depends how inanely literally you want to take the thread title. You sound a bit miserable.

[thomas]

Your pole doesn't make sense.

 

Also voting our probability somewhere between 0 and turd. 

 

The poll DOES make sense. How does this thread imply any kind of delusion? We are fourth favourites to win the tournament at odds of 15.0. That implies a 6.7% chance. Money talks. Why do you think people are trading at that price? If you're so confident we're not going to win, just lay the 15.0 on offer at Betfair.

That first sentence about making no sense was just about your first edit (pole/poll) but I see that's gone from your post now  

[Guest RowanB]

Your pole doesn't make sense.

 

Also voting our probability somewhere between 0 and turd. 

 

The poll DOES make sense. How does this thread imply any kind of delusion? We are fourth favourites to win the tournament at odds of 15.0. That implies a 6.7% chance. Money talks. Why do you think people are trading at that price? If you're so confident we're not going to win, just lay the 15.0 on offer at Betfair.

That first sentence about making no sense was just about your first edit (pole/poll) but I see that's gone from your post now   

 

I made that comment because at one point it didn't make sense because the options were '0-10%, 10-20%,' etc. It makes perfect sense now, hence the edit.

[thomas]

It's still hilarious taken out of context, hence the  

 

My pole doesn't make any sense. 

 

My pole.

 

Pole.

 

Cock.

[Guest RowanB]

lol. Good point. I wrote that and then realised what I'd done 3 minutes later and went back and changed it!

[Guest Roger Kint]

We will lose the next round regardless of opposition, tis the Newcastle way

[AyeDubbleYoo]

Pointless thinking about cups like that really... just approach each game afresh and see how far you can go.

[Guest RowanB]

It isn't pointless looking at cups like this. Gamblers/ bookmakers try and quantify the probability of teams winning tournaments. Betfair punters have us as a 15.0 (6.7%) chance at the moment.

[AyeDubbleYoo]

It isn't pointless looking at cups like this. Gamblers/ bookmakers try and quantify the probability of teams winning tournaments. Betfair punters have us as a 15.0 (6.7%) chance at the moment.

 

Well OK, I'll rephrase... pointless looking at cups like this if you're not a bookmaker/gambler.

[Guest RowanB]

I see what you mean. Psychologically, I'm taking it a game at a time.

[Optimistic Nut]

What's going on here then.

[Yorkie]

Well RowanB's gone and nicely jinxed the possibility of this ever happening. Gay thread.

[Guest RowanB]

I started this thread because Betfair punters think we have more than a 5% chance of winning our first major trophy since 1969. That's pretty significant. Just see how long it lasts.