Guest idlebob Posted April 27, 2012 Share Posted April 27, 2012 Small stake on Go Ahead Eagles Willem II Sparta Rotterdam Lech Poznan Verona Do you trust the Jupiler League? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest K9 Posted April 27, 2012 Share Posted April 27, 2012 Rosenberg 1-1 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
eliassenfredrik Posted April 27, 2012 Share Posted April 27, 2012 Small stake on Go Ahead Eagles Willem II Sparta Rotterdam Lech Poznan Verona Do you trust the Jupiler League? Won a few times on it before. Go with the form teams. Goals, goals, goals in this league. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest idlebob Posted April 27, 2012 Share Posted April 27, 2012 Small stake on Go Ahead Eagles Willem II Sparta Rotterdam Lech Poznan Verona Do you trust the Jupiler League? Won a few times on it before. Go with the form teams. Goals, goals, goals in this league. I think it's a bit suspect, myself Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Snrub Posted April 27, 2012 Share Posted April 27, 2012 Jupiler league is usually reliable. Ligue 2 on the other hand is the fucking devil. Worst league ever. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
eliassenfredrik Posted April 27, 2012 Share Posted April 27, 2012 Rosenborg very close at the end of the 1st half. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Logic Posted April 27, 2012 Share Posted April 27, 2012 Gone for a 2-0 @ 12-1 for tomorrow. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEMTEX Posted April 27, 2012 Share Posted April 27, 2012 Looking at the amazing super spreadsheet, I find it very hard to accept that form is that reliable a tool when not given any context. For example, the Wycombe vs Notts County game looks like an away banker according to the spreadsheet, but I find that game very hard to call. County just lost 2-4 at home to 10 man Bury ffs, and Wycombe almost held league-topping Charlton away from home, ultimately losing 2-1. Wycombe are desperate for the win to get out of the relegation zone, County are in the lowest playoff place, so need a result too. Would avoid this game like the plague. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doctor Zaius Posted April 27, 2012 Share Posted April 27, 2012 Possibly going in heavy on a team called Concordia from Romania this afternoon. Saw a tip on another site and looks quite good. Will wait till its inplay on bet365 though I think. Don't fancy any other games today really, possibly Lech Poznan and Verona. Had a look at Concordia and followed this. Made a tidy profit. Went for a Verona Monaco double. Monaco have won their last 5 and are looking unstoppable with a new manager. Looking good value at 2.90 aswell. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest idlebob Posted April 27, 2012 Share Posted April 27, 2012 Looking at the amazing super spreadsheet, I find it very hard to accept that form is that reliable a tool when not given any context. For example, the Wycombe vs Notts County game looks like an away banker according to the spreadsheet, but I find that game very hard to call. County just lost 2-4 at home to 10 man Bury ffs, and Wycombe almost held league-topping Charlton away from home, ultimately losing 2-1. Wycombe are desperate for the win to get out of the relegation zone, County are in the lowest playoff place, so need a result too. Would avoid this game like the plague. I'd agree that the context of the match matters, but since both teams have a lot to play I'd assume that will cancel itself out. I'll definitely be going in large on County tomorrow, along with Arsenal and Sheff U Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fenham Mag Posted April 27, 2012 Share Posted April 27, 2012 http://i.imgur.com/iKsFe.jpg Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEMTEX Posted April 27, 2012 Share Posted April 27, 2012 went for rosey in-play and monaco dnb accum. £3! Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
eliassenfredrik Posted April 27, 2012 Share Posted April 27, 2012 Well this is going well so far today. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest idlebob Posted April 27, 2012 Share Posted April 27, 2012 In-play Rosenborg, Dynamo Bucharest and Monaco, 120/1 ish Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
polpolpol Posted April 27, 2012 Share Posted April 27, 2012 Looking at the amazing super spreadsheet, I find it very hard to accept that form is that reliable a tool when not given any context. For example, the Wycombe vs Notts County game looks like an away banker according to the spreadsheet, but I find that game very hard to call. County just lost 2-4 at home to 10 man Bury ffs, and Wycombe almost held league-topping Charlton away from home, ultimately losing 2-1. Wycombe are desperate for the win to get out of the relegation zone, County are in the lowest playoff place, so need a result too. Would avoid this game like the plague. I'd agree that the context of the match matters, but since both teams have a lot to play I'd assume that will cancel itself out. I'll definitely be going in large on County tomorrow, along with Arsenal and Sheff U My own version of the 'sheet' (right window) suggests the bookies (well, betfair, left) are about right. http://img716.imageshack.us/img716/1543/wycnottsc.jpg Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest idlebob Posted April 27, 2012 Share Posted April 27, 2012 Looking at the amazing super spreadsheet, I find it very hard to accept that form is that reliable a tool when not given any context. For example, the Wycombe vs Notts County game looks like an away banker according to the spreadsheet, but I find that game very hard to call. County just lost 2-4 at home to 10 man Bury ffs, and Wycombe almost held league-topping Charlton away from home, ultimately losing 2-1. Wycombe are desperate for the win to get out of the relegation zone, County are in the lowest playoff place, so need a result too. Would avoid this game like the plague. I'd agree that the context of the match matters, but since both teams have a lot to play I'd assume that will cancel itself out. I'll definitely be going in large on County tomorrow, along with Arsenal and Sheff U My own version of the 'sheet' (right window) suggests the bookies (well, betfair, left) are about right. http://img716.imageshack.us/img716/1543/wycnottsc.jpg Is that your own creation? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest K9 Posted April 27, 2012 Share Posted April 27, 2012 Rosenberg 2-1! Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest idlebob Posted April 27, 2012 Share Posted April 27, 2012 Rosenberg 2-1! C'mon Dynamo Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest K9 Posted April 27, 2012 Share Posted April 27, 2012 I bottled dynamo, thought odds were poo Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
polpolpol Posted April 27, 2012 Share Posted April 27, 2012 Is that your own creation? I got someone with the programming skills to code it for me, I just told him how to weight form, home / away, context and some other stuff. It basically takes every game from the season so far and comes up with correct score possibilities, but the more recent games add more to the count, so it has form weighting. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest idlebob Posted April 27, 2012 Share Posted April 27, 2012 I bottled dynamo, thought odds were poo 11/1 at half time looked decent to me. Feel they needed to score before now though Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest idlebob Posted April 27, 2012 Share Posted April 27, 2012 Is that your own creation? I got someone with the programming skills to code it for me, I just told him how to weight form, home / away, context and some other stuff. It basically takes every game from the season so far and comes up with correct score possibilities, but the more recent games add more to the count, so it has form weighting. How did you decide on the weighting to apply? And do you feel as if it works? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
eliassenfredrik Posted April 27, 2012 Share Posted April 27, 2012 Rosenborg 2-2. What a massive failure of a betting day. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEMTEX Posted April 27, 2012 Share Posted April 27, 2012 The Rosenborg screw-job Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEMTEX Posted April 27, 2012 Share Posted April 27, 2012 So let me get this straight, they made it 2-1, then missed a pen, then conceded in the last minute? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
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