Pata

He’s also like a target man in midfield. You can launch the ball towards him and very often he actually gains possession from it and not just flick it forward and hope for the best. He really is a unique player, physically dominant but also has a very good technique and touch due to his background playing further up the pitch. General passing is his only weakness but I can see him getting better and better at that too. That’s the one thing that shows he has only played a couple of seasons deeper but he’s really motivated to get better based on hiring individual coaching during the dark days. His versatility is also very important, you can play him pretty much anywhere outside of defense and you can expect to get a good performance. Hope the new contract gets confirmed soon, would be massive.

And Dembele scores a screamer.

Was a nice comment on Finnish TV about him being the reverse Müller. Müller is bad but really good, Dembele is really good but bad. All comes down to football IQ and reading of the game.

How did Taylor miss that tackle on Raphinha?

Think it's extremely childish from Tuchel to cry about that, he honestly thinks they deserve a pen for that ffs? Ref had said that it's a kid's mistake and he's not going to give a penalty for that in a Champions League QF and I completely agree. Refreshing to see some common sense used, wish it would happen more often.

Tbh I was watching both games so probably missed some things but thought he was really consistent in his will to keep the game flowing and ignored all the diving or soft contacts. Also didn't take any bullshit from the players.

Don't put that shit on me, didn't see any Finns cheating tonight.

Yeah but you're a soft cheating Brazilian, Felipao.

Officiating in Euro games is such a wild card, you can either get terrible handball ultras or really really good refs you've never heard of before.

Fair enough, don't think I've ever watched a CL match with UK commentary so have no idea how irritating they can be.

Could still easily see PL VAR giving a pen for that. Was really impressed by the French ref in Madrid too, hope he gets more games.

Looked like that contact was all just Saka, well done refs.

It has been a pretty good advert of CL football tbh.

Wew

That’s a replica of Barnes’ second goal against West Ham.

Rodri having a mare.

Nee way mate. Bruno being unbreakable is the only reason they haven't been midtable club for yonks now.

Could be, the initial price/release clause were so low that there might be some funky add-ons.

I don't know where flashscore get their data from but Forest's total was a lot lower on their app so some human must have fixed that header. It's still really good and it's staggering how much data is available freely and the bots are really good. You'll have to pay for data where a human goes through every shot and the differences wouldn't be that big outside of rare instances like that header. Completely disagree with that VDV shot, front post top corner is the only real sure fire way to score and you nor VDV would never hit that top corner regularly while missing all the Forest players trying to block the shot.

I watched the highlights now and that header definitely shouldn't be that high as it was impossible for Wood to get any power on it. That's sometimes the problem with free xG models, algorithms struggle to handle data like that correctly. VDV's goal being so low is because there are three Forest players trying to block the shot and still the goalie to beat too. Was a perfect shot but honestly don't see him scoring from there more than once out of ten.

Header from couple of yards out on the 50th minute was 0.64.

https://x.com/markstatsbot/status/1777048776420851848?s=46 I can’t remember how the expected threat is calculated but you are up on that a lot. Possession, crosses, touches in the box etc. most likely.

I didn't watch your match but just by looking at the shot chart, Johnson missed a 0.84 chance early on but after that you only have two shots above 0.10 (and they were only 0.11xG both). So lots of shots but only one had significant xG. And obviously not getting anything for the own goal. Nottingham had Wood's three big chances (0.65xG, 0.64xG and 0.39xG which he scored) and some long range efforts with low xG.

There are fractions on Understat and it's tough to get the full 3. This is all my own thinking but I think they take the xG data and simulate the outcome thousands or hundreds of thousands times and see how the points would divide in a really long run. Like the Liverpool match today, it should be close to full 3 on expected points (and eyetest) but somehow Man Utd are really fucking lucky and got a point for that battering so they gave Liverpool 2.92 and Man United 0.05 (?).