The College Dropout

Looked finished. Would’ve rather Osulu those last 10 minutes. 🤔

What a barmy game. very poor second half.

Nah we are want them forever shit. They can still win the Europa league and be in the CL next season. We need their profile to fall year on year. Same with Man U. No Europe.

I’m not even a fan but of course he’s worth more than £30m. This summer anyway. im not convinced long term.

Madueke too.

I’m in desperate need of a Wissa haul and Mbeumo to not do anything more.

I don’t rate Cooper. But he was way better suited to them than RVN.

Full strength spurs are decent imo. Spurs being Spurs they won’t win the Europa League. It’s peak Man U to jam a way into the CL. How awful would that be?

Yes actually. Also they have Man City a tough game.

I think Villa give up on the league fairly soon. Which is a massive advantage that some of their competitors can’t do. Played a game more and 4 points off 5th.

Agreed. I like this PSG from what I’ve seen. Really open tournaments when you think about it. Inter, Barca, Liverpool, Real Madrid- good sides but beatable. Could get someone outside this to win easily.

This CL run for Villa could set them up for a massive run at CL next season and beyond. If they can get to the Quarters how much would they get from prize money, gates and additional TV? 50m+ surely? Plus most of the money from Duran. If they get to the quarters it’s a massive success if a season. Still in the cup too. The league doesn’t matter.

This is my thought.

Stadium sponsor, training kit sponsor maybe some more that i'm missing but these tend to be the biggest deals for clubs bar the ones we already have. If we have a bunch of short-term deals we can increase that should help. But it's the major sponsors, gate receipts, TV, comp money, player sales that generate the big funds.

Agreed. It's not negative. It's realistic. Thinking we'll grow 40% YoY without major changes to the rules is, in my opinion, naive and plain wrong. There's no reasonable forecast for that. There's not the obvious levers. We are like 2 or 3 deals away from our current ceiling. New stadium and other things will raise our ceiling. But that's 5+ years from today.

But the rules and infrastructure are rigged for Arsenal to become long lasting competitive. For one, you take arsenals league finished since the Man City takeover. It’s surely an average of 4-5th. That’s their average revenue position over that time too. Because Arsenal have the history, coefficient, the stadium, the location, the academy they are uniquely positioned to go from 450m in revenue to 600m. Thats allowed them to renew Saka and co. then go and splash money on Havertz, Rice, Merino, Cali etc. that’s allowed them to sustain a challenge for 3 years. Can we renew Isak, keep the rest of our stars then go again the transfer market? Latest noise is that we can. So we’ll see.

Isak has a blinking tic too. It makes me uneasy. He’s not far off serial killer vibes Isak. Too kind behind the eyes for that though. Guardiola is obviously insane. Obvious serial killer traits. The type to lie unprovoked. Get caught then smile during his mugshot. Guardiola’s the greatest league manager ever. Ancelotti best in the CL. We forget that his team threw away 1 final too. He should keep Fede at RB. Get others fit, they can win it again. Need to see more from the CMs though. As a kid I would spit during matches just because the pros did.

To regularly qualify for the CL with the 7th highest budget - is unlikely especially with this new CL format. Neither us or Villa have come close to sustaining a CL push year after qualifying. We don’t have the money to build the squads. I think Villa’s good run and recent sales may position them to give it a good go in back to back seasons. And that ain’t the stated ambition. If the stated ambition changes I’ll stfu.

I dare you.

Yes lol. It’s by no means related to Alex. Nobody wants Nunez instead.

Great post. Gate-lever. We can close a gap here. But we are unlikely to reach revenues of Man U and the top London clubs. Mostly down to geographic economics and history of a fanbase. These are sticky factors that won't change significantly in the next 5 years. We've got some room to go in commercial growth "naturally" but nothing to considerably close the gap on the big 6. Closing the gap on the big 6 means leveraging Saudi in a real way. Unless the rules change, I don't see how we keep our best players and build the squad around them over the next 3-5 years. And maybe we don't, maybe we sell Berbatov and a Bale emerges. Then we sell Bale and a Harry Kane emerges.

We've performed at a Spurs level the last 2 seasons and likely this season - on the pitch I mean. Spurs level isn't the end goal for me. They've never regularly challenged for titles and won nowt for almost 20 years. Spurs have unreplicable advantages revenues wise. Apart from being the smallest of the big 6 clubs in terms of success, I don't see why we would target them. Chelsea generate the least from gates due to the small capacity and difficulty moving. A big enough stadium with corps might be able to get revenues similar or greater. In time we could have a great academy too. Their worldwide fanbase might be big but it's more fragile than Arsenal, Liverpool, Man U.

I've not checked but I assume he's underperformed his Xg the entire time he's been at Liverpool. Which suggests he's a real confidence player or something is wrong at Liverpool. The bigger thing about XG for me - is less general under/over performance. BUt what is the actual baseline? Messi's league Xg was like 28 per season. His overperformance would get him to like 32 goals. Most players expected goals are far lower which is the main difference, not so much the over/under performance. Nunez underlying Xg is routinely strong. Which is a main reason I think he has something. He's certainly missing a level of composure and confidence but he's got a lot going in his game. I think the same about Nico Jackson. Nunez doesn't spam shots either. He's building his Xg underperformance by missing great chances upon great chances .

Liked the look of Bakayoko.

Juve and Man City don’t make the last 16. Bayern lucky to be there.