The 2020-21 Betting Thread

[Optimistic Nut]

Not sure who’ll be starting but for tonight I’ve put a Yankee on Leiva, Lovren, Busquets & Jorginho to be booked, plus a 4-fold on the same 4 (140/1).

[Paully]

Any card tips for Brighton v Southampton tonight?

 

Bissouma and Romeu for me if both start

 

Great shout mate - cheers!

[Neil]

https://playerstats.football/

 

Could be useful for some in here. Absolutely fuckloads of player and team stats for shots, cards, tackles, everything. Looks simple and spot on to me.

[gdm]

Koroma was almost 3/1 to score anytime very strange

[Paully]

Yous who put bookings on must have cleaned up in the Man Utd match?!

[Wullie]

Every cunt's been booked apart from the bloke I've got, Nkunku.

[gdm]

I don’t touch CL games

[Paully]

Ha ha eight so far!

[Pilko]

I hope Bromley go out of business, pricks. 4/5 wins on my acca, they lose to fucking winless Yeovil at home. Cunts

[Tisd09]

Any idea what happens to the Skybet boost if the PSG game is abandoned? Obviously lost because of Man Utd but will it be voided now??

 

Edit just seen that they will settle it as a double, no doubt the would have voided had Man U won.

[Wullie]

 

[Pilko]

Class work Wullie. You need to start sharing these

[gdm]

Any idea what happens to the Skybet boost if the PSG game is abandoned? Obviously lost because of Man Utd but will it be voided now??

 

Edit just seen that they will settle it as a double, no doubt the would have voided had Man U won.

 

Tbf they followed the same rules with the enhanced goal scorer treble which was double the price. They had to pay out on double Ronaldo & Fernandes

[Tisd09]

Yeah got no complaints really. Just wishful thinking.

 

Great bet Wullie.

[LV]

 

 

 

Where the hell did you pluck that bet from??

[Wullie]

Class work Wullie. You need to start sharing these

 

Couple of flukes I think, based on my previous record, having said that I think there's some big value to be had tomorrow in Salzburg shots with Betfair:

 

Salzburg average the 2nd most shots and shots on target per game in the CL, 17 per game (only Barca average more, of both).

In their games vs Bayern, they had 18 shots, 10 on target (lost 6-2) and then 19 shots, 11 on target (lost 3-1).

In the previous game vs Atleti (lost 3-2), they had 14 shots, 4 on target.

In conclusion, they like to shoot, a lot.

 

Player-wise, for some reason their main man Merisha is not priced up. However:

 

Enock Mwepu is averaging 2.6 shots per game, 1.6 on target. He had 3 OT and 1 OT in the Bayern games. In the last game, vs Locomotiv, he had 6 shots, 3 OT. He is 15/8 for 1 SOT, 11/1 for 2 SOT, which looks absolutely enormous to me.

 

Dominik Szoboszlai is averaging 2.2 shots per game, 0.8 on target. For Hungary recently, it's 4.3 and 1.3 respectively. He hit the target in one of the Bayern games and in the previous Atleti game (with a goal). He is 11/10 for 1 SOT and 6/1 for 2 SOT.

 

Finally, the LB, Andreas Ulmer. Averaging 1.6 per game and 0.6 on target, he hit the target in both Bayern games (and had 2 off target in the Atleti game). He's 16/5 for 1 SOT and 30/1 for 2 SOT.

 

Salzburg have to win as well tomorrow, so even though Atleti generally don't concede many shots, I'd expect Salzburg to really go at them, especially if Atleti take the lead.

 

Mwepu 2 OT, Ulmer and Szoboszlai 1 each OT is 132/1. Worth a quid of anyone's money.

[Wullie]

 

 

 

Where the hell did you pluck that bet from??

 

Just needed Olmo 1 on another slip for £77. Maguire and especially Angelino are pretty reliable for getting a shot off at big prices.

[gdm]

Anyone know why Porto are the price they are?

[LV]

Yeah 4/1 what’s all that about?

[gdm]

I mean they’ve already qualified & olympiacos are playing for the Europa spot but still

[Tisd09]

It seems based on the fact that they are already secured qualification and Olympiakos need the win for Europa League and that Porto will rest a few. Still seems long odds given their record?

 

[Tisd09]

Gone for a treble of Inter/Real/Porto to win at just under 10/1

[Neil]

Class work Wullie. You need to start sharing these

 

Couple of flukes I think, based on my previous record, having said that I think there's some big value to be had tomorrow in Salzburg shots with Betfair:

 

Salzburg average the 2nd most shots and shots on target per game in the CL, 17 per game (only Barca average more, of both).

In their games vs Bayern, they had 18 shots, 10 on target (lost 6-2) and then 19 shots, 11 on target (lost 3-1).

In the previous game vs Atleti (lost 3-2), they had 14 shots, 4 on target.

In conclusion, they like to shoot, a lot.

 

Player-wise, for some reason their main man Merisha is not priced up. However:

 

Enock Mwepu is averaging 2.6 shots per game, 1.6 on target. He had 3 OT and 1 OT in the Bayern games. In the last game, vs Locomotiv, he had 6 shots, 3 OT. He is 15/8 for 1 SOT, 11/1 for 2 SOT, which looks absolutely enormous to me.

 

Dominik Szoboszlai is averaging 2.2 shots per game, 0.8 on target. For Hungary recently, it's 4.3 and 1.3 respectively. He hit the target in one of the Bayern games and in the previous Atleti game (with a goal). He is 11/10 for 1 SOT and 6/1 for 2 SOT.

 

Finally, the LB, Andreas Ulmer. Averaging 1.6 per game and 0.6 on target, he hit the target in both Bayern games (and had 2 off target in the Atleti game). He's 16/5 for 1 SOT and 30/1 for 2 SOT.

 

Salzburg have to win as well tomorrow, so even though Atleti generally don't concede many shots, I'd expect Salzburg to really go at them, especially if Atleti take the lead.

 

Mwepu 2 OT, Ulmer and Szoboszlai 1 each OT is 132/1. Worth a quid of anyone's money.

 

Cracking info this Wullie. Prices have contracted very slightly but I suspect they're going to get a lot shorter later on.

[Wullie]

Class work Wullie. You need to start sharing these

 

Couple of flukes I think, based on my previous record, having said that I think there's some big value to be had tomorrow in Salzburg shots with Betfair:

 

Salzburg average the 2nd most shots and shots on target per game in the CL, 17 per game (only Barca average more, of both).

In their games vs Bayern, they had 18 shots, 10 on target (lost 6-2) and then 19 shots, 11 on target (lost 3-1).

In the previous game vs Atleti (lost 3-2), they had 14 shots, 4 on target.

In conclusion, they like to shoot, a lot.

 

Player-wise, for some reason their main man Merisha is not priced up. However:

 

Enock Mwepu is averaging 2.6 shots per game, 1.6 on target. He had 3 OT and 1 OT in the Bayern games. In the last game, vs Locomotiv, he had 6 shots, 3 OT. He is 15/8 for 1 SOT, 11/1 for 2 SOT, which looks absolutely enormous to me.

 

Dominik Szoboszlai is averaging 2.2 shots per game, 0.8 on target. For Hungary recently, it's 4.3 and 1.3 respectively. He hit the target in one of the Bayern games and in the previous Atleti game (with a goal). He is 11/10 for 1 SOT and 6/1 for 2 SOT.

 

Finally, the LB, Andreas Ulmer. Averaging 1.6 per game and 0.6 on target, he hit the target in both Bayern games (and had 2 off target in the Atleti game). He's 16/5 for 1 SOT and 30/1 for 2 SOT.

 

Salzburg have to win as well tomorrow, so even though Atleti generally don't concede many shots, I'd expect Salzburg to really go at them, especially if Atleti take the lead.

 

Mwepu 2 OT, Ulmer and Szoboszlai 1 each OT is 132/1. Worth a quid of anyone's money.

 

Cracking info this Wullie. Prices have contracted very slightly but I suspect they're going to get a lot shorter later on.

 

When I started typing that post, Mwepu was 13/1 for 2 and 11s by the time I'd finished. I did a search on Twitter for his name earlier and 'shots' earlier to see if anyone else was tipping it and a couple of old posts came up:

 

 

 

I know it's Atleti but (currently) 10/1 for 2 shots on target really does seem like a misprice to me.

[The Prophet]

Especially give Atleti may well sit back and try to shithouse their way over the line.