LV Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 Where the hell did you pluck that bet from?? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wullie Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 Class work Wullie. You need to start sharing these Couple of flukes I think, based on my previous record, having said that I think there's some big value to be had tomorrow in Salzburg shots with Betfair: Salzburg average the 2nd most shots and shots on target per game in the CL, 17 per game (only Barca average more, of both). In their games vs Bayern, they had 18 shots, 10 on target (lost 6-2) and then 19 shots, 11 on target (lost 3-1). In the previous game vs Atleti (lost 3-2), they had 14 shots, 4 on target. In conclusion, they like to shoot, a lot. Player-wise, for some reason their main man Merisha is not priced up. However: Enock Mwepu is averaging 2.6 shots per game, 1.6 on target. He had 3 OT and 1 OT in the Bayern games. In the last game, vs Locomotiv, he had 6 shots, 3 OT. He is 15/8 for 1 SOT, 11/1 for 2 SOT, which looks absolutely enormous to me. Dominik Szoboszlai is averaging 2.2 shots per game, 0.8 on target. For Hungary recently, it's 4.3 and 1.3 respectively. He hit the target in one of the Bayern games and in the previous Atleti game (with a goal). He is 11/10 for 1 SOT and 6/1 for 2 SOT. Finally, the LB, Andreas Ulmer. Averaging 1.6 per game and 0.6 on target, he hit the target in both Bayern games (and had 2 off target in the Atleti game). He's 16/5 for 1 SOT and 30/1 for 2 SOT. Salzburg have to win as well tomorrow, so even though Atleti generally don't concede many shots, I'd expect Salzburg to really go at them, especially if Atleti take the lead. Mwepu 2 OT, Ulmer and Szoboszlai 1 each OT is 132/1. Worth a quid of anyone's money. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wullie Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 Where the hell did you pluck that bet from?? Just needed Olmo 1 on another slip for £77. Maguire and especially Angelino are pretty reliable for getting a shot off at big prices. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
gdm Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 Anyone know why Porto are the price they are? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
LV Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 Yeah 4/1 what’s all that about? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
gdm Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 I mean they’ve already qualified & olympiacos are playing for the Europa spot but still Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tisd09 Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 It seems based on the fact that they are already secured qualification and Olympiakos need the win for Europa League and that Porto will rest a few. Still seems long odds given their record? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tisd09 Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 Gone for a treble of Inter/Real/Porto to win at just under 10/1 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neil Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 Class work Wullie. You need to start sharing these Couple of flukes I think, based on my previous record, having said that I think there's some big value to be had tomorrow in Salzburg shots with Betfair: Salzburg average the 2nd most shots and shots on target per game in the CL, 17 per game (only Barca average more, of both). In their games vs Bayern, they had 18 shots, 10 on target (lost 6-2) and then 19 shots, 11 on target (lost 3-1). In the previous game vs Atleti (lost 3-2), they had 14 shots, 4 on target. In conclusion, they like to shoot, a lot. Player-wise, for some reason their main man Merisha is not priced up. However: Enock Mwepu is averaging 2.6 shots per game, 1.6 on target. He had 3 OT and 1 OT in the Bayern games. In the last game, vs Locomotiv, he had 6 shots, 3 OT. He is 15/8 for 1 SOT, 11/1 for 2 SOT, which looks absolutely enormous to me. Dominik Szoboszlai is averaging 2.2 shots per game, 0.8 on target. For Hungary recently, it's 4.3 and 1.3 respectively. He hit the target in one of the Bayern games and in the previous Atleti game (with a goal). He is 11/10 for 1 SOT and 6/1 for 2 SOT. Finally, the LB, Andreas Ulmer. Averaging 1.6 per game and 0.6 on target, he hit the target in both Bayern games (and had 2 off target in the Atleti game). He's 16/5 for 1 SOT and 30/1 for 2 SOT. Salzburg have to win as well tomorrow, so even though Atleti generally don't concede many shots, I'd expect Salzburg to really go at them, especially if Atleti take the lead. Mwepu 2 OT, Ulmer and Szoboszlai 1 each OT is 132/1. Worth a quid of anyone's money. Cracking info this Wullie. Prices have contracted very slightly but I suspect they're going to get a lot shorter later on. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wullie Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 Class work Wullie. You need to start sharing these Couple of flukes I think, based on my previous record, having said that I think there's some big value to be had tomorrow in Salzburg shots with Betfair: Salzburg average the 2nd most shots and shots on target per game in the CL, 17 per game (only Barca average more, of both). In their games vs Bayern, they had 18 shots, 10 on target (lost 6-2) and then 19 shots, 11 on target (lost 3-1). In the previous game vs Atleti (lost 3-2), they had 14 shots, 4 on target. In conclusion, they like to shoot, a lot. Player-wise, for some reason their main man Merisha is not priced up. However: Enock Mwepu is averaging 2.6 shots per game, 1.6 on target. He had 3 OT and 1 OT in the Bayern games. In the last game, vs Locomotiv, he had 6 shots, 3 OT. He is 15/8 for 1 SOT, 11/1 for 2 SOT, which looks absolutely enormous to me. Dominik Szoboszlai is averaging 2.2 shots per game, 0.8 on target. For Hungary recently, it's 4.3 and 1.3 respectively. He hit the target in one of the Bayern games and in the previous Atleti game (with a goal). He is 11/10 for 1 SOT and 6/1 for 2 SOT. Finally, the LB, Andreas Ulmer. Averaging 1.6 per game and 0.6 on target, he hit the target in both Bayern games (and had 2 off target in the Atleti game). He's 16/5 for 1 SOT and 30/1 for 2 SOT. Salzburg have to win as well tomorrow, so even though Atleti generally don't concede many shots, I'd expect Salzburg to really go at them, especially if Atleti take the lead. Mwepu 2 OT, Ulmer and Szoboszlai 1 each OT is 132/1. Worth a quid of anyone's money. Cracking info this Wullie. Prices have contracted very slightly but I suspect they're going to get a lot shorter later on. When I started typing that post, Mwepu was 13/1 for 2 and 11s by the time I'd finished. I did a search on Twitter for his name earlier and 'shots' earlier to see if anyone else was tipping it and a couple of old posts came up: I know it's Atleti but (currently) 10/1 for 2 shots on target really does seem like a misprice to me. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Prophet Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 Especially give Atleti may well sit back and try to shithouse their way over the line. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pilko Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 I'm on that Wull. Prices had dropped a bit by the time I got on this morning but it was still well north of £550 for a fiver. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
gdm Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 Wee early one Jota to score onyeka carded 10/1 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paully Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 Salah, Rom, Benzema - 68/1 - trixie Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paully Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 Nice start! Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tisd09 Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 Good start lads, I've got Onyeka in a long shot table with Clarkson and Mabil Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
gdm Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 I have him with Paulinho to be carded so good start on 2 counts Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
gdm Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 You just know this’ll be the 1 game jota doesn’t score Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neil Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 All 3 of those Salzburg players start. Fingers crossed they keep their shooting boots on. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 Gueye (Marseille) & Holebas (Olympiakos) @ 10/1 to be carded. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tisd09 Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 Porto winning ? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
LV Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 All 3 of those Salzburg players start. Fingers crossed they keep their shooting boots on. Szoboszlai just had 1 on target Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neil Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 Yeah, encouraging start. Need to keep this fast pace up though. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 Gueye (Marseille) & Holebas (Olympiakos) @ 10/1 to be carded. Come on Holebas. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neil Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 Salzburg having enough shots, sadly 80% of them are off target. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
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