Chelsea have pulled away from us, Everton may have closed on us, but Arsenal & Spurs seem to be the same as last year...in Arsenal's case, worse imo. Don't think it's too outrageous to fancy 4th still.
Whilst we aren't far away from 4th (4 points away aren't we?), our performances have been well below par. If our performances don't improve soon, we're going to find ourselves a long way from the top 6, let alone the top 4. I do trust Pardew to get things clicking sooner rather than later though but as it stands, we're realistically looking at the top 7/8 imho.