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The TopFourometer™ (2023/24)  

628 members have voted

  1. 1. How likely are we to finish top four this season? 0 = nee chance, 5 = can’t call it, 10 = nailed on marra



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The Man U and Tottenham game are key for where we finish, beat Tottenham and Draw at Man U and I think that leaves us with a good chance of 5th tbh. Both Villa and Tottenham have the top 3 play, plus each other. We only have Arsenal (after they play in europe) and Tottenham at home. 

 

We have players coming back, and are just getting a good run of results together. Its time for a late charge. 

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12 minutes ago, vexred said:

I feel dirty cheering for Villa. 


I don’t. They’re playing Man U. Even after all the shit with them over the years. I’m never cheering for Man U over anyone. Unless they’re playing sunderland or it’s for a result that massively helps us. 

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West Ham and Brighton (H) are the big games and if we win them both or avoid defeat we should be most likely to finish 7th. Tottenham (H) and Chelsea (A) as well ones to win or at least avoid defeat. With some of the hardest fixtures already played and a few important players to come back, and no European football to slow us down in the league, we should in principle manage 7th without hitting the same heights as last season in our final 14 games. To finish 6th and above Man United as they look to be finding form is a tall order with the amount of players out, but not impossible. 

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Let's ramp the pressure up next week. Fulham away is an awkward as fuck fixture for Villa on the little run they're on, us at home to Bournemouth who have had a little dip. Fuck it, I'm back in. 

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12 minutes ago, Optimistic Nut said:

Let's ramp the pressure up next week. Fulham away is an awkward as fuck fixture for Villa on the little run they're on, us at home to Bournemouth who have had a little dip. Fuck it, I'm back in. 


Aye mate. Villa might start to feel the pressure properly. 

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I think overturning a 10 point defecit needs a lot to go right with very little margin which is why I wanted a Villa win

 

Man U are 5 ahead of us and seeing how jammy they are I'm not sure we'll catch them

 

They concede big chances, don't create that many big chances but find themselves sitting in 6th 

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I’m wondering if we can make up 5 points on Man U and people think we’re going to catch Villa who are 10 clear?! 
 

Would much rather that was a draw or Villa win there. We’re still not playing particularly well and look wide open every week. The stats back that up and it doesn’t seem like Willock or Anderson returning are going to suddenly change that. Pope probably not back until late March/April and all. 
 

I just can’t see us going on a big run of wins the way the team is currently. 

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1 hour ago, Lush Vlad said:


I don’t. They’re playing Man U. Even after all the shit with them over the years. I’m never cheering for Man U over anyone. Unless they’re playing sunderland or it’s for a result that massively helps us. 

I'm a kid of 95-97....ill never want anything other than Man U to lose. Don't care who they're playing...its about time they had some misery of no trophies or achievements

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4 minutes ago, Lush Vlad said:

I’m wondering if we can make up 5 points on Man U and people think we’re going to catch Villa who are 10 clear?! 
 

Would much rather that was a draw or Villa win there. We’re still not playing particularly well and look wide open every week. The stats back that up and it doesn’t seem like Willock or Anderson returning are going to suddenly change that. Pope probably not back until late March/April and all. 
 

I just can’t see us going on a big run of wins the way the team is currently. 

 

Have to dream though surely? Likelihood is at best we'll stumble along to 7th but if you can't look at a 10 point gap over a team who are beginning to stutter a bit, then what's the point?

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Momentum is the thing.Villa are sliding. Man Utd are climbing and we are one more win from possibly finding similar momentum.

 

However, as much as its nice to look at the possibilities.... we really just have to do our own job.

 

I'm convinced Villa won't finish top 4 now. Which further solidifies what a superb job we did last year.

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Just now, Optimistic Nut said:

 

Have to dream though surely? Likelihood is at best we'll stumble along to 7th but if you can't look at a 10 point gap over a team who are beginning to stutter a bit, then what's the point?


I think there is more chance of Villa getting back on track. Than Man U suddenly becoming a dominant team. 
 

One is 10 ahead and the other only 5. So that’s the way I’m looking at it. 

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2 minutes ago, Lush Vlad said:

I’m wondering if we can make up 5 points on Man U and people think we’re going to catch Villa who are 10 clear?! 
 

Would much rather that was a draw or Villa win there. We’re still not playing particularly well and look wide open every week. The stats back that up and it doesn’t seem like Willock or Anderson returning are going to suddenly change that. Pope probably not back until late March/April and all. 
 

I just can’t see us going on a big run of wins the way the team is currently. 

Us not playing that well I'd done to being short of numbers, when a few more come back, the performances will get better (although we were pretty good at Villa not long ago). Both Man U and Villa are pretty much full strength and don't look any better than us. 

 

If we beat Man U. We then only need 2 more points than them over the the rest ofnthe game to finish about them, not the hardest task. 

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I still think 5th would get CL tbh. Not even looking at 4th, but 5th has potential if we could go on a run.

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1 minute ago, Optimistic Nut said:

 

Have to dream though surely? Likelihood is at best we'll stumble along to 7th but if you can't look at a 10 point gap over a team who are beginning to stutter a bit, then what's the point?

There 48 points to play for. Whatever we get out of them is where we deserve to be

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1 minute ago, Optimistic Nut said:

I still think 5th would get CL tbh. Not even looking at 4th, but 5th has potential if we could go on a run.


I was thinking about this before, the + goal difference section is often an indicator over a season who finishes where.

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Villa have won two games since Dec. 22, both against promoted sides 

 

D - Sheff Utd

L - Man Utd

W - Burnley

D - Everton

L - Newcastle

W - Sheff Utd

L - Man Utd

 

Their next three games are huge - Fulham (a), Forest (h), Luton (a).

 

After that they have 11 games left that includes City, Arsenal, Spurs, Liverpool, Chelsea, West Ham, Brighton.

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12 minutes ago, Lush Vlad said:

I’m wondering if we can make up 5 points on Man U and people think we’re going to catch Villa who are 10 clear?! 
 

Would much rather that was a draw or Villa win there. We’re still not playing particularly well and look wide open every week. The stats back that up and it doesn’t seem like Willock or Anderson returning are going to suddenly change that. Pope probably not back until late March/April and all. 
 

I just can’t see us going on a big run of wins the way the team is currently. 

All about context though innit. Villa are in poor form, imo aren't as good as their position suggests, and could potentially have been finally found out a bit. There's the possibility that they come within touching distance providing we hit some form.

 

Whereas Man United are shite, but fairly consistent with their results and have been consistently jammy for a really long time now. We've never finished above Man United in premier league history. 

 

 

Edited by Kid Icarus

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We were within a point or two of top 5 or 6 a few games ago. Any team can go on a bad run and suddenly be way behind. The season ends when it ends, and until its mathematically possible we could still end as champions. Yes it's not going to happen but until its done, its not done

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If we're back to at least 8 points this time next week we've a slim chance. Just have to do what we can.

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3 minutes ago, gjohnson said:

We were within a point or two of top 5 or 6 a few games ago. Any team can go on a bad run and suddenly be way behind. The season ends when it ends, and until its mathematically possible we could still end as champions. Yes it's not going to happen but until its done, its not done


Being the chasers will help us too I think.

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If we had a fully fit squad or even one with just one or two absentees then I think we’d actually stand a chance of chasing down fourth. As it stands it’s not possible but we’d be there no problem without the injuries I think. Europe might have still stopped us as without the injuries we’d have qualified for the knockout stages

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