Look mate, you are just flat out wrong on the mathematics/probability side of things (to win 4 in a row given a chance to win a single one is exactly the same regardless of what has happened before). The footballing side of things is a completely different discussion obviously, but I would suggest that a team playing well is more likely to win four on the trot than a team doing badly, just like a good team is more likely to do it than a bad team, etc.