The Europeometer™ (2024/25) - NUFC Qualify for Conference League (at least)

[AyeDubbleYoo]

2 minutes ago, Mazzy said:

 

Considering our fixtures, 84% is a lot.  I think the way our fixtures are laid out makes me more nervous.

 

Our "easiest" game left being the last game of the season isn't helpful. I don't like the idea of going into the last day NEEDING to get anything, even if it's only a point. I'd much rather have the Everton home game this weekend or next and just get 5th or higher guaranteed.

 

Yeah, I don't think the chances necessarily reflect how nervous we will be, that depends when we pick up the points.

 

Like I said, we only need to stop Forest AND Chelsea catching us. If both of them collect 3 more points than us then we'll have done quite poorly. 

[SteV]

4 minutes ago, Mazzy said:

 

Considering our fixtures, 84% is a lot.  I think the way our fixtures are laid out makes me more nervous.

 

Our "easiest" game left being the last game of the season isn't helpful. I don't like the idea of going into the last day NEEDING to get anything, even if it's only a point. I'd much rather have the Everton home game this weekend or next and just get 5th or higher guaranteed.

Can frame it however you want. Your scenario is perfectly reasonable, but I’m happy to take Everton on the last day given their Goodison ‘farewell’ the week before.

[The College Dropout]

1 minute ago, AyeDubbleYoo said:

 

Yeah, I don't think the chances necessarily reflect how nervous we will be, that depends when we pick up the points.

 

Like I said, we only need to stop Forest AND Chelsea catching us. If both of them collect 3 more points than us then we'll have done quite poorly. 

You writing Villa off?

 

If they drop points this weekend they’ll give up.  But I expect them to get 67 points. 

[AyeDubbleYoo]

I still feel like we'll beat Brighton and cruise home in the end. 

[AyeDubbleYoo]

1 minute ago, The College Dropout said:

You writing Villa off?

 

If they drop points this weekend they’ll give up.  But I expect them to get 67 points. 

 

They can qualify but not by finishing above us. They're basically 6 points behind with GD.

 

They'd need to pip someone else. 

 

I think these kinds of things are why our chances are much better than we want to think. 

 

 

Edited 13 hours ago by AyeDubbleYoo

[The College Dropout]

I think we get 69 points and qualify with a bit to spare. I've long thought 68 would seal it too. 67 and it might go to GD. Good chance 6th/7th get 65-67 points imo.

[Superior Acuña]

I remember in 02/03 thinking it was going to go to the last day away at West Brom to get top 4. Then in the penultimate game Liverpool lost at home to Man City (Anelka) and Chelsea lost another game we expected them to win and we already had 3rd wrapped up (Viana v Birmingham home).

 

Would be nice again.

[ramirez]

Just ignoring Villa and City, if we win on Sunday and Chelsea and Forest don't we only need 2-3 points.  If tat situation happens we ensure we finish above Chelsea the week after and it would also take a miracle for Forest or Villa to finish above us.

[Andy]

5 hours ago, The College Dropout said:

Who cares?

 

Arne Slot and the players, I'd imagine. They'll want to keep momentum and win the league as emphatically as possible. That is the mentality champions have in any sport. 

[The College Dropout]

5 minutes ago, Andy said:

 

Arne Slot and the players, I'd imagine. They'll want to keep momentum and win the league as emphatically as possible. That is the mentality champions have in any sport. 

Well he’s rotating.  Form of champions in a league season they win tends to fall off. Would love if they win mind but I think the chances have reduced. 

[SUPERTOON]

Salah will be as desperate as always to score, that gives them a good chance.

[Andy]

1 minute ago, The College Dropout said:

Well he’s rotating.  Form of champions in a league season they win tends to fall off. Would love if they win mind but I think the chances have reduced. 

 

Aye but he's not bringing in Paul Dummett and Matt Ritchie. Liverpool's back up players are more than good enough to beat a Chelsea side who until the last few games were routinely being booed off their pitch by their fans. 

[Displayname]

Checked the previous seasons where a team secured the title a few games before the season ended. 

The overall picture was a slight drop off in form, but none of them had a negative win/loss ratio. 

[AyeDubbleYoo]

2 hours ago, ramirez said:

Just ignoring Villa and City, if we win on Sunday and Chelsea and Forest don't we only need 2-3 points.  If tat situation happens we ensure we finish above Chelsea the week after and it would also take a miracle for Forest or Villa to finish above us.

Exactly, we only need to think about Chelsea and Forest. 

[GallowgatePigeon]

4 hours ago, AyeDubbleYoo said:

Exactly, we only need to think about Chelsea and Forest. 

 

100% this.

City are nailed on and frankly I'll graciously let them have that after they done us a solid by putting daylight between us and Villa.

Villa have a mountain to climb, it's not out of the question that they'll win all their remaining games but surely we'll be home and dry before they could worry us again.

 

The two teams we need to collapse are the ones most likely to. One which is a very limited team in a false position and the other which is a notorious basket case and on the verge of their annual manager sacking.

 

TL:DR; we'll be reet

 

 

Edited 6 hours ago by GallowgatePigeon

[Mazzy]

4 hours ago, AyeDubbleYoo said:

Exactly, we only need to think about Chelsea and Forest. 

 

Until this weekend. Because if we lose and Villa win, we'll have to worry about them as well.

[et tu brute]

It's up to us at the end of the day. We will know by the end of the Forest game, a much clearer picture on whether we are in a stronger position, no real change or if we are in a poorer position. A win would be massive though, as if we do, there maybe a possible opportunity that we can confirm qualification against Chelsea. None of the four teams this weekend has an easy game. 

[Holloway]

You don't need to worry about anything ,let's see what happens 

 

[et tu brute]

20 minutes ago, Mazzy said:

 

Until this weekend. Because if we lose and Villa win, we'll have to worry about them as well.

You're right, Villa's champions league chances will be probably dependent on the next two games. Win those two and they will be playing Tottenham and Man U teams with key players rested and thoughts on the Europa final (though it wouldn't probably matter anyway with their form this season).

They probably need to win all four games to be even a worry for us, but, unfortunately both Fulham and Bournemouth's form has certainly dipped recently. Both need points though for their own European ambitions.

[Stottie]

Just for context, but fans of the most successful club of recent times, the only one to win four in a row, yes, Man City, still refer to poor results or unexpected events as "typical City".

Their nonstop success has not stopped some fans looking on the negative side and half-expecting things to go wrong. For some football fans of some clubs, this condition seems incurable.

 

For contrast, other fans of other clubs and pundits pandering to them have no problem in assuming they have already signed other clubs' prime assets, such as Alexander Isak.