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The TopFourometer™ (2023/24)  

629 members have voted

  1. 1. How likely are we to finish top four this season? 0 = nee chance, 5 = can’t call it, 10 = nailed on marra



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3 hours ago, TRon said:

 

In theory I do agree with this. In reality though I am absolutely bricking it for Thursday, to the extent it feels like I'll almost not be able to enjoy it at this point. But usually by the time the game comes round I'm hyped up enough to lose the nerves and get into full battle stations mode.


Of course, me too at times. But at the same time, remember how bad we had it. 

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If we lost out on CL that would be unfortunate, but I wouldn't be that sad as this would still be a very good season for us. 

 

I just really don't want to give the spot to fucking Liverpool. Can't stand them and their cunt fans. 

 

 

Edited by Peppe

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1 hour ago, AyeDubbleYoo said:


Of course, me too at times. But at the same time, remember how bad we had it. 

 

Pretty hard to forget we had Pardew and Kinnear in charge tbh, but the next game is always the most important one. What happened yesterday is gone. But yeah, we need to have perspective, I think most of us do, we'll still be bricking it though when Thursday comes around.

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1 hour ago, Peppe said:

 

If we lost out on CL that would be unfortunate, but I wouldn't be that sad as this would still be a very good season for us. 

 

Bollocks to that. That’s just coping mechanism patter. I’d be gutted. We were 9 points clear. We would have had 5 games to get 2 wins. To throw the chance to be back in the elite competition would be devastating. Especially as Chelsea, Liverpool and spurs have had poor seasons by their standards. It’s the best chance we will have. It would still be a great season but would be typically Newcastle to get to a cup final and lose and miss out on top 4 when it was all but in the bag

 

 

Edited by gdm

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6 minutes ago, gdm said:

Bollocks to that. That’s just coping mechanism patter. I’d be gutted. We were 9 points clear. We would have had 5 games to get 2 wins. To throw the chance to be back in the elite competition would be devastating. Especially as Chelsea, Liverpool and spurs have had poor seasons by their standards. It’s the best chance we will have. It would still be a great season but would be typically Newcastle to get to a cup final and lose and miss out on top 4 when it was all but in the bag

 

 

 

It’s never been “all but in the bag” though has it. Most sensible people could see Liverpool’s trajectory, the fixtures list etc, and realised that there’s still some way to go.

 

I still think we’ll do it, by the way, but it smacks of people getting ahead of themselves.

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16 minutes ago, Shadow Puppets said:

It’s never been “all but in the bag” though has it. Most sensible people could see Liverpool’s trajectory, the fixtures list etc, and realised that there’s still some way to go.

 

I still think we’ll do it, by the way, but it smacks of people getting ahead of themselves.

Opta had it at 98% likely. That’s all but in the bag statistically. 
 

can’t remember the price but the bookies had us having it all but in the bag. 
 

point still remains we’d have let a 9 point lead slip and to suggest it’d be anything but upsetting is kidding yourself 

 

 

Edited by gdm

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2 minutes ago, gdm said:

Opta had it at 98% likely. That’s all but in the bag statistically. 
 

can’t remember the price but the bookies had us having it all but in the bag. 
 

point still remains we’d have let a 9 point lead slip and to suggest it’d be anything but upsetting is kidding yourself 

 

 

 

 

It'd be disappointing, no doubt. It'd still have been an brilliant season though.

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5 minutes ago, gdm said:

Opta had it at 98% likely. That’s all but in the bag statistically. 
 

can’t remember the price but the bookies had us having it all but in the bag. 
 

point still remains we’d have let a 9 point lead slip and to suggest it’d be anything but upsetting is kidding yourself 

 

 

 

What opta say is meaningless, as are bookies odds. Liverpool we knew would go on this run. We’ve had two results in a row that are a minor “blip” but we’ve hardly bottled it. It was never in any way “all but done”. We’ve still got it all in our hands, but even if we don’t make it to suggest that something is done with 6 or 7 games left to play is ridiculous.

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Just now, Shadow Puppets said:

What opta say is meaningless, as are bookies odds. Liverpool we knew would go on this run. We’ve had two results in a row that are a minor “blip” but we’ve hardly bottled it. It was never in any way “all but done”. We’ve still got it all in our hands, but even if we don’t make it to suggest that something is done with 6 or 7 games left to play is ridiculous.

If we can’t win 2 games out of 5. We’ve thrown it away. You can dress it up any way you like. Not being able to get two wins from the last 5 games will be poor form considering 3 of them were at home 

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Just now, Kanji said:

We didn't let anything slip nor did we bottle anything if by end of the season we don't make CL. We've had a fucking monumental season.

No one suggested we bottled anything. It would have slipped out our hands if we don’t get it. Ridiculous to say otherwise 2 wins out of last 5 needed what’s that it not a slip :lol: 

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Just now, Kanji said:

Poor for us not beating Arsenal? Poor for us not beating a top 6 side in Brighton? :lol: thrown it away. Fucking chill dude. 

Next you’ll be saying we didn’t throw away the league in 96 :lol:

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Bookies’ odds aren’t meaningless though, are they? They’re the product of extremely advanced proprietary statistical modelling. We were ludicrously long odds to fail to qualify for top four. If we don’t manage it, it will be because of a disappointing collapse.

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Just now, Joseph said:

Bookies’ odds aren’t meaningless though, are they? They’re the product of extremely advanced proprietary statistical modelling. We were ludicrously long odds to fail to qualify for top four. If we don’t manage it, it will be because of a disappointing collapse.

Of course the aren’t. Couldn’t be bothered arguing the point. 

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Villa, Arsenal and Leeds game are the only dropped points in the last 11 games. You could argue Villa was a bad day at the office and Arsenal we were a bit unfortunate against a very good football team. Leeds we weren't great, but got ourselves ahead and should have closed out the game. 

 

I've seen nothing to suggest that we're "bottling it" yet. A couple of players are carrying knocks and the midfield looks a bit unbalanced without Longstaff, but we look fine mentally. 

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4 minutes ago, The Prophet said:

Villa, Arsenal and Leeds game are the only dropped points in the last 11 games. You could argue Villa was a bad day at the office and Arsenal we were a bit unfortunate against a very good football team. Leeds we weren't great, but got ourselves ahead and should have closed out the game. 

 

I've seen nothing to suggest that we're "bottling it" yet. A couple of players are carrying knocks and the midfield looks a bit unbalanced without Longstaff, but we look fine mentally. 

I didn’t mention bottling it. Would certainly be a missed opportunity if people don’t want to use the words throwing away, letting it slip or bottling it.
 

its all hypothetical anyway we could well win 3 out of 3 and get there no problem but to suggest bookies odds and opta stats mean nothing is nonsense. 
 

here’s hoping we beat Brighton and liverpool lose to Villa and it’s done before we play again

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7 minutes ago, gdm said:

I didn’t mention bottling it. Would certainly be a missed opportunity if people don’t want to use the words throwing away, letting it slip or bottling it.
 

its all hypothetical anyway we could well win 3 out of 3 and get there no problem but to suggest bookies odds and opta stats mean nothing is nonsense. 
 

here’s hoping we beat Brighton and liverpool lose to Villa and it’s done before we play again

 

I don't think you're saying anything controversial but, when it comes to reviewing the season, the club has earned an exemption from any fundamentally negative language imo, even if we close the season in poorer form.

 

I know that sounds a bit precious but some of the statistics which have led us to our current position are unprecedented - goals scored/conceded, away form, number of defeats, etc - not to mention a spell of seven wins in eight, and a separate spell of eight wins in nine, plus a run to a cup final.

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