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FA Cup semi-final draw


Skirge

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It's just 2/1 i.e. 1 in 3 isn't it?

Four teams: A, B, C & D (ok there were six teams - but only four numbers in the draw).

If A is Man Utd. and B is Chelsea etc., there's 3 possible teams A can be drawn against. I just thought of that before so it might be wrong, but I don't think it is.

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So if Man Utd come out, there's 1/3 of it being Chelsea but 2/3 of it not. Makes sense.

 

What if Watford came out first though? That way it's 2/3 to be Man Utd or Chelsea. Doesn't that mean the odds on there being a Man Utd - Chelsea semi are simply 50%?

 

*I may be talking complete shit.

God, I don't know :lol: I just thought, before the draw started, any number in the draw can be drawn against any of the other three. Therefore Chelsea and Man Utd being kept apart is 1/2 on and being drawn together is 2/1 against. I'll ditto your asterisk though.

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The possibilities (ignoring home and away):

 

Watford v Man ure or Boro, therefore: Blackburn v Spurs or Chelski - Apart

Watford v Blackburn, therefore: Man ure or Boro v Spurs or Chelski - Together

Watford v Spurs or Chelski, therefore: Blackburn v Man ure or Boro - Apart

 

Therefore there was 2/3 probability that they would be kept apart.

 

Doesn't prove one way or the other whether or not it was a fix, though.

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The possibilities (ignoring home and away):

 

Watford v Man ure or Boro, therefore: Blackburn v Spurs or Chelski - Apart

Watford v Blackburn, therefore: Man ure or Boro v Spurs or Chelski - Together

Watford v Spurs or Chelski, therefore: Blackburn v Man ure or Boro - Apart

 

Therefore there was 2/3 probability that they would be kept apart.

 

Doesn't prove one way or the other whether or not it was a fix, though.

Aye, by 1/2 on I meant that in Bookies' odds, i.e. 2 out of 3.

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i had us at 7th on the bbc predictor thing, and also chelsea winning the league like... but i wasnt being optemistic with results, i expect us to get beat at charlton etc

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Guest kingdawson

I like it when people on here (except scottass) instantly dismiss our chances just like they did when we had to go to stamford bridge (i correctly predicted a draw may i add). COYS

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