The College Dropout

That’s good content tbf and you’ve circulated it

Where does Miggy rank in assists?

Havertz missed a sitter. Missed a 1v1. Timber chance was decent too. A lot of that xg would be low quality shots but they had 2-3 big chances.

It was hyperbolic to make a point. We are legit a few successive bad decisions away from falling right off it and taking many years to get close again. Zoom out - Bournemouth have had 2 relegations in the last 5/6 years. They are a yo-yo club that now look set to re-establish themselves as a PL outfit. In the same period Man U have won 2 Cups and been to a final for 2 others, multiple CL campaigns - as a "banter" era. That's the point of the big 6. No matter how poorly they are run, they are too big to get relegated. Too much money. They will only be a few good decisions away from competing for Europe and Cups. Everybody else - including us - needs a string of generational choice decisions to compete with them and that success can be undone quickly. Fall right back into the pack or further for several years. That's my point. It's not a controversial point i'm making.

Would prefer an option to an obligation. We need a stop gap. Reassess in the summer. Maybe financially it doesn't make sense to loan (loan fee might eat up some of the Miggy profit).

Spurs have the finances to compete. Levy just doesn't want too. Spurs revenue is impressIve.

Them keeping one of the 6 out the CL for another season might help gradually bring us all closer together. I don't see a world where we qualify for the CL next season and are able to qualify for the CL again the following season. We aren't allowed to build a squad to facilitate that. So best to rotate the CL spots as wide as possible.

Would like a loan to replace Miggy.

Can't see City winning the CL at all. Man U might jam their way through the Europa though. Doubt it. Maybe Spurs might. Really wanted Villa in the play-offs. This run and the Duran sale will give them a big PSR boost. Good chance of making the QFs. This season I can't see them finishing top 5 (not discounting them) but European football is still on. Next season they will be very serious imo. They should be able to invest well.

You've proved my point. We are closer to Bournemouth in revenue than Spurs. Successive bad decisions will put us closer to teams like Bournemouth than teams like Spurs for a medium term. As bad as Spurs have been these last 3-4 years they've finished 4th & 5th among them.

Villa straight into the last 16. Massive for them. City, Real, Bayern, Juve, Dortmund, PSG all in the play offs. Half don’t make it to the last 16 most likely.

Villa straight into the last 16. Massive for them.

City 3-1. Probably for the best. Think they might be playing Real Madrid or Bayern.

Duran goes and I probably get him in at some point

Ederson lad we were linked too with a banger.

Watkins has a poor penalty record. Don’t know why they were hyping him. Isn’t Tielemans the regular taker?

Aye. Thats the biggest problem. A lack of dynamism in midfield. It’s transition upon transition with the old boys in there

Will enjoy them going out too tbf. Just would prefer another 2 games and then going out.

A lot of ppl complaining don’t actually watch football. City aren’t a top side atm. They are 20 something in this format for good reason.

City in a play off is better for our chances of top 4. More games for their old boys less prep time for the league.

Agreed. I also use it to question my beliefs or assumptions. Like the Miggy purple patch vs the Murphy purple patch. The expected data indicates one was a purple patch and the other isn't.

Believe most Xg models take this into account. Personalising it to particular players doesn't make sense and loses the value of Xg. The Xg of a penalty is 0.8 let's say. It being a .95 xg for Ivan Toney and a 0.6Xg for Michael Owen ruins the value of the metric. The standardisation is what makes it powerful. A 0.4 Xg shot is a "big chance". That goes in 1 every 3 attempts. Most hat-tricks are scored from an Xg of under 2.25. In a low-scoring sport, scoring 3 in a game requires an element of a "hot hand" that is a little improbable Aye. It's either meant "the team isn't creating any chances at all and won't score all night" or... "The team is creating and missing loads of chances and this will keep happening". In both instances, there's a loss of belief that becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy that everyone can see and feel. It's why teams like Real Madrid don't lose that belief and when they score it's "they always find a way". But it's all narrative.

Brest vs Madrid for me. Winner qualifies for the R16 straight. Loser in the play offs.

PSG didn’t look like scoring…. Because they kept missing.

PSG missed a number of chances against us. So many that you knew they wouldn’t score from open play. It was one of those games they were never going to score. BUT they did create a lot. Poor finishing, good goalkeeping and desperate defending kept us in it. It was wave after wave of attack and chance. Arsenal league cup game was similar but not so one sided. A couple great chances, a few good ones. Eventually you knew they wouldn’t score but if the score was 2-2 we couldn’t complain.