My opinion is I just think Sunderland will edge it by a single goal.
Tiote and Carroll being out is, unfortunately, a big blow however you look at it. Their home record has generally been excellent for what is essentially a mid-table team, and I think Bruce, albeit his obsession getting a tad concerning, will have his players truly riled and ready for the game. I think Pardew is aware of the importance of this game, yes, but I just think Sunderland will have an edge. In fact, I actually think you'll play relatively well but my gut instinct is Sunderland will just nick it. 2-1.