Jump to content

HaydnNUFC

Member
  • Posts

    20,188
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by HaydnNUFC

  1. We have an identity separate to that of the rest of the country tbh. Wish we'd lean into that more. The city of Liverpool gets grief for the whole 'scouse not English' shtick and some of it is proper cringe but I really resonate with the sentiment of it but for us. Reflects my own personal attitude towards the England team tbh. Unmitigated apathy.
  2. Meh, been a proper Gen Zer and just asked AI to summarise it. Squad Cost Ratio (SCR) This would limit how much a club can spend on its on-pitch costs: that means wages, transfer fees (amortised), agent fees, and similar “football costs.” The cap is set at 85% of the club’s revenue (plus/minus net profit or loss from player sales). In plain English: if your club makes £100m in “football revenue” (ticket sales, TV, sponsorship, etc.), you can spend up to about £85m on your squad and associated costs. This was voted in. 14 votes to 6. ( ) Sustainability & Systemic Resilience (SSR) These are financial health checks on clubs, not just looking at how much money they spend now, but whether they are financially stable in the short, medium, and long term. There are three parts (“tests”): working capital test, liquidity test, and a “positive equity” test. In simple terms: the league wants to make sure clubs don’t just spend a lot now and then collapse; they want healthier books. This was voted in unanimously. Top-to-Bottom Anchoring (TBA) (“anchoring”) This is more of a “hard cap” that ties all clubs’ spending (on players / wages / transfers) to a multiple of what the lowest-earning Premier League club makes from central distributions (TV, prize money, etc.). The proposed multiple is 5× what the bottom club gets. Example: in one recent season, the bottom-placed club got about £109 million in central payments. 5× that would = ~£550 million maximum allowed spending under anchor. The idea is to prevent the richest clubs from spending wildly more than everyone else just because they have huge revenues, keeping a more level playing field. If clubs break this “anchoring” cap, there could be sanctions — reports suggest point deductions could be possible for repeated breaches. This was NOT voted in. Only received 7 votes. 1 abstained, 12 against. What This Means for Newcastle United Spending Capacity Without anchoring, Newcastle won’t face a “hard” multiple-of-bottom-club ceiling on their spending (for now). That’s potentially good — more flexibility. Under SCR, Newcastle can spend up to 85% of its football revenue on wages / transfers / agent fees (plus more if they use their multi-year allowance). Given Newcastle’s growing revenues, that could be a lot of room. But, if they overspend significantly (beyond the allowance), they risk real penalties (points deductions). Financial Health Risk The SSR rules mean Newcastle needs to keep their finances in good shape. Even if you can spend more, the club will be under scrutiny for liquidity, debt, and long-term balance-sheet strength. Mismanaging could lead to sanctions, so reckless splashing is riskier. Competitive Advantage These rules might favour clubs like Newcastle: not the very richest, but ambitious and with rising income. Because anchoring is out, they don’t immediately get tied to a rigid “hard upper limit” based on other clubs — they get to lean more on their own revenue under SCR. SCR-Based Spending Projection The new SCR rule (which has been passed) allows clubs to spend up to 85% of their “football revenue” on on-pitch costs (wages, transfers amortised, agents, etc.), plus/minus net profit or loss from player trading. (This is your “budget” for squad-cost-related spending.) Here’s a rough projection for Newcastle under SCR: If we take Newcastle’s revenue of £320.3 m from the 2023-24 season (which included UCL revenue), then 85% of that is £272.3 million. Estimate Available Squad-Cost Budget So, under SCR, Newcastle could in theory spend up to £272 m on wages + amortisation + agents + related squad costs, in a “normal” year, assuming net player-sale profit/loss is neutral (or small). In reality, they may not spend exactly that: they might spend less, or they might dip above it for a short time if they use their “multi-year allowance” (if their SCR structure includes that — depends on how the Premier League finalises the rules). Risks, Constraints & Real-world Factors While £272 m is a big potential “budget,” in practice a few things could limit how much Newcastle actually spends on players / wages: Multi-Year Allowance: If they overspend in a year (above 85%) by using some “allowance,” they’ll likely pay a levy and need to be careful going forward. Sporting Sanctions: If they breach too heavily, there could be point deductions or other penalties (depending on how the rules are enforced). SSR Rules: The Sustainability & Systemic Resilience rules mean Newcastle must maintain good financial health — liquidity, working capital, and equity will all be checked. If they spend too aggressively without keeping enough cash / reserves, that could be a problem. Player Trading Effects: Profits or losses from selling players will feed into SCR calculations (net profit from sales helps, losses hurt). So Newcastle’s “true” allowable spend depends on how much they buy vs sell. Revenue Fluctuations: Their revenue could change (go up or down), especially because of things like European qualification (Champions League, etc.), commercial deals, and matchday income. If revenue drops, their 85% “cap” also falls. What This Means Strategically for Newcastle Real Strength: Newcastle is in a strong position to leverage the new SCR rule. With a £320m turnover, they have a good runway to spend significantly on players while staying “within budget,” at least more than they might have under more restrictive old rules (depending on PSR details). Ambitious Signings Possible: They could afford a pretty substantial wage bill and big transfer amortisation, if managed carefully. This gives them real potential to compete for top-level players or to invest heavily in squad quality. Caution Still Needed: Despite the room, they shouldn’t go wild — overly aggressive spending could trigger SSR risks, especially if they don’t maintain cash reserves or mismanage their transfer business. Long-Term Plan Matters: For Newcastle’s ambition (top-4, sustained success), it’s not just about one “big window” — they’ll need to plan for multi-year spending, and use their allowance smartly if they overspend.
  3. Players from abroad who proper buy into the club >>>>
  4. I actually don’t mind that mockup. If we have a good season in that that’ll be a classic. I never have minded a change up of our home kit. Part of the reason I really liked that half and half Blackburn esque members kit that was worn in 1 friendly years back. I hate the idea of the whole back being plain white. Hideous. I know adidas will adhere to that on all shirts they make due to UEFA rules but I’d much rather it be a black back with white numbers and names.
  5. HaydnNUFC

    Footy trivia

    The countries in the Caucasus I don't remember England playing that much: Georgia? Armenia? Azerbaijan?
  6. HaydnNUFC

    Footy trivia

    Are these UEFA nations politically independent nations? If so, Gibraltar? Struggling after that. Belarus? Liechtenstein?
  7. Do you know which one? It's not on any of the season reviews that I watched religiously during lockdown. One of the old B&W videos?
  8. One that I'm sure I've read on here is that he said that we should be above the rivalry with the mackems. Is that true? I can't find any evidence of him saying it which is a shame, as I agree with him.
  9. HaydnNUFC

    Yoane Wissa

    Edwards? Wissa’s starting against Man City, then.
  10. Could you not with the ageism? Cheers.
  11. Just because it happened last season doesn’t mean it will happen again. We were also better earlier last season than we are currently with a thinner squad in spite of no Europe. 21-22; post January form down to the signings. 22-23; we were excellent nigh on all season. The run of draws early season was down to various things such as VAR decisions not going our way (goal at home to Palace disallowed, pen not given at Wolves, Isak ‘offside’ at Liverpool). 23-24; waiting on injuries to ease up post Christmas. A run happened out of nowhere last season and because it happened last season we’re hoping it happens again. That’s dangerously unsustainable to become a thing imo.
  12. We created a hatful of chances in the first half against Brighton and West Ham last season. And within that run of games you’ve posted you omitted the 3-3 against Liverpool which immediately preceded Brentford. Brighton and West Ham devolved into shambolic messes in the second half, though that can be put down to lack of options on the bench to change things. We did struggle with chance creation and ball retention early last season though. It took until mid December for it marry up for a period. But it’s been shite again since mid April. People are getting jittery and tbf imo rightly critical of performances from both players and the manager like they were then. Hopefully a run happens again but that’s based on nothing currently as chance creation isn’t there atm and we do have squad options currently.
  13. I remember my fatha and his mates that we go to matches with telling me after we stuffed Villa 4-0 at SJP that season to make the most of days of like that, as it won't be long before that the becomes the expected norm. Alas the difference in us between for example 93-94 and the following years under Keegan or 03-04 contrasted with the two prior seasons under Robson. Similar with the second half of 21-22 tbh. That 18 month period is my favourite ever time following us. However it's vital to keep making strives forward and evolving. Despite 23-24's PL record of goalscoring or last season's cup win I still think 22-23 is our best side under Howe.
  14. In spite of finally getting silverware last season, 22-23 is by far my most enjoyable season following us. Think it'll be my generation's 93-94. We were well in every single match (apart from Villa away) home and away, seemed to play well 9 games out of 10 and I reckon most of my favourite matches that I've attended are from that season. No ballot and ID horse shite either.
  15. Quick gewgle and it’s actually our joint second best season for wins. Harsh, recency bias from me. Will give that an edit. But we did however fail to win against any of the top 12 aside from Forest last season and scarcely played well from memory. The record against decent sides that TRC posted is really poor, though. 2001-02 and 1993-94 (21 games) are our best seasons away from home in the PL.
  16. I do think we miss having a player like him. Not him particularly. I think Doku’s display yesterday shows the value of having some unpredictability in the side. Ndiaye at Everton similar. We appear incredibly functional atm and we’re suffering from a lack of creativity and guile.
  17. That appears so. It feels like we’ve been pretty poor away from SJP since 2022-23 tbh. That season we competed and created in every single match. Hasn’t felt like that since.
  18. Misread your post as I didn’t realise you said away games. It’s not true as our win at Forest in November was when they were in the top 4 iirc. It’s still a honking record. We didn’t win away at any of the top 12 last season other than them.
  19. I assume you mean since January 2025 as that is absolutely not true. We beat Forest who were in the top 7 at least in February. Unsure where Palace and Brentford were in April but I doubt it was the bottom 8.
×
×
  • Create New...