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Posts
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Everything posted by Checko
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Agree, the recent improvement isn't just because of Tonali in the 6 and Bruno in the 8. The midfield three are far more flexible now. Could also be helped by Hall supporting Gordon meaning the LCM doesn't need to support the winger as much.
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Yeah, he always fucking scores against them too!
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Hmmm, big fee signing for a talented Real Sociedad player who's had a bit of a down year you say...
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Reckon he does his trick and then gets people's orders wrong for a laugh? I would.
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Wonder if they'll just pivot to the 80s NUFC one we're using on the white strip. This year kind of testing the reaction. If they want to simplify the badge for easier branding it would make sense. I like the design personally.
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https://www.premierinjuries.com/teams/arsenal Looks like they have Sterling, White, Saka, Nwaneri, Tomiyasu out. Havertz 50/50 Timber's on that list but looks to have been suspended for their last league game and can play now. Whereas we have Wilson, Schar, Bruno, Lascelles, Pope and Krafth out with Botman rated 75% https://www.premierinjuries.com/teams/newcastle-united
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Should have come here. He could have been living the Lloyd Kelly life!
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From Dennis Wise scouting Khusanov looks like a talent but might benefit from another year and a half in the French Leagues, Saliba Style,to refine his game a bit.
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Ask Brighton. It's their fault.
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It's definitely one of those things that's a bit weird and unintuitive. Particularly given the massive difference in odds.
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Definitely the way cool people would do it.
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ALWAYS CHANGE DOOR!
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Absolutely, fuck we might even get some money out of Mike Ashley finally!
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Basically our new stadium should have a casino.
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TBH I don't remember reading what you've quoted, and if I did I certainly didn't understand it! What I was responding to was the point that because winning 9 in a row is so unlikely we are more likely to lose or draw in the next few games as it's super rare to win 9 in a row. That's not true, the odds of winning future games will still be the same (or even slightly higher due to being in good form). Hence the coin analogy.
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Winning 9 in a row is super unlikely. But we've already won 5 in a row. So to win 9 in a row we need to win 4 in a row. Which is not as unlikely.
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And what were the odd of that!
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Wouldn't be concerned if it wasn't Ginola14 saying that
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Not based on what I quoted tbh!
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Don't think I've even seen a coin since the pandemic!
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No that's not how it works Eg flipping a 50/50 coin - odds of 10 heads in a row is 0.098% or about 1 in a thousand. Super unlikely to keep getting heads. 9 in a row is about 1 in 500 chance. But if you flip 9 in a row the next coin you flip still has a 50% chance of being a head.
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Lets say we have an 80% chance of winning each of the next 4 games. Probably far higher than they actually are. Odds of winning the next game: (0.8) 80% Odds of winning the next 2: (0.8x0.8) = 64% Odds of winning the next 3: (0.8x0.8x0.8) = 51.2% Odds of winning the next 4: (0.8x0.8x0.8x0.8) = 40% At 70% chance it would be 24% to win all 4 At 60% it would be 13% Past performance might increase odds in that if you've won 5 on the bounce you're probably playing well and confident, so perhaps slightly increases the probability of winning the future games. But that's it.
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Doesn't seem to have played 50 prem games for any team. According to wikipedia his most was 41 for Portsmouth.
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So it was Kanu, Yakubu, El Hadji Diouf and Diame. Good question.