Yorkie Posted February 25, 2013 Share Posted February 25, 2013 I don't think it's something you can even apply to a scale. You either think we're going down or you don't, so you can't really attach a number to it. You don't think it's possible to say that there's a 30% chance we'll go down, or 50/50, or whatever? No, I think that's a pretty ridiculous way of looking at it personally. We will/we might/we won't - that's it for me. How can you calculate a percentage of likelihood over something like this? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest icemanblue Posted February 25, 2013 Share Posted February 25, 2013 I've been kind and removed the usernames, but howay : Still a 9. Before the home games we lost vs weaker sides i voted a 9 also, so should be 10 now. Relegation form it is, and i still cant see it turning around any time soon. If it was anyone else, we'd be saying, 'they're gone' 10 Doomed now. Lose your best players Ba then Colo what a fucking joke run club this is once again. 10. I'm a 10. f***ing hell. We're doomed! Here we come http://img833.imageshack.us/img833/7356/200pxthefootballleague.png Hope i'm wrong obviously. We're going down imo. Too much bad shit going on. We can't seem to build any positive momentum. Too little too late. We're fucked. Honestly reckon we'll go now. Half way through the transfer window and still we are a step behind where we were when it started. Gutted but gradually becoming massively apathetic towards the whole thing. Was 8. Now a 9. http://www.reactiongifs.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/12/titanic.gif 10- Game set and Match. The dickhead in charge's attacking strategy is actually to hit balls at the opposition defence and a) hope there is a defensive spillage b) hope Ba/Cisse can finish from any spillage. THAT IS THE FULL EXTENT OF OUR ATTACKING PLAY. It's been the same with Cabaye, HBA and Colo in the team at different points this season. I'm at a non-sarcastic 9, because I don't think we'll get rid of Pardew until very late in the day. Right, I'm at 10. They start from 3/1 and up to 20/1. Just over four weeks ago. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mole_Toonfan Posted February 25, 2013 Share Posted February 25, 2013 You are way too kind if that was me i would have been full on arsehole about it. ( unless one of those quotes is me which is entirely possible ) Alas hindsight is a wonderful thing. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
AyeDubbleYoo Posted February 25, 2013 Share Posted February 25, 2013 I don't think it's something you can even apply to a scale. You either think we're going down or you don't, so you can't really attach a number to it. You don't think it's possible to say that there's a 30% chance we'll go down, or 50/50, or whatever? No, I think that's a pretty ridiculous way of looking at it personally. We will/we might/we won't - that's it for me. How can you calculate a percentage of likelihood over something like this? Well you don't have to calculate it, it's just an estimate of how likely something is to happen. Like when you bet on a result or a league winner or whatever. Unless you swing for 'we're going down' to 'we're staying up' as it was black and white (which admittedly some people have done!) you need some way to express it. Anyway, it's a fairly irrelevant discussion this! Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
NG32 Posted February 25, 2013 Share Posted February 25, 2013 This thread has had more resets then an old artari games console. Im at a firm 6. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
AyeDubbleYoo Posted February 25, 2013 Share Posted February 25, 2013 This thread has had more resets then an old artari games console. Im at a firm 6. It's more likely we'll go down than stay up? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
bowlingcrofty Posted February 25, 2013 Share Posted February 25, 2013 I'd say we're a 2. We're all but safe, but there's always that niggling doubt we could NUFCify our season again. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest icemanblue Posted February 25, 2013 Share Posted February 25, 2013 This thread has had more resets then an old artari games console. Im at a firm 6. It's more likely we'll go down than stay up? It's gone down from a definite 10, like. Progress. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
NG32 Posted February 25, 2013 Share Posted February 25, 2013 This thread has had more resets then an old artari games console. Im at a firm 6. It's more likely we'll go down than stay up? Im still nervous. Hence a firm 6. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jill Posted February 25, 2013 Share Posted February 25, 2013 I'm at a 3 now. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted February 25, 2013 Share Posted February 25, 2013 What a fun thread this has been. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tiresias Posted February 25, 2013 Share Posted February 25, 2013 I was so sure we were going down after reading lol, still say not too low due to risk of another injury crisis, but with west ham norwich and sunderland all dropping and with our momentum think we'll have escaped Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Incognito Posted February 25, 2013 Share Posted February 25, 2013 Anyone that didn't think we were in trouble at the turn of the year were in cloud cuckoo land...we had a team nowhere near full strength due to injuries, a manager who alone was costing us points with cowardly tactics and moronic substitutions and what seemed to be a player, Ba, dictating how and where he should play, to the detriment of the team. I'm not wearing this bollocks that Stu is bumping his gums about that we were always certainties to avoid relegation. Stu always takes a contrary view to sense, just to contrive conflict. Anyhow, like all here, I'm delighted with the investments and the way they've started life at SJP, I voted 2 whereas at the start of the year I'd have voted a 7/8. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
cp40 Posted February 25, 2013 Share Posted February 25, 2013 What a fun thread this has been. i love it whenever anybody posts the wrong side of 5. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
mrmojorisin75 Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 what incognito said Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest icemanblue Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Anyone that didn't think we were in trouble at the turn of the year were in cloud cuckoo land...we had a team nowhere near full strength due to injuries, a manager who alone was costing us points with cowardly tactics and moronic substitutions and what seemed to be a player, Ba, dictating how and where he should play, to the detriment of the team. I'm not wearing this bollocks that Stu is bumping his gums about that we were always certainties to avoid relegation. Stu always takes a contrary view to sense, just to contrive conflict. Anyhow, like all here, I'm delighted with the investments and the way they've started life at SJP, I voted 2 whereas at the start of the year I'd have voted a 7/8. That's nonsense, like. I wasn't, at any point, seriously worried about relegation. As I maintained all along, things were always going to get easier/better when our better players returned. We were also always going to strengthen. Admittedly, I didn't think we'd strenghten quite as well as we have. The mood at matches and amongst my family and friends didn't come close to mirroring the mood on here, so perhaps that helped. I genuinely think that, unless you're cut adrift at the bottom, noone can be certain (a 9 or a 10) that a team is going down at that stage. The season doesn't end in January, as we've seen so many times before. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Incognito Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Anyone that didn't think we were in trouble at the turn of the year were in cloud cuckoo land...we had a team nowhere near full strength due to injuries, a manager who alone was costing us points with cowardly tactics and moronic substitutions and what seemed to be a player, Ba, dictating how and where he should play, to the detriment of the team. I'm not wearing this bollocks that Stu is bumping his gums about that we were always certainties to avoid relegation. Stu always takes a contrary view to sense, just to contrive conflict. Anyhow, like all here, I'm delighted with the investments and the way they've started life at SJP, I voted 2 whereas at the start of the year I'd have voted a 7/8. That's nonsense, like. I wasn't, at any point, seriously worried about relegation. As I maintained all along, things were always going to get easier/better when our better players returned. We were also always going to strengthen. Admittedly, I didn't think we'd strenghten quite as well as we have. The mood at matches and amongst my family and friends didn't come close to mirroring the mood on here, so perhaps that helped. I genuinely think that, unless you're cut adrift at the bottom, noone can be certain (a 9 or a 10) that a team is going down at that stage. The season doesn't end in January, as we've seen so many times before. I said 7 or 8 at the turn of the year, and stated why. Without the investment that we couldn't have been sure we were getting due to the owner's iffy record of spending, we would have been much worse off than we are now points wise. Stu, like yourself,a hindsight prophet, stated he was a 1 pre-investment. Absolute lunacy. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Phil K Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 I'm saying 5. I'm not tempting fate. Amazing what 2 good wins does though. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest icemanblue Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Anyone that didn't think we were in trouble at the turn of the year were in cloud cuckoo land...we had a team nowhere near full strength due to injuries, a manager who alone was costing us points with cowardly tactics and moronic substitutions and what seemed to be a player, Ba, dictating how and where he should play, to the detriment of the team. I'm not wearing this bollocks that Stu is bumping his gums about that we were always certainties to avoid relegation. Stu always takes a contrary view to sense, just to contrive conflict. Anyhow, like all here, I'm delighted with the investments and the way they've started life at SJP, I voted 2 whereas at the start of the year I'd have voted a 7/8. That's nonsense, like. I wasn't, at any point, seriously worried about relegation. As I maintained all along, things were always going to get easier/better when our better players returned. We were also always going to strengthen. Admittedly, I didn't think we'd strenghten quite as well as we have. The mood at matches and amongst my family and friends didn't come close to mirroring the mood on here, so perhaps that helped. I genuinely think that, unless you're cut adrift at the bottom, noone can be certain (a 9 or a 10) that a team is going down at that stage. The season doesn't end in January, as we've seen so many times before. I said 7 or 8 at the turn of the year, and stated why. Without the investment that we couldn't have been sure we were getting due to the owner's iffy record of spending, we would have been much worse off than we are now points wise. Stu, like yourself,a hindsight prophet, stated he was a 1 pre-investment. Absolute lunacy. Eh? Are you being serious, or what? I said all of this at the time. Investment, players returning, the lot. There's no hindsight involved. It's also not lunacy. The fact we're in the positon we are now is a pretty fucking good testament to that. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Varadi Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 We're now around 20/1 with the bookies. The mackems are in to 12/1... Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dokko Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Wonder where we would be had we bought no one? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Phil K Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 That's nonsense, like. I wasn't, at any point, seriously worried about relegation..... Hindsight's a wonderful thing If we HADN'T signed anyone, we'd have been level with Villa and worried sick Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
AyeDubbleYoo Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 I was worried, as I know that it's very possible for a club like us to go down in the right circumstances. I never went above about a 40% chance, but I was definitely worried. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest icemanblue Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 That's nonsense, like. I wasn't, at any point, seriously worried about relegation..... Hindsight's a wonderful thing If we HADN'T signed anyone, we'd have been level with Villa and worried sick Fuck off with the hindsight shite, man. I haven't just started saying this now. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Incognito Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Anyone that didn't think we were in trouble at the turn of the year were in cloud cuckoo land...we had a team nowhere near full strength due to injuries, a manager who alone was costing us points with cowardly tactics and moronic substitutions and what seemed to be a player, Ba, dictating how and where he should play, to the detriment of the team. I'm not wearing this bollocks that Stu is bumping his gums about that we were always certainties to avoid relegation. Stu always takes a contrary view to sense, just to contrive conflict. Anyhow, like all here, I'm delighted with the investments and the way they've started life at SJP, I voted 2 whereas at the start of the year I'd have voted a 7/8. That's nonsense, like. I wasn't, at any point, seriously worried about relegation. As I maintained all along, things were always going to get easier/better when our better players returned. We were also always going to strengthen. Admittedly, I didn't think we'd strenghten quite as well as we have. The mood at matches and amongst my family and friends didn't come close to mirroring the mood on here, so perhaps that helped. I genuinely think that, unless you're cut adrift at the bottom, noone can be certain (a 9 or a 10) that a team is going down at that stage. The season doesn't end in January, as we've seen so many times before. I said 7 or 8 at the turn of the year, and stated why. Without the investment that we couldn't have been sure we were getting due to the owner's iffy record of spending, we would have been much worse off than we are now points wise. Stu, like yourself,a hindsight prophet, stated he was a 1 pre-investment. Absolute lunacy. Eh? Are you being serious, or what? I said all of this at the time. Investment, players returning, the lot. There's no hindsight involved. It's also not lunacy. The fact we're in the positon we are now is a pretty fucking good testament to that. So it was madness for people rightly worried about relegation to vote 9 at Christmas,but not for contrary WUMs to vote 1? You for real ? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
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