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8 minutes ago, The College Dropout said:

Looking at this there's 2 exceptional sides. And a glut of teams at about the same expected goal difference. With Bournemouth & Forest as outliers.

forest performing as the 13th best side in the league but somehow getting the 3rd most points sounds about right to me based on what I’ve seen of them

 

cannot see them maintaining this level of good fortune for the rest of the season

 

 

Edited by Smal

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7 minutes ago, Smal said:

forest performing as the 13th best side in the league but somehow getting the 3rd most points sounds about right to me based on what I’ve seen of them

 

cannot see them maintaining this level of good fortune for the rest of the season

 

 

 

What about when they beat us on Sunday?

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10 minutes ago, Smal said:

forest performing as the 13th best side in the league but somehow getting the 3rd most points sounds about right to me based on what I’ve seen of them

 

cannot see them maintaining this level of good fortune for the rest of the season

 

 

 

They got a battering which might distort the numbers a bit. Outside the Liverpool and the other game they got battered in, I don't think they give up lots of quality chances. Maybe a lot of low quality chances that add up.

 

I fancy Forest to keep it tight at the back ish.

 

It's Bournemouth's A1 finishing that I think is harder to sustain.

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26 minutes ago, The College Dropout said:

They got a battering which might distort the numbers a bit. Outside the Liverpool and the other game they got battered in, I don't think they give up lots of quality chances. Maybe a lot of low quality chances that add up.

 

I fancy Forest to keep it tight at the back ish.

 

It's Bournemouth's A1 finishing that I think is harder to sustain.

Surely them just winning 7-0 distorts it back the other way?

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We need a statement win on the weekend. We are at home, they have Chris Wood as their star player, we have Alexander Isak. On paper we are much better than them, lose and we have given ourselves a pretty big mountain to climb.

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