Jump to content

Pata

Member
  • Posts

    20,732
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by Pata

  1. Gouffran not even thinking about running for the ball Sissoko played.
  2. 1-1 would be the dream result.
  3. Pata

    Relegationometer

    I'm just a passenger having some fun with numbers.
  4. Pata

    Relegationometer

    IT'S JUST A SAYING, YOU CAN'T PRINT LEGIT MONEY!
  5. Pata

    Relegationometer

    http://i.imgur.com/rmdSx.gif
  6. Pata

    Relegationometer

    You see the post I originally quoted? Fundamental lack of understanding about the relegationometer while questioning other people's choices. That pisses me off as I said earlier. Obviously (?) the 'bet your savings on this' is hyperbole. Doesn't change the fact that getting 5/4 on something you think is 70-100% likely to happen is basically printing money. It's not my own percentage system, it's fucking common sense. Betting is based on probability and odds! Short priced favourite can still be a good price and betting on them actually lowers the variance. L'Ami Serge would have been a good bet (regardless of the outcome) at 1/5 if you expected him/her to have a 90% chance to win before the race. Losing that bet is just variance but you would be making money in the long run as it was clearly +EV.
  7. Pata

    Relegationometer

    People not understanding the number in this thread has been a pet hate of mine for seasons now. 6 means people think we are 60% likely to go down, that's not very confident. You can get 2.25-2.32 from the bookies that we go down. The 7-10 camp should put all their savings on that and print money. I'm at a 7. So apparently, I think there is a 70% chance we'll go down. According to you, I should go and put thousands of pounds on us getting relegated at around 5/4. How is the terrible tipping line business? You winning much? I'll keep my money in the bank, cheers. Ooh, look at Richie Rich here. To be honest I don't know how much money you have in the bank but it's poor form to openly brag about it. 5/4 needs about 45% probability, that's terrible value for you with your 70% expectancy? Guaranteed to be the bet of your life, no matter the outcome. For the other questions, I don't have a tipping line business or bet much outside some major events. You win some and you lose some. I hope you don't bet much. (Hope I'm not getting whooshed, your post was so tragic that I wouldn't know what to bet on at 5/4.)
  8. Pata

    Steve McClaren

    Is that Marcelo Bielsa?
  9. Pata

    Relegationometer

    The rating system is pretty clear, thought or no thought behind it.
  10. Pata

    Relegationometer

    People not understanding the number in this thread has been a pet hate of mine for seasons now. 6 means people think we are 60% likely to go down, that's not very confident. You can get 2.25-2.32 from the bookies that we go down. The 7-10 camp should put all their savings on that and print money.
  11. Pata

    Sunderland

    That's not exactly the same age. She's one month older. Try not to be a tit all your life I didn't write that if someone reports it.
  12. Pata

    Sunderland

    That's not exactly the same age. She's one month older.
  13. Well, there was a time it was quite the opposite. He only turned it on against the ManU or Chelsea.
  14. He's always good against teams like WBA at home.
  15. Never been sent off for two yellows in the league for us IIRC.
  16. I'll get this done next week. Don't let this drop out of the first page.
  17. What's embarrassing? People are saying he keeps missing sitters and he does. People go overboard with the criticism and the praise. If he was converting his easier chances I'd say he'd been brilliant. If Riviere was missing the chances Mitro is he'd be shot with s***. These posts in the bottom are an example of posts that are embarrassing after the game he had today. I also don't think his finishing is going to be dogshit forever or that the veranda spider will forever shoot better than him. He has scored 20 goals a season already in his career and he is only 21.
×
×
  • Create New...