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10 minutes ago, Sibierski said:

16.5% has to be bollocks, I’m on 0 out of I think 8 :D 

 

For Ipswich one, instead of a pair, gone as an individual and Mrs as one too. Test to see who’s successful. Someone who’s been a member for like a decade and always enters ballot, or someone who’s been a member since last season and never enter a ballot as the lead person.


You can easily get a really long losing streak with a percentage like that. I think that’s the hard thing to understand about probability, especially when the sample size of a football season is so small. 
 

It’s like you’re flipping a coin 20 times, you couldn’t be surprised if it came down heads 15 times. You need to flip it hundreds of times to get the results we all expect. 

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10 minutes ago, Sibierski said:

16.5% has to be bollocks, I’m on 0 out of I think 8 :D 

 

Not really, if you were 1 out of 8, you’d be at 12.5%, so just about the average.

 

There’ll obviously be someone out there who’s 2 out of 8, and luck has decreed that they’ve effectively got your ‘1’.

 

However, fully appreciate that the maths is no consolation when you just want to get to a game.

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10 minutes ago, AyeDubbleYoo said:

I’m terrified of them getting rid of general sale. The fairest way is 100% ballot but right now I can almost guarantee going to the games I want through general sale. 
 

Don’t envy the people who have to rely on the ballot, it’s awful. 

I’m pretty certain they have to allocate a certain % of ticket allocation to general sale. 

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Just now, Jordan said:

I’m pretty certain they have to allocate a certain % of ticket allocation to general sale. 


The ballot would count as general sale for those purposes though I guess. I think they could do 100% ballot if they wanted. 
 

I don’t know for sure though. 

 

 

Edited by AyeDubbleYoo

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I have applied for most ballots this season (think I missed one or two) and had 4 successes which seems more than average. 

 

I have been to 12 home games this season and have tickets for the next 3 (Brentford, Man Utd, palace). I have the friends and family set up with 3 or 4 others who, like me, can usually make the 10am general sales. So we are usually able to buy tickets for each other. The site is confusing and not a smooth experience - my 70 year old dad says he doesn’t understand it and can’t do it. So clearly some accessibility issues the club have there, and I buy tickets for him. Most games we sit together. 

 

The site crashing stopped me getting arsenal home tickets in the cup, I didn’t get any Wembley ones and like other members have no chance at an away game. 

 

So clearly the ballot doesn’t work very well, whereas the sale sees me get to the majority of games. The 10am must be a frustration with some people but I don’t see an easy fix to that - if they set it at 7pm for example I’d struggle to get online then for various child care related reasons. 

 

Last season, when I don’t remember the general sale existing, I barely got to any games. 

 

If you are free at 10am on general sale days it is definitely possible to get tickets, including seats together, from my experience this season. The improvements I’d like to see are some kind of long term hope of away eligibility, even if that takes a lot of time and games to accrue. 

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My success ratio in the the ballot is utter shite. Across 2 x memberships and applying as individuals for every game in league and cup I think we've had a couple of wins this season

 

Never fail in general sale though, I get a ticket for every game. Somehow even managed to get a ticket for the Arsenal semi despite the site crashing 

 

We've been through this loads of times on this here board, but there's multiple ways to get a ticket this season, you just have to be savvy. e.g. like @Thorpinho and pals ganging together and using Friends & Family linked accounts 

 

The ballot is just the tip of the iceberg

 

 

 

 

Edited by bobbydazzla

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My mate has applied for every single ballot since August 2023 and he's got one for Villa at home last season (opening day) and Chelsea in the cup this season. Not sure how many games that is in total but I'm guessing at least 30. 

 

He's either doing something terribly wrong or has awful luck.

 

Like others though, he tends to get to most games from member sale. He's probably only missed 5 or 6 in that span, though granted has paid 3 figures for some 'premium' games.

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17 minutes ago, Chicken Dancer said:

My mate has applied for every single ballot since August 2023 and he's got one for Villa at home last season (opening day) and Chelsea in the cup this season. Not sure how many games that is in total but I'm guessing at least 30. 

 

He's either doing something terribly wrong or has awful luck.

 

Like others though, he tends to get to most games from member sale. He's probably only missed 5 or 6 in that span, though granted has paid 3 figures for some 'premium' games.

2 out of 30 is 6.66% so if the average is 16.5%, he’s obviously been pretty unlucky, but he’s not miles and miles away from the norm.

 

5 out of 30 would average, but there’s no doubt someone out there sitting at 8 out of 30 and probably not realising they’ve been very lucky.

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54 minutes ago, SteV said:

2 out of 30 is 6.66% so if the average is 16.5%, he’s obviously been pretty unlucky, but he’s not miles and miles away from the norm.

 

5 out of 30 would average, but there’s no doubt someone out there sitting at 8 out of 30 and probably not realising they’ve been very lucky.

 

I've just counted and it's 42 :lol: He's literally applied for every game; Premier League, CL, FAC & League cup in that span. 

 

Quick counting by me on .com mind! But understand what you're saying regardless :thup: 

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17 minutes ago, Chicken Dancer said:

 

I've just counted and it's 42 :lol: He's literally applied for every game; Premier League, CL, FAC & League cup in that span. 

 

Quick counting by me on .com mind! But understand what you're saying regardless :thup: 

In which case I’ll upgrade him to massively unlucky!

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5.3% success for me. I'll assume it was a definite yes in the ones I didn't apply for. 

 

It's a bit of a naff return but I did alright last season and I've got to several additional games via mates' STs. 

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9 hours ago, AyeDubbleYoo said:


The ballot would count as general sale for those purposes though I guess. I think they could do 100% ballot if they wanted. 
 

I don’t know for sure though. 

 

 

 


Correct. 
 

If you remember it was ballot only the previous year*. Fan requested the split.
 

* Doubting myself now but pretty sure! :lol:

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On 01/04/2025 at 10:32, Sibierski said:

16.5% has to be bollocks, I’m on 0 out of I think 8 :D 

 

For Ipswich one, instead of a pair, gone as an individual and Mrs as one too. Test to see who’s successful. Someone who’s been a member for like a decade and always enters ballot, or someone who’s been a member since last season and never enter a ballot as the lead person.


Both unsuccessful :D Thankfully work quiet on Monday, so blocked out diary to get them on general sale.

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