AyeDubbleYoo Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 8 minutes ago, Slim said: Well that's wrong. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cf Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Just now, AyeDubbleYoo said: Well that's wrong. Everyone knows %s should add up to 100. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
TRon Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 2 hours ago, Slim said: Still think Forest will drop down the table when the pressure mounts, I would hope we can overhaul them. Bournemouth probably not. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
SUPERTOON Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Our issue is either side of that fantastic run we went on, we have been average at best. Our last few leagues games have been more the norm for us this season. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
The College Dropout Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 On 17/02/2025 at 16:38, Smal said: (just scroll past if you don’t like xG) Looking at this there's 2 exceptional sides. And a glut of teams at about the same expected goal difference. With Bournemouth & Forest as outliers. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smal Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 (edited) 8 minutes ago, The College Dropout said: Looking at this there's 2 exceptional sides. And a glut of teams at about the same expected goal difference. With Bournemouth & Forest as outliers. forest performing as the 13th best side in the league but somehow getting the 3rd most points sounds about right to me based on what I’ve seen of them cannot see them maintaining this level of good fortune for the rest of the season Edited February 19 by Smal Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slim Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 7 minutes ago, Smal said: forest performing as the 13th best side in the league but somehow getting the 3rd most points sounds about right to me based on what I’ve seen of them cannot see them maintaining this level of good fortune for the rest of the season What about when they beat us on Sunday? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
The College Dropout Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 10 minutes ago, Smal said: forest performing as the 13th best side in the league but somehow getting the 3rd most points sounds about right to me based on what I’ve seen of them cannot see them maintaining this level of good fortune for the rest of the season They got a battering which might distort the numbers a bit. Outside the Liverpool and the other game they got battered in, I don't think they give up lots of quality chances. Maybe a lot of low quality chances that add up. I fancy Forest to keep it tight at the back ish. It's Bournemouth's A1 finishing that I think is harder to sustain. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteV Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 26 minutes ago, The College Dropout said: They got a battering which might distort the numbers a bit. Outside the Liverpool and the other game they got battered in, I don't think they give up lots of quality chances. Maybe a lot of low quality chances that add up. I fancy Forest to keep it tight at the back ish. It's Bournemouth's A1 finishing that I think is harder to sustain. Surely them just winning 7-0 distorts it back the other way? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
The College Dropout Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 6 hours ago, SteV said: Surely them just winning 7-0 distorts it back the other way? Probably. Get the feeling thier Xg probably wasn't that high though. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Colos Short and Curlies Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 8 hours ago, TRon said: Still think Forest will drop down the table when the pressure mounts, I would hope we can overhaul them. Bournemouth probably not. I know they put 7 away against Fulham but their form since Jan has been won one, don't win one, won one etc. not cliff face but a drop all the same Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
TRC Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 We need a statement win on the weekend. We are at home, they have Chris Wood as their star player, we have Alexander Isak. On paper we are much better than them, lose and we have given ourselves a pretty big mountain to climb. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilliamPS Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 A vital 3 points but somehow I am now less confident of CL than before the game Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
TRon Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 Feels like this is the only thread where we can be 100% happy today. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
LiquidAK Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 Massive 3 points given our next game. Well in the race Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jordan Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 Can’t help but feel like the Brighton and West Ham games at home are going to bite us in arse come the end of the season. We’d be 6pts clear in 3rd at the moment if we won them. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Colos Short and Curlies Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 12 games left, I'd be amazed if Forest and Bournemouth get more than 18 points. This is the point where no matter how well they done for 20-25 games you see how difficult it is to be consistent for 38 games to get top 4. Question is who will put the run together of 24-30 points and pull a little clear of the pack or puts a bit of pressure on. Second question is then what NUFC turns up for the run in Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matt1892 Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 Must win is an overused statement but if we had lost today then I don’t think we would have caught Forest, so the result was what mattered. If 5th is going to get Champions League and Man Utd and Spurs have imploded, then there is no better opportunity to qualify, we just need some consistency to be the best of a pretty average bunch. Such a strange season. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
jack j Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 We could be down to 9th by the time we play west ham with us being the Monday night game. People need to not piss their pants and wait and see how it pans out though. We've got a decent little run of fixtures on paper after the cup final Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
SUPERTOON Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 1 minute ago, jack j said: We could be down to 9th by the time we play west ham with us being the Monday night game. People need to not piss their pants and wait and see how it pans out though. We've got a decent little run of fixtures on paper after the cup final Not sure we can ? Most of the teams around us play each other. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mattoon Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 Win or lose the final I fancy us to go on a run after it, much like '23 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
alexf Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 Annoyingly I am going to assume we might lose that West Ham away. Shouldn't happen but it's the last game before the final and we saw last time how it can effect players mentally. But all of our remaining home games after that all look winnable. A couple will be harder than earlier in the season, like a revitalised Everton for example. But there are 18 points available from home fixtures alone. There are a couple of tougher away fixtures in there. But if we do the business at home then everything we get on the road can be a bonus. I just have doubts about our consistency and squad depth and of course a lot depends on what the other teams around us do with it being so tight. Villa look a threat now with their injection of fresh faces going into the remainder of the season. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stottie Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 Fingers crossed with it, but we've been avoiding draws and that means we can lose a few and get dejected by it, but are still accumulating the three points when we play better. Both Villa and Brighton have fewer losses than us, but are below us for winning fewer games. fwiw, we drew more games in the season we finished fourth (P38 W19 D15 L5) than we have since (P64 W31 D11 L22). Even just a continuation of that form for our remaining twelve games, W6 D2 L4 would give us 64 points and a strong shout for top five. We've been conceding a lot of goals recently, so that is the major concern. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
ExiledGeordie Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 (edited) 11 hours ago, alexf said: Annoyingly I am going to assume we might lose that West Ham away. Shouldn't happen but it's the last game before the final and we saw last time how it can effect players mentally. But all of our remaining home games after that all look winnable. A couple will be harder than earlier in the season, like a revitalised Everton for example. But there are 18 points available from home fixtures alone. There are a couple of tougher away fixtures in there. But if we do the business at home then everything we get on the road can be a bonus. I just have doubts about our consistency and squad depth and of course a lot depends on what the other teams around us do with it being so tight. Villa look a threat now with their injection of fresh faces going into the remainder of the season. The other teams around us have tricky matches midweek so even a loss to Liverpool might not see us lose ground this week. The West Ham fixture is a funny one because it’s very winnable but the players WILL have an eye on the final. Players will be vying for a starting spot tho so it might ironically raise levels. I don’t think our run in including West Ham is too bad really and if we avoid any serious injuries I think we can get top four or 5. Chelsea are faltering badly, Villa will still have to balance CL. Forest have a tough run of games coming up. What will be interesting is to see where the players are at post cup final win or lose. Edited February 24 by ExiledGeordie Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sibierski Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 The squad will decide if we get Europe or not from now on to the end. Unlike last season, we’ve largely been on the good side of injuries this season which if it balances out over rest of season, you probably have one or two key players miss a couple of games. Someone like Villa getting Asensio/Rashford, whilst a short term high cost gamble, that could be what gets them top 7. We now need Barnes to chip in, Osula/Wilson when they’re inevitably called upon and the midfield continuing what they’ve gone recently (Willock / Miley). Villa / Brighton away games could have a massive FA Cup SF at Wembley in-between, Ipswich game then likely rearranged for midweek after Chelsea game would be my guess. All swings about, but I’d say in terms of fixtures and wins, the WHU and Leicester A games are must wins because we don’t want to be relying on home form needing to immaculate. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
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