The Europeometer™ (2024/25) - NUFC Qualify for Conference League (at least)

[Optimistic Nut]

1 minute ago, Paullow said:

No, but we'd just need a make to secure it. The current GD advantage over Chelsea certainly isn't currently 'worth a point'.

 

If Chelsea finished above us though, Forest couldn't? Unless we lose about 0-10 v Arsenal.

[Paullow]

2 minutes ago, Optimistic Nut said:

 

If Chelsea finished above us though, Forest couldn't? Unless we lose about 0-10 v Arsenal.

 

If Villa lose, then they are out of the equation (from our perspective), but then if Forest won their 2 remaining matches (obviously one would include Chelsea) and Chelsea beat Man Utd then we could, and very likely will, finish 6th with 2 losses.

 

 

Edited 18 hours ago by Paullow

[The Fountain]

3 hours ago, 54 said:

If we do finish 2nd, it'll be really interesting to see the title odds next season. I bet we'd still be 5th/6th favorites.

I'm happy with that.

[The Fountain]

3 hours ago, Kid Icarus said:

I think Arsenal will make a point of beating us next match tbh

The fuckers can try.

[Displayname]

8 minutes ago, Optimistic Nut said:

If Villa lose v Spurs, we're all but guaranteed CL? 

 

 

 

All but.

Dont see forest winning both their last games.

[The Butcher]

[Mattoon]

I fancy Palace to get something at home to City fwiw 

[Paullow]

1 minute ago, Mattoon said:

I fancy Palace to get something at home to City fwiw 

Whoosh?

[Stifler]

1 hour ago, Mattoon said:

I fancy Palace to get something at home to City fwiw 

I might be getting whooshed here, but that’s the FA Cup final.

 

 

Edited 17 hours ago by Stifler

[Hanshithispantz]

Man City have Bournemouth 3 days after a cup final, I would be surprised if the win tbh. Fulham away last day for them is a tricky tie too. 

 

Forrest and Chelsea playing eachother means it's a near guarantee we'll finish above atleast one of them

[midds]

PP have us as 1/50 to finish top 5 for the record. We're as low as 1/5 to go top 4. 

 

Doesn't mean it's going to happen but it'll take a ridiculous run of results for us not get at least top 5 now

[Displayname]

3 minutes ago, Hanshithispantz said:

Man City have Bournemouth 3 days after a cup final, I would be surprised if the win tbh. Fulham away last day for them is a tricky tie too. 

 

Forrest and Chelsea playing eachother means it's a near guarantee we'll finish above atleast one of them

City arent safe for sure.

[Paullow]

1 hour ago, Optimistic Nut said:

If you fancied a bit of a safety bet where you could still win a lump and get a CL spot, Skybet have us 7/2 to finish outside of the top 4. Same odds as we are to finish 2nd. 

It's 4/1 at Bet365 and some other random place. I wish there was a 'to finish outside the top 5' odds at a normal bookie (not exchange). PP have us 1/50 to finish top 5, so we'd probably be around 14/1 if they were offering that market.

[Displayname]

1 minute ago, midds said:

PP have us as 1/50 to finish top 5 for the record. We're as low as 1/5 to go top 4. 

 

Doesn't mean it's going to happen but it'll take a ridiculous run of results for us not get at least top 5 now

Odds like those means little to me, if they offer the "reverse" odds on us not making it, it would be another thing.

 

But they arent risking any money on giving us low odds.

[Mattoon]

Nope, no one is getting whooshed, I'm an actual idiot

[Mattoon]

13 minutes ago, Mattoon said:

I fancy Palace to get something at home to City fwiw 

Let's rephrase that, Bournemouth and Fulham are both capable of taking points off City....IF... they turn up like they did against us.

[Displayname]

3 minutes ago, Paullow said:

It's 4/1 at Bet365 and some other random place. I wish there was a 'to finish outside the top 5' odds at a normal bookie (not exchange). PP have us 1/50 to finish top 5, so we'd probably be around 14/1 if they were offering that market.

If you just place bets on Villa and Chelsea win both of their remaining games you will get pretty high odds cumulative. Probably not very far from 14/1. It also can mean that you can still win with Newcastle qualifying to the CL at the same time.

[shorty]

Win both our games and we finish 2nd. Some season this has been no matter what happens from now on. 

[Displayname]

2 minutes ago, shorty said:

Win both our games and we finish 2nd. Some season this has been no matter what happens from now on. 

Realistic worst case is Europa League and a trophy. Never would have believed we would have been here early december. Was almost ready to give up on the season.

[t00nt00n313]

Maybe it's just the pessimist in me but the more I think about it I'm not overly confident in that everton game. 

 

They beat fulham away yesterday which wouldn't have been an easy game, and recently drew against arsenal and beat forest. They are no pushovers by any stretch and have a decent record against us.

 

Be one thing if all we had to do was not lose but there is a very high chance we specifically will need to win. 

 

Defo not out of the woods just yet.

 

Plus side is that if forest and Chelsea ends in a draw we'd only need a point. And If we get a point against arsenal next week, then we are likely to still get CL so long as we get a point at everton and Chelsea don't win against forest.

 

 

Edited 17 hours ago by t00nt00n313

[Holloway]

Be a great away end at the Emirates next weekend, think the Gooners may be having a few reservations going into this one

[JUICE690]

2 hours ago, duo said:

Villa and Chelsea just being gifted 3 points next week

Chelsea were gifted 3 against Liverpool as well. What a shit show that was.

 

 

Edited 17 hours ago by JUICE690

[Danh1]

26 minutes ago, t00nt00n313 said:

Maybe it's just the pessimist in me but the more I think about it I'm not overly confident in that everton game. 

 

They beat fulham away yesterday which wouldn't have been an easy game, and recently drew against arsenal and beat forest. They are no pushovers by any stretch and have a decent record against us.

 

Be one thing if all we had to do was not lose but there is a very high chance we specifically will need to win. 

 

Defo not out of the woods just yet.

 

Plus side is that if forest and Chelsea ends in a draw we'd only need a point. And If we get a point against arsenal next week, then we are likely to still get CL so long as we get a point at everton and Chelsea don't win against forest.

 

 

 

I am not massively confident mind. Purely for the Pickford pantomime. Hope we ignore that for once and concentrate on backing the team

[Scoreboard82]

1 hour ago, Paullow said:

 

If Villa lose, then they are out of the equation (from our perspective), but then if Forest won their 2 remaining matches (obviously one would include Chelsea) and Chelsea beat Man Utd then we could, and very likely will, finish 6th with 2 losses.

 

 

 

Not sure about the very likely bit. GD currently 4 better than Chelsea and if Forest beat Chelsea it would go up to at least 5. More just a possibility IMO.

[Displayname]

3 minutes ago, Scoreboard82 said:

Not sure about the very likely bit. GD currently 4 better than Chelsea and if Forest beat Chelsea it would go up to at least 5. More just a possibility IMO.

Home against Man Utd before their Europa League final could end up being ugly numbers