The Europeometer™ (2024/25) - NUFC Qualify for Conference League (at least)

[The Prophet]

20 minutes ago, Optimistic Nut said:

Surely Villa will have one result like our loss at Man U late in the season? (Wishful thinking)

 

Don't they have a pretty abysmal record at Old Trafford themselves?

[Optimistic Nut]

4 minutes ago, Jackie Broon said:

 

Can't see it happening, they're playing the two worst sides outside of the relegated teams who have absolutely nothing to play for and no interest in the league.

 

 

 

 

We've just seen Southampton hold Man City mind.

[MagPar]

If Man City avoid a hefty points deduction then football is dead,it just screams of corruption. 

 

If they get away with a fine then we should spend as much as we want and accept any fine that comes our way. 

[WilliamPS]

Freak results do happen, but that’s what Spurs or Man Utd taking points off Villa or Chelsea would be. 
 

Of the games I think Spurs getting a point away at Villa as the most likely as I think Spurs will play a decent side. It’s clutching at straws though.

Villa may have had a historically bad record at Old Trafford but honestly I think that is the easiest fixture possible on the final day - whether they win the Europa or not.

 

[Jackie Broon]

7 minutes ago, Optimistic Nut said:

 

We've just seen Southampton hold Man City mind.

 

Yeah, but they had something to play for, to get more than 11 points and their better players will be motivated to get moves. Arguably, the relegated teams are more dangerous opponents than Spurs and Man U at the moment.

[Ikon]

First of all I don’t think it will come to that but let’s say it does hypothetically . If we struggle to go a couple of goals up against Everton quite early on when we have to win, I don’t think I would survive watching us hanging on to a say 1-0 lead where we sit deep and struggle for control and getting out of our own third. It would kill me  

[Keegans Export]

2 hours ago, GideonShandy said:

A hefty points reduction for City (or even a modest one) would make things a lot more comfortable.

 

https://sport.optus.com.au/news/premier-league/os90077/manchester-city-charges-verdict-punishments-guilty

 

1 hour ago, Beren said:

 

Completely forgot about this!

 

Coiled like Stone Cold about to deliver a stunner!

No chance they get a points deduction this season, next season at the earliest.

 

Might help our title challenge...

[johnny36]

I still think Man Utd & Spurs will have a say..Granted they have been terrible all season but Ange and Amorim will want to stop the rot. They wont want to be going into a major  Final in negative fashion. Some of their fringe players will be wanting to impress and play in the final and also Ange and Amorim are probably fighting for their futures too Ange moreso

[Superior Acuña]

Would rather Man City lose points next season, helping us to win the league.

[PRL]

Virgin Bet have Villa and Chelsea double just under evens if anyone wants an emotional hedge. Whack Forest in and it’s over 3s. 

[Ronaldo]

18 minutes ago, johnny36 said:

I still think Man Utd & Spurs will have a say..Granted they have been terrible all season but Ange and Amorim will want to stop the rot. They wont want to be going into a major  Final in negative fashion. Some of their fringe players will be wanting to impress and play in the final and also Ange and Amorim are probably fighting for their futures too Ange moreso

Amorim will be in charge start of next season regardless. I hope you’re right though. 

[WilliamPS]

3 minutes ago, Ronaldo said:

Amorim will be in charge start of next season regardless. I hope you’re right though. 

If Amorim wins the Europa I can see him walking away. Clearly not enjoying himself, can say he won something and go off and join a normal club.

[timeEd32]

2 hours ago, Erikse said:

 

I'm still having anxiety about those last 10 min of the Leicester 0-0 game 2 years ago.  We were absolutely smashing them up until that point, and they had nothing. Last 10 min we decided to "be smart" by passing it around the back instead, and lost the ball there couple of times only to concede big chances. Pope had to make a crazy save in the end.

 

 

 

 

That game was ridiculous. 78% possession, 23 shots (3 off the post), and 12 corners. They didn't have a shot until the 93rd minute and almost won it.

[Erikse]

3 hours ago, Ikon said:

First of all I don’t think it will come to that but let’s say it does hypothetically . If we struggle to go a couple of goals up against Everton quite early on when we have to win, I don’t think I would survive watching us hanging on to a say 1-0 lead where we sit deep and struggle for control and getting out of our own third. It would kill me  

 

That's what scares me already about that game. I can see us go 1-0 up, and then invite them into our box in the last 30 or so.  Would barely be able to watch that again. I do think we have a good shot at beating Arsenal though. I really hope we do. Just to remove any doubt.

 

 

Edited 11 hours ago by Erikse

[Erikse]

2 hours ago, timeEd32 said:

 

That game was ridiculous. 78% possession, 23 shots (3 off the post), and 12 corners. They didn't have a shot until the 93rd minute and almost won it.

 

Yeah, for sure. If the game goes like that vs Everton and we simply have average luck instead of what happened that day, we will be atleast 3-0 up by the time we reach 80 min anyways.

 

 

Edited 11 hours ago by Erikse

[huss9]

hoping WHam get a draw or win against Forest, then Forest beat Chelsea.

[Mazzy]

30 minutes ago, huss9 said:

hoping WHam get a draw or win against Forest, then Forest beat Chelsea.

 

I can only see Forest beating Chelsea if they've got the win against West Ham. 

[NWMag]

I know in isolation they are all winnable games for our opponents, but to expect City, Chelsea, Villa and Forest to do as well as they all can from their remaining games isn’t as much of a ‘done deal’ as it seems. 
 

I bet if you were to do an acca for 2 city wins, 2 villa wins, a win each for Chelsea and forest, and whatever you want from the Chelsea/forest game, it would be at least 15/1.

 

how many 15/1 bets are classed as bankers? 
 

Point is that whilst it will be twitchy until the end, we will probably end up with CL even if we don’t get 3 points from here on in. We only need 3 to guarantee it, so I’m sure 2 draws would be enough.

[BermyToon]

Arsenal, City, Chelsea and Villa are all VERY LIKELY to get at least 69 points, so we would need one more win to guarantee top 5.

 

If Villa drop points this Friday, then obviously we would need one point only.

[Geordie Ahmed]

4 hours ago, Mazzy said:

 

I can only see Forest beating Chelsea if they've got the win against West Ham. 

 

I agree with this, a draw against West Ham is only useful if Chelsea and Villa fail to win at home on Friday and those games are as close to being a done deal as you can get

 

 

[Elma]

From Oddschecker.

 

I still can't understand how Chelsea are shorter than Villa for top five. For that to happen then Chelsea surely have to win both of their games (without a striker), and in my opinion their games are much harder than Villa's.

[Superior Acuña]

2 minutes ago, Elma said:

From Oddschecker.

 

I still can't understand how Chelsea are shorter than Villa for top five. For that to happen then Chelsea surely have to win both of their games (without a striker), and in my opinion their games are much harder than Villa's.

They both have to win two games, in neither case they’re difficult games on form. But if Villa do it they still might not qualify. Villa have also lost key players.  Makes sense to me. 

 

 

Edited 2 hours ago by Superior Acuña

[AyeDubbleYoo]

3 hours ago, BermyToon said:

Arsenal, City, Chelsea and Villa are all VERY LIKELY to get at least 69 points, so we would need one more win to guarantee top 5.

 

If Villa drop points this Friday, then obviously we would need one point only.

I’m not sure Villa and Chelsea both winning both games is ‘very likely’. It could happen of course, but also probably won’t.  

[Groundhog63]

European qualification discussions are like an "Indecisive Dave" sketch from the Fast show, imho 😂😂😂

 

Not saying who's more Dave like 😉

 

 

[JP]

Happy to back 2 Chelsea wins and 2 Villa wins just to have compensation for last day stress levels.

 

We will beat Everton either way and may even win at Arsenal.