I think more people over-rate our squad.
I can't see an away win anywhere although I think we'll probably get one, I just don't see an away banker. We've been historically (since Bobby) poor away from home and we didn't do very well away to the promoted teams so they aren't going to be easy away games. If we need 40 points to stay up and only get 10 points away which is probably on a par with a lot of our Premiership seasons, where's the 30 home points coming from? I can probably see us getting 24 points at best at home.
There's no way we're getting 40 points.