Happy Face

4 months ago my avatar was changed to the good Terminator and folk were asking me to produce a list of the worst stats available on Pardew to publicise, because I was looking at how badly he was doing. You can't please all of the people all of the time.

Pardew's 48 point target is lower than his own average of over 50 points.

http://oi60.tinypic.com/1zqveow.jpg

It's only obvious if it's your view. Some racists gut feeling would say it's obvious that black people can't swim. It's clear that no olympic champions are black etc. Non racists would say the evidence of statistical analysis says black people are equally capable of swimming but that fewer black people are taught to swim. ...anyway whenever discussion turns to the inherent validity of stats then I bow out. Prefer the discussion around what the stats suggest (or not). No doubt I'll be back with another chart sooner or later

I've been pretty consistent in saying Pardew is was and always has been a s*** manager, from the day we brought him in. Some of his "excuses" have been valid and some of the specific criticisms against him weren't valid imo. The fact he's run out of excuses and stopped winning the bare minimum of games to avoid full throated "Pardew Out" at home games has nowt to do with my graphs. People just seem to like the graphs that bash him/Ashley and dislike the ones that show where they've not actually been too bad. Yes, because they enforce something we all put above graphs; our gut. Aye, Like George Bush, people like to go with their gut. Stats matter when they support my argument but they don't matter when it doesn't. If I get a gut feeling I like it if I can look at the stats too, if they support what I felt in my gut then I have evidence, if not then I either need to reconsider or have someone tell me where my stats have misrepresented my view. Wrong to just disregard. Wullie has provided a perfectly reasonable explanation of why sales haven't been as high as previously. Doesn't alter the fact we've been buying too. You'd expect that with the TV deal though.

I've been pretty consistent in saying Pardew is was and always has been a shit manager, from the day we brought him in. Some of his "excuses" have been valid and some of the specific criticisms against him weren't valid imo. The fact he's run out of excuses and stopped winning the bare minimum of games to avoid full throated "Pardew Out" at home games has nowt to do with my graphs. People just seem to like the graphs that bash him/Ashley and dislike the ones that show where they've not actually been too bad.

It's been suggested that the tranfer policy is incomings must be paid for by outgoings. Any other income will be used for servicing debt and a rainy day fund if we're relegation threatened come January. Happy Face, as someone who pulls an enormous amount of detail from the financial side of how the club is run, can you not factor in some of the cash lost during a transfer, when looking for a net figure over a period of time? I mean, the agent must be paid for, the player takes a cut, a ten million pound transfer can't net a club ten million pounds, can it? I think of the movement of money in these deals as being like the movement of water in a game on 'It's A Knockout', spilling out everywhere. This isn't to say NUFC have spent more than the net amount, but all clubs, because money leaks out every time a player is bought or sold, that's why agents like to tout players around, and why certain agents move certain players as often as possible (or try to at least). Can you put a figure on it? Sure it will vary, but say it was a ten million pound sale - can anyone hazard a guess as to how much the selling club will bank? I know clubs have lots of costs, and some people will say that these payments should be lumped in with wages etc, but for me they are solely brought around by the transfer happening and so should come off the net figure when discussing transfer business over a set period. Ten million pound sale, what do you say? 8 mil in the bank? 7? 9.5? i just whack in the amounts reported when a sale happens. There are no reports of agents fees or owt so not something I could reasonably include and source.

Exactly, perhaps we're less of a selling club than those times (and accrued debts) suggested. Though 3 of them went before relegation was a danger.

It's been suggested that the tranfer policy is incomings must be paid for by outgoings. Any other income will be used for servicing debt and a rainy day fund if we're relegation threatened come January.

Perhaps In a little over 1000 days we sold almost a full team of notable players... Milner N'zogbia Given Martins Duff Beye Bassong Carroll Nolan Enrique In the same period since we've sold Ba, Cabaye and Debuchy. I'm cautious about criticising for what they did rather than what they're doing. It might only be for the reason Wullie mentioned but it's going in a better direction.

Possibly That's the only reason I thought Ashley might sack Pardew... http://nufc-ashlies.blogspot.co.uk/2014/04/ashley-owes-himself-manager-better-than.html

You all know what was meant.... http://i61.tinypic.com/2i16cn.jpg On a moving average of 10 you can see the change from a steep drop which made us a selling club to a consistent increase which suggests we're investing more than we receive, albeit at a lesser gradient.

NUFC net spend since we sold Enrique is £37m. Not suggesting £12m a season should be the extent of our ambition, but it's not the profiteering many seem to think is ongoing. What about the 35m we got before than though? Make that £70m with the other £35m we got for Zoggy, Shay, Martins, Duff, Beye and Bassong. My point was to draw a line under the miserly Pre-Europa approach and look at the level of spendthriftery since.

Doubt the £5 a ticket crowd are going to kick up much of a fuss in replacing the angry walkouts from Cardiff who've not renewed and vowed to never go back.

NUFC net spend since we sold Enrique is £37m. Not suggesting £12m a season should be the extent of our ambition, but it's not the profiteering many seem to think is ongoing.

http://i61.tinypic.com/20zs3rm.jpg

http://oi59.tinypic.com/534snp.jpg

See my pic above. The shorter kit deals haven't increased commercial revenue over the past 4 years either.

In 12/13 we started a new extension with Puma. We were in Europe having finished 5th the season before. Yet our commercial income dropped £2m. Can someone tell me what I've missed? Was the Virgin deal that much less than Northern Rock?

http://nufc-ashlies.blogspot.co.uk/2014/08/nufc-ticket-watch.html

@mikeashleylies In depth look at how #nufc has been exploited for the gain of sports direct http://t.co/bxQM0kkJn6

I wrote a statty piece for True Faith over the summer which backed up what you all told me a year ago when I was still giving him the benefit if the doubt over circumstances. Today's game was the clearest example of this... "Under Pardew, Newcastle have almost completely avoided playing the ball into the box any more. Pardew prefers his players to either have a shot from long range, or to lob a ball into the box over the top for a knock down. He has abandoned all creativity and rather than take the time to break down a defense and create a few good chances, instead he trains his players to create twice as many poor opportunities to get lucky." Read the full piece here... http://nufc-ashlies.blogspot.co.uk/2014/08/what-is-alan-pardews-footballing-vision.html?m=1

I think it's mainly down to all the cheap deals they keep offering - you know for a fact they'll sell half season tickets at a reduced rate come Christmas so even if you just buy individual tickets until then you'll probably end up ahead. It's nothing to do with cheap deals. The standard cost of a season ticket in the Gallowgate for 14/15 is £578. A member buying 19 single tickets (at Man City Prices) would pay a total of £567 (inc £35 membership). Cheaper to not get a season ticket this year.

Ask HF, he seems obsessed with prices on twitter They've made me out to be a right mug with the announcement of public prices this morning... https://twitter.com/MikeAshleyLies/status/494053255765188608/photo/1 Ignore everything I said.

The Myth of Mike Ashley rewarding loyal fans http://t.co/btH1zch3OG