Decky Posted April 1, 2011 Share Posted April 1, 2011 After the Stoke game I thought we were back in the thick of it, but having calmed down a bit I realise that we're all but mathematically safe. Look at the table: http://img28.imageshack.us/img28/9553/tablemt.jpg Do people think Sunderland and Stoke are safe? Because if they are they we are too. We are 4 points clear, arguably 5 with that goal difference. That is a huge amount of points at this stage of the season. Those teams are below us for a reason, they're shite. The reality is about 2 of that bottom 3 will probably finish on about 36 points, certainly no more than about 38. That leaves 1 more spot, looking at those teams below us people really think we can go down? We wont lose our last 8 games, that is simply not going to happen, and if you believe it is then you need to stop being so pessimistic. I think the 18th place team will finish on around 38 or 39 points, which we could well have come 5pm tomorrow. We're still seeing out the season, we're not going down. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
AyeDubbleYoo Posted April 1, 2011 Share Posted April 1, 2011 That's basically my view Decky, it's scarier than it was but still would require a lot of teams to out-perform us by quite a lot. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisMcQuillan Posted April 1, 2011 Share Posted April 1, 2011 That's basically my view Decky, it's scarier than it was but still would require a lot of teams to out-perform us by quite a lot. http://www.premierleague.com/page/FormGuide Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
mrmojorisin75 Posted April 1, 2011 Share Posted April 1, 2011 god villa to go down, that would be glorious - who would ged's 'ginola' be this time i wonder? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Decky Posted April 1, 2011 Share Posted April 1, 2011 That's basically my view Decky, it's scarier than it was but still would require a lot of teams to out-perform us by quite a lot. http://www.premierleague.com/page/FormGuide If we're going to get worried about form, then surely we should take comfort in the fact that 3 of the teams below us are on a worse run of form? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
AyeDubbleYoo Posted April 1, 2011 Share Posted April 1, 2011 That's basically my view Decky, it's scarier than it was but still would require a lot of teams to out-perform us by quite a lot. http://www.premierleague.com/page/FormGuide I know we're not in good form, but we still have the fewest losses of the bottom 7 teams in that form guide. I don't think we're 'safe', and I'm still sweating about relegation, but on balance we're good enough to pick up the 3-6 more points we'll need to survive. There are a lot of games left. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
AyeDubbleYoo Posted April 1, 2011 Share Posted April 1, 2011 Also, the form guide shows that we've picked up a point per game over last 6 games... which if continued would give us another 8 points to make 44. And we have a much better goal difference than everyone else at the bottom. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisMcQuillan Posted April 1, 2011 Share Posted April 1, 2011 Also, the form guide shows that we've picked up a point per game over last 6 games... which if continued would give us another 8 points to make 44. And we have a much better goal difference than everyone else at the bottom. This is true. Was just playing Devil's advocate by showing how many of the teams below us were miles above us on the form table. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
AyeDubbleYoo Posted April 1, 2011 Share Posted April 1, 2011 Also, the form guide shows that we've picked up a point per game over last 6 games... which if continued would give us another 8 points to make 44. And we have a much better goal difference than everyone else at the bottom. This is true. Was just playing Devil's advocate by showing how many of the teams below us were miles above us on the form table. Don't get me wrong, I'm scared, I just think that opinion on here is massively negative at the moment because we've lost two games in a row. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Foluwashola Posted April 1, 2011 Share Posted April 1, 2011 There's virtually no chance that more than 3 of those teams below us will manage to pick up more points than us over the next 8 games. Should be between the current bottom 6. /jinxed Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Roger Kint Posted April 1, 2011 Share Posted April 1, 2011 14-1 They would be tremendous odds to take but we are nowhere near being that safe. Who's offering 14's? edit.. Bloody hell, 12/1 on Ladbrokes. I'll be having a ten spot on that. Wolves 3/1 just to win. Nice double. Paddy Power offering 14's Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Decky Posted April 1, 2011 Share Posted April 1, 2011 We play 5 of those teams below us before the end of the season too. We should still be looking up the table really, the top 10 finish is definitely still on. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Roger Kint Posted April 1, 2011 Share Posted April 1, 2011 We play 5 of those teams below us before the end of the season too. We should still be looking up the table really, the top 10 finish is definitely still on. Be very disappointing given whats left for us to end up on less than 45 tbh. 3 very winnable home games and a few opportunities away to pick up a few draws at least. That will probably put us 12th at least seeing as how tight it is. With luck i agree 10th could be on. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted April 1, 2011 Share Posted April 1, 2011 If we finish 10th then the five year plan is already achieved and we won't need to spend any money in the summer in order to do it again next season. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest icemanblue Posted April 1, 2011 Share Posted April 1, 2011 We should also, at least, break even. That's far better than any kind of European qualification, or silverware! Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
JH Posted April 1, 2011 Share Posted April 1, 2011 The form table is true of now, but I doubt they'll keep that consistent form up. Otherwise they wouldn't be near/in the bottom three in the first place. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueStar Posted April 1, 2011 Share Posted April 1, 2011 http://www.skysports.com/story/0,19528,11661_6846589,00.html Nearly half of skysports.com readers believe Wigan Athletic are most likely to be relegated from this season's Premier League, but the remainder appear split. The uncertainty surrounding this season's relegation battle has been replicated by readers, with only two clubs - Wigan and Wolverhampton Wanderers - polling more than 10 per cent of the vote. Forty-nine per cent of the 15,000 readers who took part in the poll believe bottom-of-the-table Wigan will go down, making them clear favourites; but even Wolves, with 11 per cent, are no guarantee to go down with our readers. Fierce rivals West Brom are third with seven per cent, while four more teams polled between six and seven per cent, reflecting how tight this year's relegation battle is. Blackburn, Blackpool, West Ham and Birmingham make up that contingent, while Aston Villa and Newcastle garnered four and three per cent of the vote respectively. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cajun Posted April 1, 2011 Share Posted April 1, 2011 http://www.skysports.com/story/0,19528,11661_6846589,00.html Nearly half of skysports.com readers believe Wigan Athletic are most likely to be relegated from this season's Premier League, but the remainder appear split. The uncertainty surrounding this season's relegation battle has been replicated by readers, with only two clubs - Wigan and Wolverhampton Wanderers - polling more than 10 per cent of the vote. Forty-nine per cent of the 15,000 readers who took part in the poll believe bottom-of-the-table Wigan will go down, making them clear favourites; but even Wolves, with 11 per cent, are no guarantee to go down with our readers. Fierce rivals West Brom are third with seven per cent, while four more teams polled between six and seven per cent, reflecting how tight this year's relegation battle is. Blackburn, Blackpool, West Ham and Birmingham make up that contingent, while Aston Villa and Newcastle garnered four and three per cent of the vote respectively. No doubt RTG will have had a campaign to vote for us too. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
cp40 Posted April 1, 2011 Share Posted April 1, 2011 this thread should be interesting after the wolves game Depending on other results no doubt there will be talk of Europe again. no chance Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pilko Posted April 2, 2011 Share Posted April 2, 2011 I think that should be about enough. We can certainly not win any more and stay up, imo. Couple of draws will see us comfortable. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
La Parka Posted April 2, 2011 Share Posted April 2, 2011 Safe now we've scored today. Can't possibly go wrong from here. http://www.gamesprays.com/images/icons/trollface-3078_preview.jpg Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
oldtype Posted April 2, 2011 Share Posted April 2, 2011 Phew, guess Crumpy will be disappearing from the forum for another week at least. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdckelly Posted April 2, 2011 Share Posted April 2, 2011 1 more win should see it certain Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaehyun Posted April 2, 2011 Share Posted April 2, 2011 I think we all owe oldtype one big fucken apology. Having said this though, if we lose next week I'll be blaming him again. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest sicko2ndbest Posted April 2, 2011 Share Posted April 2, 2011 17th place needs to get to 40 points to topple us with our goal difference. That means the current bottom 3 need 8 points from 7 games. Cant see it Safe! Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
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