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These "easy" games against "weak" opposition that are supposed to be their lifeline, these must win games... Their record so far against bottom of the table sides (I've included Stoke as number 10 as that appears to be the current 'logical' cut off point between top and bottom half teams):

 

Played: 9 (2 at home, 7 away tbf to them)

Goals scored: 1 (!!!!!)

Goals against: 14

Wins: 0

Draws: 3

Losses: 6

Points: 3

Red cards: 5 (!!!)

Own goals: 3 (!!!)

 

If anything, they have performed better against top half teams (getting 3 points of Man City and us, plus cup wins vs Southampton and Chelsea). Realistically, they will need at least 20 points from the reverse fixtures against these bottom half sides, or 6 wins and 2 draws from 10 fixtures. I know they're "only 4 points from safety", but that just shows the magnitude of the task ahead for them.

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The lowest points tally that a PL club has ever survived relegation is 34. They will have to get another 24 points minimum to reach that. That's 8 wins from 21 remaining games, and will be a tough ask from a team still trying to find their feet.

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Its obvious to say, but with every game that goes by that they don't win, the chances of them staying up decrease.

 

2 games ago (23 games to go) it was all about how they would beat West Ham and Norwich, at worst get 4pts. Now they didn't beat either of them and have 21 games to go with the same gap.

 

The teams above them will likely win at least three games each before the end of the season, so with the mackems fantastic goal difference they will need to win 5 games from their last 23.

 

Next game Everton away...

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They also have 2 winnable games against Cardiff and Villa. Cardiff are probably the worst team in the league. I know Sunderland are bad, but IMO if you cant beat Cardiff with all their on the pitch and off the pitch problems, you might as well quit now. Glad Brown is out for that one.

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what they seem to miss, is the fact many of the teams above them play each other over the coming weeks. Its literally impossible for them all not to win any points.

 

:thup:

 

Another thing they appear to be missing is that despite the current gap to 17th being "only 4 points", they are only a West Ham win away from being 6 points plus a massive goal difference (or 7 points if you will) adrift. Previously there were quite few teams around that 17th spot, but there appears to be a gap forming between the bottom 3 and the rest.

 

Yet another thing they appear to be missing is that to stay up they are not relying on just the one or two teams to fall apart, or not pick up in the case of Fulham and West Ham, but three of them. "On paper" (a game they love to play), two of the arguably weakest squads (Cardiff and Hull) are already 7 and 10 points ahead of them.

 

They are not yet relegated of course, but they are in far worse position than a good number of their fans and players (the "only four points from safety/plenty of home games versus weak opposition left to play" brigade) like to think.

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They also have 2 winnable games against Cardiff and Villa. Cardiff are probably the worst team in the league. I know Sunderland are bad, but IMO if you cant beat Cardiff with all their on the pitch and off the pitch problems, you might as well quit now. Glad Brown is out for that one.

 

You might want to refer to my earlier post about their record in these so-called winnable games/versus these so-called beatable sides. It's worse than pathetic.

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In all honesty they have lost a lot of coin flips. They have only been heavily beaten once under Poyet, and that was his first game. I think defensively they are pretty decent, they just can't score. Adam Johnson or Giaccerini are due a flash of brilliance. If they can't beat Cardiff then I think it is game over for them. but even if they draw they will still be 3 points from safety in all likely hood, going into a home game against a poor Villa team.

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They also have 2 winnable games against Cardiff and Villa. Cardiff are probably the worst team in the league. I know Sunderland are bad, but IMO if you cant beat Cardiff with all their on the pitch and off the pitch problems, you might as well quit now. Glad Brown is out for that one.

Pretty confident Cardiff will beat them

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In all honesty they have lost a lot of coin flips. They have only been heavily beaten once under Poyet, and that was his first game. I think defensively they are pretty decent, they just can't score. Adam Johnson or Giaccerini are due a flash of brilliance. If they can't beat Cardiff then I think it is game over for them. but even if they draw they will still be 3 points from safety in all likely hood, going into a home game against a poor Villa team.

Pretty decent if u ignore the fact they are trying to set a new record for OG's in a season, and only Fulham have conceded more goals than them. Yep, pretty decent.

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