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7 for me. I only see us losing to Hull and I think given the feeling around the club it will spiral downwards, and quickly. We might stay up but we won't be sitting as comfortably as we should be. We don't have anyone up for a fight and we have a team of mercenaries, the same as the last time we went down. I just hope the rest are as shit as we all think...

 

:jesuswept:

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Same thing that happened last time. It can't happen, it won't happen, there are worse teams than us, just need a point here, Hull have a tougher run in....and then we're down. You should have a pretty active pessimistic imagination when it comes to creative, initially implausible ways that this club can fail.

 

The squad is better than at least 3 teams below us. That's totally irrelevant. The "head coach" is more than capable of squandering an 8 point advantage in two months.

I agree and see what you are saying, but for me the fact is that, even the paltry 11 points NUFC received from the last 16 matches in 2008-2009 would leave the club with 38 points, a total that would have seen them safe in nine of the past ten seasons. I just cannot see the team going on this poor of a run. Of course, NUFC have gone about making the threat as real as possible, but we are generally competent in terms of playing staff, imo, and while Carver is an idiot, I don't think he is on a mission of sabotage.

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on paper it seems extremely difficult for us to contrive a relegation like

 

hull, stoke, villa, swansea, leicester, west brom, qpr & west ham - there's enough points in there probably unless we go into a ridiculous freefall that is

thing is freefall is entirely possible. Next 3 games are vital because after that the fixture list turns horrific and by the time Leicester wba QPR etc games come around the confidence could be so badly destroyed from losing game after game after game that I wouldn't fancy our chances anyway. 7 points minimum needed from Hull Stoke and Palace to be sure of safety, I'm not exactly confident on getting that 7 points.

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on paper it seems extremely difficult for us to contrive a relegation like

 

hull, stoke, villa, swansea, leicester, west brom, qpr & west ham - there's enough points in there probably unless we go into a ridiculous freefall that is

thing is freefall is entirely possible. Next 3 games are vital because after that the fixture list turns horrific and by the time Leicester wba QPR etc games come around the confidence could be so badly destroyed from losing game after game after game that I wouldn't fancy our chances anyway. 7 points minimum needed from Hull Stoke and Palace to be sure of safety, I'm not exactly confident on getting that 7 points.

 

yeah i agree to an extent, if hull and palace beat us then we lose that 3rd winnable game we'll be desperate for something from villa at home, lose that and i agree relegation could be a real possibility

 

if he gets one win in the next 3 games we'll stay up though

 

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Isn't a 7 a 70% chance of going down?  I really don't see how our probability of going down at this point can be that high given our points total so far and the dross below us.  I went for a 2, think we'll dodder on to 11th - 15th place.

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At this point in the season we went down we had 23 points, just 4 fewer than we have now.

 

We got another 11 over the rest of the season, if we replicate that this time we'll be OK...

Can see a total like that. Dream the dream.
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At this point in the season we went down we had 23 points, just 4 fewer than we have now.

 

We got another 11 over the rest of the season, if we replicate that this time we'll be OK...

 

Aye, we were an absolute shambles, the players didn't give a fuck, the bottom end of the league was more competitive and we still only went down by the skin of our teeth.

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We're s**** but I think we'll be able to get the required 11 points.

 

Sat 31 12:45 A Hull City MAYBE

February

Sun 08 14:05 H Stoke City  NOPE

Wed 11 20:00 A Crystal Palace NOPE

Sat 21 17:30 A Manchester City NOPE

Sat 28 15:00 H Aston Villa MAYBE

March

Wed 04 19:45 H Man Utd NOPE

Sat 14 15:00 A Everton NOPE

Sat 21 15:00 H Arsenal NOPE

April

Sat 04 15:00 A Sunderland NOPE

Sat 11 15:00 A Liverpool NOPE

Sat 18 15:00 H Tottenham NOPE

Sat 25 15:00 H Swansea City NOPE

May

Sat 02 15:00 A Leicester City MAYBE

Sat 09 15:00 H WBA NOPE

Sat 16 15:00 A QPR MAYBE

Sun 24 15:00 H West Ham Utd NOPE

 

4 games which are ones we should PROBABLY win, but sweet jesus, I just don't know with JC... :sad:

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I think we will get 8 more points at best with Carver, and I think that is doubling his rate of points so far.

 

Its going to be close.

 

Millenium Falcon flying through the Deathstar close.

 

If only we has Lando as our manager.

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We're s**** but I think we'll be able to get the required 11 points.

 

Sat 31 12:45 A Hull City MAYBE

February

Sun 08 14:05 H Stoke City  NOPE

Wed 11 20:00 A Crystal Palace NOPE

Sat 21 17:30 A Manchester City NOPE

Sat 28 15:00 H Aston Villa MAYBE

March

Wed 04 19:45 H Man Utd NOPE

Sat 14 15:00 A Everton NOPE

Sat 21 15:00 H Arsenal NOPE

April

Sat 04 15:00 A Sunderland NOPE

Sat 11 15:00 A Liverpool NOPE

Sat 18 15:00 H Tottenham NOPE

Sat 25 15:00 H Swansea City NOPE

May

Sat 02 15:00 A Leicester City MAYBE

Sat 09 15:00 H WBA NOPE

Sat 16 15:00 A QPR MAYBE

Sun 24 15:00 H West Ham Utd NOPE

 

4 games which are ones we should PROBABLY win, but sweet jesus, I just don't know with JC... :sad:

 

the thing with this is you can see some of the defeats being bad, like pardew level bad and as they're going to come thick and fast the cumulative effect might be catastrophic for our squad with a comedian in charge

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Probably going to need 4 wins & 1 draw to keep us up.

 

Best opportunities for wins are: Hull (A), Stoke (H), Aston Villa (H) & Leicester (A)

 

Hull have a pretty depleted team atm, Stoke just lost Bojan for the season, Villa have been woeful all season, and Leicester have been in the bottom 3 for a few months now.

 

SHOULD be ok, but with Carver in charge, you never know.

Personally, I think with Cisse, De Jong, Aarons & Obertan coming back, we should have enough to see us through a handful of games.

Hopefully we can sneak an unexpected win/draw from some. Obviously didn't expect anything off the likes of Chelsea, but we managed it, somehow.

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Guest Roger Kint

If we dont get 7 points in the next 5 we are in serious shit when the inevitable 1 point from 7 in March/April hits us. Going to be tight imo as i wouldnt want to play any of those final 4 games on the back of a long run of hidings

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I think Hull, Villa, Leicester and QPR are where we should get the wins but it's never that simple with us. We'll probably fluke some results elsewhere and get bummed by the four I've mentioned.

 

Either way, it's going to be tight as.

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Guest TruToon94

I can't understand why QPR are being lumped in as a possibility of us winning.  'Arry has a great record against us and we're going to be playing away.... We're really shite away and they're really good at home I can't see us winning that.

 

I think Hull and Villa are beatable. Can't see any other points coming in.

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