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The Europeometer™ (2024/25) - NUFC Qualify for Champions League


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Just now, r0cafella said:

The nah was referencing changing ones tune. 

Ah okay. Fair.

 

I do think Forest falling away is being seen as a bit of a given at the moment though and if they win well tonight there'll be a few adjustments on the predictors. We'll see though. 

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Man C need to beat Villa for our sake 

 

Then hopefully we beat Ipswich and go 5 clear with 4 to play - think that will ease everyone’s anxiety for a bit 

 

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2 minutes ago, Mikky said:

Man C need to beat Villa for our sake 

 

Then hopefully we beat Ipswich and go 5 clear with 4 to play - think that will ease everyone’s anxiety for a bit 

 

Yep if Villa were to beat Man City it's likely we will need to win all our home games plus one of the away ones to finish above them.

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3 minutes ago, Geogaddi said:

Yep if Villa were to beat Man City it's likely we will need to win all our home games plus one of the away ones to finish above them.


Yep - I would strongly fancy our chances should Man C win and we beat Ipswich 

 

In effect cancels Villa’s win plus reduces the matches in order for them to overturn the deficit with Chelsea v Forest game 38 to come - if it goes to us vs Everton, I’ll take it right now 

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Wouldnt mind a draw in City vs Villa. Dont take it at all for granted that City will finish their season better than them. 

 

Wolves are on a very good run with 5 wins in a row.

Fulham and Bournemouth will both probably be fighting for a spot in Europe and are very good teams at their best. 

City themselves have looked far from impressive.

 

So them sharing 2 points instead of 3 seems good to me. Especially if Forest wins today and we maybe have to stay ahead of both.

 

 

Edited by Displayname

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Massive game for Forest tonight, I keep thinking the pressure might get to them, and if they lose tonight I can see them crumbling, but likewise should they win tonight, it will give them renewed confidence to kick on. 
 

praying for a favour from Spurs but can’t count on them for anything unfortunately.

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City-Villa is a win-win scenario. Someone has to lose points.

 

We just need to beat Ipswich, there's not a bad scenario if we win. 

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6 minutes ago, STM said:

City-Villa is a win-win scenario. Someone has to lose points.

 

Can't agree with this like

 

We need a man city win. Their run in is a piece of piss and they'll get top 5 either way

 

Loss for villa will mean we can go back 5 points clear of them on Saturday with 4 games left

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3 minutes ago, jack j said:

Can't agree with this like

 

We need a man city win. Their run in is a piece of piss and they'll get top 5 either way

 

Loss for villa will mean we can go back 5 points clear of them on Saturday with 4 games left

Yep , surprised at the amount of people I have seen saying otherwise but a Villa win would be a disaster. Man City are getting top 5 regardless and looking at the fixtures Villa have after tomorrow they will get 70+ points if they beat Man City .

 

 

Edited by Geogaddi

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29 minutes ago, STM said:

City-Villa is a win-win scenario. Someone has to lose points.

 

We just need to beat Ipswich, there's not a bad scenario if we win. 


Nope. A Villa win would be worst case scenario.

 

We need Spurs (lol) and City to do us a favour this week.

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1 hour ago, Displayname said:

Wouldnt mind a draw in City vs Villa. Dont take it at all for granted that City will finish their season better than them. 

 

Wolves are on a very good run with 5 wins in a row.

Fulham and Bournemouth will both probably be fighting for a spot in Europe and are very good teams at their best. 

City themselves have looked far from impressive.

 

So them sharing 2 points instead of 3 seems good to me. Especially if Forest wins today and we maybe have to stay ahead of both.

 

 

 

 

City has lost 3 games in the league since end of december. Those 3 being against Arsenal, Liverpool and Forest. In the same period they've won 9, and while they haven't looked all that convincing in just about any of those, they are winning games anyways. They don't need many chances.

 

Liverpool hasn't exactly looked like the galacticos, but yet they are on their way to ~90 points. Don't let the gameplay decieve you, it's the results that counts. Looking far from impressive doesn't deduct points from you.

 

 

Edited by Erikse

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I suppose i just have confidence in us getting the job done.

 

City were awful against Everton. If they play like that against Villa, Villa will beat them.

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3 minutes ago, STM said:

I suppose i just have confidence in us getting the job done.

 

City were awful against Everton. If they play like that against Villa, Villa will beat them.

 

Probably the only game they have a decent chance of losing. And that one is more like a 50/50.

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My dad (Villa fan) kept telling me that Man City didn't look good at all against Everton, and through the entire game I said don't worry, they will get there in the end anyways. That's just what they have been doing against these weaker sides in 2025.

 

 

Edited by Erikse

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I think Chelsea and Forest are the two teams most likely to drop out from our rivals. Can see Villa winning every game

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4 minutes ago, Erikse said:

My dad (Villa fan) kept telling me that Man City didn't look good at all against Everton, and through the entire game I said don't worry, they will get there in the end anyways. That's just what they have been doing against these weaker sides in 2025.

 

 

 


Everton have been very good at grinding out results since Moyes’ appointment. That was always going to be an ugly win at best for City.

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I think some are hoping abit much for a Forest "pressure"collapse. Yes they had a couple of wobbly results but it would take a full blown collapse to lose some of their remaining fixtures. 

 

Even tonight, yes it's away to Spurs but in the context of this season it's a team that's been in the top 3 most of the season Vs a team 14th-17th, who play really open and struggle to score goals. Forest are solid at the back generally and absolutely rapid and clinical on the counter. 

 

Every single one of their games is very winnable against mostly teams with nothing to play for (Palace, Leicester, West Ham) except Chelsea at the end of the season but they might already be secured by then so might not even do us a favour by beating them.

 

Same for Villa, beat Man City and unless they struggled with balancing the fa cup semi and the league, decent fixtures against teams that again have started to look like they have run out of gas for the season, Fulham & Bournemouth. They will beat Man U and Spurs at a canter. 

 

Chelsea are the only ones I was confident will miss out, but they went and won unexpectedly yesterday. They will beat Liverpool, they will already be champions and will be on the beach. Again Man U guaranteed 3 points and then only games I see them losing now could be against us and Forest. 

 

So yeah it's going down to that last game against Everton and always was as it's too tight not to. 

For me we have to win all the home games and get something away in one of the other 2.

 

 

Edited by alexf

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1 hour ago, Ronaldo said:


Everton have been very good at grinding out results since Moyes’ appointment. That was always going to be an ugly win at best for City.

 

City were fortunate, but we have talked about how unconvincing they look since december. They are the masters of unconvincing wins at this point. The problem is that the weaker opponents often need more chances to score than what they do.

 

If there's one team that will keep their nerves in check, it's Man City. They have so much experience with tight run ins and important games.

 

 

Edited by Erikse

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The Joao Pedro suspension is massive for the Brighton, which I think swings it our way. Also, bare in mind that Sven is due back in the next few games, so we'll be able to change the back 4 a little if required, or go to 3 against Arsenal. Don't forget that he is by far our best CB  as well. I think we win the next 3, which will calm all the nerves in here, and give us breathing space. The mentality of the squad is different to last time we were in this position, they'll be looking at finishing 3rd rather than just making the Champions League

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24 minutes ago, M1tche said:

The Joao Pedro suspension is massive for the Brighton, which I think swings it our way. Also, bare in mind that Sven is due back in the next few games, so we'll be able to change the back 4 a little if required, or go to 3 against Arsenal. Don't forget that he is by far our best CB  as well. I think we win the next 3, which will calm all the nerves in here, and give us breathing space. The mentality of the squad is different to last time we were in this position, they'll be looking at finishing 3rd rather than just making the Champions League


It’s Danny Welbeck that worries me - gets a goal every time 

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