The Europeometer™ (2024/25) - NUFC Qualify for Conference League (at least)

[Novocastrian]

City will beat Villa, they won’t want to get dragged down despite an ‘easier’ run in.

[ExiledGeordie]

It’s not beyond the realms that we beat Ipswich and then beat Brighton leaving us needing to beat either Chelsea or Everton to seal it.

[Ikon]

12 minutes ago, The Prophet said:

 

I'm the opposite. Villa are very unconvincing away from home. Their underlying numbers are terrible, granted they've improved in recent weeks.

I hope you’re right. City win would be the best. 

[Ikon]

1 minute ago, Novocastrian said:

City will beat Villa, they won’t want to get dragged down despite an ‘easier’ run in.

They are so pedestrian while Villa are the opposite. I hope you’re right. As has been mentioned, Villa haven’t been that great away. 

[The College Dropout]

The Chelsea draw last week was a bonus.  
 

We always would need to beat them at home and if we have no further injuries or suspensions and Howe back I’m so confident we‘ll do it. 
 

 

[The College Dropout]

People keep assuming City will qualify but they are liable to drop a bunch of points. 
 

Having the best goal difference I think will save them. it might be that close. Lose to Villa and they will need to win their remaining ifixtures 

[black_n_white]

Knee jerk but this is looking all too familiar, every team winning bar is this weekend.

[El Prontonise]

2 minutes ago, black_n_white said:

Knee jerk but this is looking all too familiar, every team winning bar is this weekend.

 

As opposed to other weekends when we won and results went our way?

 

That's football.  It's in our hands.

 

 

Edited 12 hours ago by El Prontonise

[Andy84]

We will beat Chelsea like absolutely no doubt about it 

[The Prophet]

Still not sure why the bookies still have Villa as such big outsiders...

 

[Leemond]

I think we're over the worst of it now. The main issue we have is squad depth. However, we play once every 7 days. Should be no issue with fatigue now. It's ours to lose.

[Ketsbaia]

Uncomfortable with needing to beat Chelsea. They're not particularly good but I want to know that a draw would be ok.

 

Just mad that in 24 hours it's gone from "one point at Villa and we're nearly there" to "shit, this could genuinely go either way"

 

Always had Chelsea today down as a draw, so there's two points lost.

 

Howay, City  

[The College Dropout]

3 minutes ago, The Prophet said:

Still not sure why the bookies still have Villa as such big outsiders...

 

Vila are reliant on others dropping points as they have the worst goal difference. Their odds will change drastically if they beat City. As it stands they have the smallest margin for error. 

[The College Dropout]

1 minute ago, Ketsbaia said:

Uncomfortable with needing to beat Chelsea. They're not particularly good but I want to know that a draw would be ok.

 

Just mad that in 24 hours it's gone from "one point at Villa and we're nearly there" to "shit, this could genuinely go either way"

 

Always had Chelsea today down as a draw, so there's two points lost.

 

Howay, City  

Did you have them winning last week? I did. I had today as a draw or defeat but it’s levelled out. 

[midds]

You just know both Brighton, Everton and Arsenal will be desperate to throw a stick in our wheels too. Can't think we have many clubs who dislike us more and would love to see us fail, comes with the territory though

[alexf]

Brighton away is the one I'm most nervous about. I think we will hopefully have too much for Ipswich. Also believe we'll turn up for the Chelsea game fingers crossed  I think we lose away to arsenal and beat Everton final day. So I think we have to get maximum points away to Brighton. 

 

Everyone else's fixtures look far kinder than ours. 

[The Prophet]

Given one is against Chelsea, winning our home games should still be enough. Hopefully we make things more comfortable with a win at Brighton too.

 

 

Edited 11 hours ago by The Prophet

[Shadow Puppets]

Every model I’ve done of the run in says that 66 pts will be enough.

 

So two wins and a draw.

 

But it’ll be proper nervy.

 

3 wins will 99% be enough.

[JUICE690]

I wouldn't pay much attention to their form / league position. Brighton always seem up for it against us. Real bogey team.

[alexf]

3 minutes ago, JUICE690 said:

I wouldn't pay much attention to their form / league position. Brighton always seem up for it against us. Real bogey team.

I'm hoping our boys have abit of fire in the belly themselves for getting dumped out the cup by then. Particularly Gordon. Let's hope he channels it into a performance. 

 

 

Edited 11 hours ago by alexf

[The Prophet]

5 minutes ago, JUICE690 said:

I wouldn't pay much attention to their form / league position. Brighton always seem up for it against us. Real bogey team.

 

We usually play them really early on mind. This is the first time we've played them late on with a few injuries, suspensions and nothing to play for.

[Geogaddi]

3 minutes ago, Shadow Puppets said:

Every model I’ve done of the run in says that 66 pts will be enough.

 

So two wins and a draw.

 

But it’ll be proper nervy.

 

3 wins will 99% be enough.

I don't think 66 will be enough , can see Man City and Villa getting at least another 10 points looking at the games they have left . That puts them both on 68 and 67.  Forest have the likes of Leicester,West Ham and Spurs, you couldn't really hand pick three better games at this point. 

[The College Dropout]

1 hour ago, The Prophet said:

Given one is against Chelsea, winning our home games should still be enough. Hopefully we make things more comfortable with a win at Brighton too.

 

 

 

Agreed. I thought 68 to be safe. 69 might be the breathing space number. 
 

I don’t think 66 will be enough out right. Perhaps on GD.  

[NSG]

Would people take going into the last game vs Everton needing a win to guarantee CL?

[nemtizz]

As grim as it would be, yes.