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The Europeometer™ (2023/24) - permutations in O.P.


Rich

The TopFourometer™ (2023/24)  

614 members have voted

  1. 1. How likely are we to finish top four this season? 0 = nee chance, 5 = can’t call it, 10 = nailed on marra



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I thought we’d get 4-6 points from the last three games. So 7 is a decent return. It just feels like it’s the wrong way round. Dropping points at home to Luton in what should have been the easiest game. 
 

If we manage to win next weekend. Then we’ve put together a good mini run of form considering how the season has gone. Before a free hit away to Arsenal.

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44 minutes ago, The College Dropout said:

Would take 7th. The ceiling is 6th and I think Man U will take that.   
 

Even if Villa fell off I don’t think we have enough about us to get to 5th. Not enough CMs, too many reinjuries. 
 

 

Think Villa will drop away.

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22 minutes ago, The College Dropout said:

I would love to catch them but I don’t think we will. We’ll do well to finish within 3 points of them imo.  

Given that we’re 10 points away from them as it stands I’d say we’d do very well to finish within 3 points. 

 

 

Edited by KDT

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I agree 5th is probably too far unless we’re blessed on the injury front the rest of the way (wouldn’t bet on it) and someone else has it bad. That said…

 

Everyone from 3rd to 11th still have to play City, except for us.

 

Everyone from 4th to 10th still have to play Liverpool, except for us.

 

Liverpool, City, Arsenal, Villa, West Ham, and Brighton have extra European games.


Villa still play the entire top 11 (except us).

 

Points will be dropped all around us.

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If we somehow get Willock, Anderson, Isak and Pope back in the next 4 weeks and don't lose anyone else for longer than a week we might have an extremely small chance of getting 5th. But tbh I'd be happily to take 7th and the FA Cup, I'm not greedy.

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I was mainly looking at our respective goals conceded in the past 2 years, last season after 24 games we had only conceded 17 (and it was only 13 after 22 games, but conceded 2 vs Liverpool and then Man City), by far the lowest in the league at that stage, but this season we've already conceded 39, and only 7 teams have conceded more.

 

The main thing that shocked me though was that we are only 5 points worse off than what we were at this stage last season, 36 vs 41, but after those aforementioned back to back defeats, we were just about to win 5 in a row, or 8 of the next 9, and you just can't see a run like that happening this season

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1 hour ago, Dr. TC said:

More like how far we have dropped behind. 

 

Cheery one, you.

 

If it makes you feel any better, as a few others have noted, we're 5 points off our points total at this stage last season which isnt that much of a drop considering the circumstances of this season.

 

Even if we kept up the pace of last season and sourced those five points from somewhere we'd jump a stonking.. one spot in the table and still be five points behind Villa who have a game in hand in 4th.

 

It's as much teams have improved as it is us 'dropping behind' this season. 

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11 minutes ago, Ikon said:

I thought it was as much as 8 points worse. 

 

 

 

We were admittedly draw specialists last season, but we've actually won more games this season

 

image.thumb.png.8943288e51ad725e23de04313e16d248.png

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1 minute ago, Paullow said:

We were admittedly draw specialists last season, but we've actually won more games this season

 

image.thumb.png.8943288e51ad725e23de04313e16d248.png


Cheers. Good to see. Not that I’m very surprised or anything. 

 

 

Edited by Ikon

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20 minutes ago, Ikon said:

I thought it was as much as 8 points worse. 

 

Right now we're only 5 points off where we were last season when we had a couple of losses and loads of draws. Unfortunately this season it's been losses but with a couple of wins in there to make up the numbers.

 

We're now going into a run of 10 games where our record last season was excellect - won 8 lost 2 - so I expect we'll fall further behind during this period. 

 

 

Edited by Kid Icarus

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6 minutes ago, Kid Icarus said:

We're now going into a run of 10 games where our record last season was excellent - won 8 lost 2 - so I expect we'll fall further behind during this period. 

Eh, did we not draw against Arsenal away last season?

 

 

Edited by Stifler

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1 minute ago, Stifler said:

Eh, did we not draw against Arsenal away last season?

 

I'm talking about the equivalent point in time last season rather than opponent by opponent.

 

On that basis I think we're further behind.

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1 minute ago, Kid Icarus said:

 

I'm talking about the equivalent point in time last season rather than opponent by opponent.

 

On that basis I think we're further behind.

Oh right, fair enough.

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