Superior Acuña Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 (edited) Edited August 30, 2023 by Superior Acuña Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
James Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 2 minutes ago, Wolfcastle said: Bare in mind there's not a cat in hells chance we play our first team. we will because the fixtures at at time actually are beneficial towards playing the fringe players at the weekend Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Decky Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 (edited) 4 minutes ago, Wolfcastle said: Bare in mind there's not a cat in hells chance we play our first team. If we get a good result away to Sheffield our next game is Burnley at home, we could afford to play a very strong team with good rotation in those games. I can't see Eddie and co taking this cup lightly after last seasons journey in it. We'll see I suppose but I still think we can do it. I hate the idea that we're to think we're beaten before a ball is kicked, although that might change tomorrow if we've to play away to Real Madrid. Edited August 30, 2023 by Decky Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
HaydnNUFC Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 That scenario is why Livramento is a very good signing. Otherwise we'd have had to play Trippier in all those games or Manquillo against Man City. Wouldn't fancy giving Krafth Man City as his first competitive game back. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisMcQuillan Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 (edited) Man Utd have been drawn at home 9 out of their last 10 FA Cup Draws, and 5 out of their last 6 Carabao Cup draws. Chances of that happening randomly are 0.18%. Edited August 30, 2023 by ChrisMcQuillan Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bizza Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Utterly fucking typical draw Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Super Duper Branko Strupar Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 We're at home. Bring them on. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superior Acuña Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 (edited) 24 minutes ago, ChrisMcQuillan said: Man Utd have been drawn at home 9 out of their last 10 FA Cup Draws, and 5 out of their last 6 Carabao Cup draws. Chances of that happening randomly are 0.18%. Any particular combination of draws over the course of 16 ties is of low probability. Edited August 30, 2023 by Superior Acuña Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisMcQuillan Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 2 minutes ago, Superior Acuña said: Any particular combination of draws over the course of 16 ties is of miniscule probability. Not really. An equilibrium between the two is the most probable. So 8 home and 8 away is around 19%. The more "extreme" it gets in any one direction, the probability drops off significantly. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superior Acuña Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 (edited) 11 minutes ago, ChrisMcQuillan said: Not really. An equilibrium between the two is the most probable. So 8 home and 8 away is around 19%. The more "extreme" it gets in any one direction, the probability drops off significantly. Sorry yes you're right that taking all combinations. My point is that I don't think it's suspicious given the many draws across the teams that a team has a low probability run over a few years. Edited August 30, 2023 by Superior Acuña Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kanji Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 6 minutes ago, Superior Acuña said: Sorry yes you're right that taking all combinations. My point is that it's not suspicious though, if that's what you were implying. Glad we both tasted Wembley in February mate Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superior Acuña Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 6 minutes ago, Kanji said: Glad we both tasted Wembley in February mate I'll be honest, part of me will be relieved if we don't make another final for a few years. I'm going to be a financial wreck if we're getting to them regularly while I'm living in North America. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maineblue Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 (edited) Oh well, so be it getting knocked out by you guys.. If you beat us go on and win it that’s what I will say. Edited August 30, 2023 by Maineblue Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coffee_Johnny Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 4 minutes ago, Maineblue said: Oh well so be it getting knocked out by you guys.. Well, the league cup circa 2014, is the only time I’ve seen us beat you (in your new guise…) much to the distress of my City supporting son (who was with me aged about 5). So I’m going for same result again. 2-0 (no, not to the away team this time!) Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
nemtizz Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Genuinely hope we put the kids out and lose so we can focus on winning the CL. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maineblue Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 20 minutes ago, Coffee_Johnny said: Well, the league cup circa 2014, is the only time I’ve seen us beat you (in your new guise…) much to the distress of my City supporting son (who was with me aged about 5). So I’m going for same result again. 2-0 (no, not to the away team this time!) I vaguely remember the game, think sissoko scored for you guys. btw how comes your son supports the sky blues ? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
madras Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 5 minutes ago, Maineblue said: I vaguely remember the game, think sissoko scored for you guys. btw how comes your son supports the sky blues ? Bad parenting (obvs). Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coffee_Johnny Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 1 minute ago, Maineblue said: I vaguely remember the game, think sissoko scored for you guys. btw how comes your son supports the sky blues ? His home town team; and all the outlaws’ influence . Newcastle are supposed to be his ‘second team’ (took him to SJP a few times when he was little) though you wouldn’t know it; unless we’re playing Man Utd. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Oregon_Geordie Posted August 31, 2023 Share Posted August 31, 2023 Cup game, at home! Let's have a fucking go! They only beat us 1-0 at their gaff. It's not a foregone conclusion. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheBrownBottle Posted August 31, 2023 Share Posted August 31, 2023 Didn’t realise so many would be down about this one. Your best chance of beating Man City is now, not in the later stages when they take it seriously. That’s not to say that they’ll roll over or owt, but it is a home draw. If we get last them then at least Man City & Spurs are already gone. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheBrownBottle Posted August 31, 2023 Share Posted August 31, 2023 3 hours ago, jack j said: Third wownd of the cawabow cup *Fird wownd Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheBrownBottle Posted August 31, 2023 Share Posted August 31, 2023 2 hours ago, ChrisMcQuillan said: Man Utd have been drawn at home 9 out of their last 10 FA Cup Draws, and 5 out of their last 6 Carabao Cup draws. Chances of that happening randomly are 0.18%. I think you dropped this: Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stottie Posted August 31, 2023 Share Posted August 31, 2023 (edited) It's hard to explain, but I think we've reached a point where to move forward, we need more competitive games against hard opposition to learn how to play hard opposition on equal or near-equal terms. I suspect this was a problem against Liverpool at the weekend. Aside from the revenue, getting into the CL so early in the project should be a great experience for the lads in this regard. In this Carabao cup game, City will not be at anything like full strength, but they will still be playing City style football and Pep will be calling the shots and managing the game. They'll be more to gain from this experience than we'd get playing a Mansfield low block. Edited August 31, 2023 by Stottie Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Displayname Posted August 31, 2023 Share Posted August 31, 2023 5 hours ago, nemtizz said: Genuinely hope we put the kids out and lose so we can focus on winning the CL. Thought i was the only one, actually smiled when i saw the draft Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Darth Crooks Posted August 31, 2023 Share Posted August 31, 2023 4 hours ago, Oregon_Geordie said: Cup game, at home! Let's have a fucking go! They only beat us 1-0 at their gaff. It's not a foregone conclusion. Will we be successful? I’ll let you judge that when I tell you that we once got beat by only 1-0 - by a little-known Mancunian outfit called Citeh. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
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