NG32 Posted July 12, 2010 Share Posted July 12, 2010 How long before some german pervert tries to shag the octopus? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
mrmojorisin75 Posted July 12, 2010 Share Posted July 12, 2010 How long before some german pervert tries to shag octopus? pretty sure one of them is at it right now Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdckelly Posted July 12, 2010 Share Posted July 12, 2010 hes retiring from predictions Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
OzzieMandias Posted July 12, 2010 Share Posted July 12, 2010 hes retiring from predictions Obviously wants to go out at the top. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fenham Mag Posted July 12, 2010 Share Posted July 12, 2010 Hanging his Tentacles up Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disco Posted July 12, 2010 Share Posted July 12, 2010 Just read that the chances of his predictions being right the whole way through are 0.116%. He's one game away from it, ridiculous Don't know where you got that stat from. Assuming Paul's predictions were no better than fair coin flips, the probability of 12 or more successful predictions in 14 attempts is ~0.65%, as given by the binomial distribution. And the probability of 8 successful predictions out of 8 attempts is ~0.39% Gahaha, just noticed. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
OzzieMandias Posted July 12, 2010 Share Posted July 12, 2010 It's a short career, being a prophetic cephalopod. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Village Idiot Posted July 12, 2010 Share Posted July 12, 2010 How long do these animals live anyway? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdckelly Posted July 12, 2010 Share Posted July 12, 2010 How long do these animals live anyway? depends on the species i've read, up to 5 years i think is the most Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Village Idiot Posted July 12, 2010 Share Posted July 12, 2010 He would be 4+ years by the time of the next Euro, so makes sense retiring him now. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
AyeDubbleYoo Posted July 12, 2010 Share Posted July 12, 2010 He would be 4+ years by the time of the next Euro, so makes sense retiring him now. Plus he'll probably get the next 10 predictions wrong. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
OzzieMandias Posted July 12, 2010 Share Posted July 12, 2010 Punters gambling on the mystic mollusc's predictions have won up to half a million pounds during the month-long tournament, according to bookmakers William Hill. http://www.guardian.co.uk/football/2010/jul/12/paul-psychic-octopus-wins-world-cup Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
NG32 Posted July 12, 2010 Share Posted July 12, 2010 Punters gambling on the mystic mollusc's predictions have won up to half a million pounds during the month-long tournament, according to bookmakers William Hill. http://www.guardian.co.uk/football/2010/jul/12/paul-psychic-octopus-wins-world-cup Is an octopus a Mollusc? I thought they were part of the cephalopod crew? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
ponsaelius Posted July 12, 2010 Share Posted July 12, 2010 Just read that the chances of his predictions being right the whole way through are 0.116%. He's one game away from it, ridiculous Don't know where you got that stat from. Assuming Paul's predictions were no better than fair coin flips, the probability of 12 or more successful predictions in 14 attempts is ~0.65%, as given by the binomial distribution. And the probability of 8 successful predictions out of 8 attempts is ~0.39% Aye, that then. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaizero Posted July 12, 2010 Share Posted July 12, 2010 Just read that the chances of his predictions being right the whole way through are 0.116%. He's one game away from it, ridiculous Don't know where you got that stat from. Assuming Paul's predictions were no better than fair coin flips, the probability of 12 or more successful predictions in 14 attempts is ~0.65%, as given by the binomial distribution. And the probability of 8 successful predictions out of 8 attempts is ~0.39% Aye, that then. Bookies over here would have given 421,36 in odds before the tournament for the predictions of Paul, which means that £100 on it would have returned £42136 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ketsbaia Posted July 12, 2010 Share Posted July 12, 2010 Surely (1/3)^3 x (1/2)^4 ?? Multiplying by 100 converts it to 0.23%. Thats the simple way of looking at it. But it depends if Paul had a way of predicting draws in the group games. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted July 12, 2010 Share Posted July 12, 2010 Just done it on Sky, starting off with a quid and reinvesting the winnings every time would see you end up with £821. Not bad. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gash Posted July 12, 2010 Share Posted July 12, 2010 On Yahoo says if you put a tenner on the accumulator at the beginning would have won £2000! Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaizero Posted July 12, 2010 Share Posted July 12, 2010 On Yahoo says if you put a tenner on the accumulator at the beginning would have won £2000! Bookies over here would have given 421,36 in odds before the tournament for the predictions of Paul, which means that £100 on it would have returned £42136 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
OzzieMandias Posted July 12, 2010 Share Posted July 12, 2010 Punters gambling on the mystic mollusc's predictions have won up to half a million pounds during the month-long tournament, according to bookmakers William Hill. http://www.guardian.co.uk/football/2010/jul/12/paul-psychic-octopus-wins-world-cup Is an octopus a Mollusc? I thought they were part of the cephalopod crew? I thought the same. Apparently they're both. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
TaylorJ_01 Posted July 12, 2010 Share Posted July 12, 2010 On Yahoo says if you put a tenner on the accumulator at the beginning would have won £2000! Bookies over here would have given 421,36 in odds before the tournament for the predictions of Paul, which means that £100 on it would have returned £42136 Bahaha, it's funny because he got so excited about it. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
OzzieMandias Posted July 13, 2010 Share Posted July 13, 2010 Some other oracles did not fare so well in the World Cup. The animals at the Chemnitz Zoo in Germany were wrong on all of Germany's group-stage games, with Leon the porcupine picking Australia, Petty the pygmy hippopotamus spurning Serbia's apple-topped pile of hay, and Anton the tamarin eating a raisin representing Ghana. Mani the Parakeet of Singapore picked the Netherlands to win the final. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paul_%28octopus%29 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Snrub Posted July 13, 2010 Share Posted July 13, 2010 Paul (hatched January 2008) Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thespence Posted July 13, 2010 Share Posted July 13, 2010 When looking the TV he always seemed to pick the box on the right, anyone ever see him pick the box on the left? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Village Idiot Posted July 13, 2010 Share Posted July 13, 2010 Yes, for Germany - England http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=74PWmVHwqPY Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now