Relegationometer

[bowlingcrofty]

If we somehow get 7 points from next 4 games I’ll be down to a 3. Today’s result was absolutely massive.

[BlackandWhite]

We need to win those Brighton and Swansea home games or my fear of relegation won’t be at any less ease.

[sempuki]

We need to win those Brighton and Swansea home games or my fear of relegation won’t be at any less ease.

At least a draw at Stoke too.

[Twinport53]

As Fat Sam says, if your points match you games played, your heading for safety. Played 19, won 18. That'll do for the minute.

[Geordie Ahmed]

Rafa wanted 20 points by the end of the year didn't he?

 

A win against Brighton has us on 21 and denies them points which would be canny.

[Yorkie]

Just looking at the upcoming fixtures: ManC (h), Brighton (h), Stoke (a), Cup, Swansea (h)... fuck, it's a really critical little period, this. Needs to be six points minimum if we're gonna stay out of the relegation zone.

[Skeletor]

Still 10 for me and will be until some quality players have signed for us.

 

Imagine how absolutely wank we've been recently.

 

Then consider that with that one win today we're 15th in the form table over the last six games. Even in the last ten matches where we've lost eight of them, West Brom have only gained as many points as us, and Swansea only one point more. Watford and Southampton have only gained three points more than us.

 

The results have been absolutely awful for seemingly yonks and we're four points away from the top half.

 

We're perfectly capable of going 8 losses in 9 again. Like I said, until quality players are through the door I'm staying at 10. The win at West Ham whilst brilliant still feels like the anomaly.

[Dave]

But my point is that even losing like that isn't particularly any worse than our competition is doing. You're assuming not only that we're not going to get any better that they all are.

[54]

Still 10 for me and will be until some quality players have signed for us.

 

Imagine how absolutely wank we've been recently.

 

Then consider that with that one win today we're 15th in the form table over the last six games. Even in the last ten matches where we've lost eight of them, West Brom have only gained as many points as us, and Swansea only one point more. Watford and Southampton have only gained three points more than us.

 

The results have been absolutely awful for seemingly yonks and we're four points away from the top half.

 

We're perfectly capable of going 8 losses in 9 again. Like I said, until quality players are through the door I'm staying at 10. The win at West Ham whilst brilliant still feels like the anomaly.

Surely a 10 means absolute certainty, like we need 9 points from our 3 games to survive type stuff. Not, were 2 points ahead of the relegation zone while on bad form?

[Dokko]

Still 10 for me and will be until some quality players have signed for us.

 

Imagine how absolutely wank we've been recently.

 

Then consider that with that one win today we're 15th in the form table over the last six games. Even in the last ten matches where we've lost eight of them, West Brom have only gained as many points as us, and Swansea only one point more. Watford and Southampton have only gained three points more than us.

 

The results have been absolutely awful for seemingly yonks and we're four points away from the top half.

 

We're perfectly capable of going 8 losses in 9 again. Like I said, until quality players are through the door I'm staying at 10. The win at West Ham whilst brilliant still feels like the anomaly.

Surely a 10 means absolute certainty, like we need 9 points from our 3 games to survive type stuff. Not, were 2 points ahead of the relegation zone while on bad form?

 

You’re mixing statistical logic with gut feeling. This thread is always gut feeling or we’d simply just pull out the latest odds and go off that. No need for any debate.

[Dave]

Results pretty good for us today.

[Yorkie]

An Everton winner away from it being perfect tbh.

[Heron]

Aye, exactly. Extremely unlikely but a win tomorrow would be a nigh on perfect Christmas break. So long as we follow it up with no defeats vs Stoke and Brighton.

[ExiledGeordie]

 

Brighton and Stoke are huge matches to set us up for the new year one way or another

[Heron]

Beating Brighton is most important out of those games that are almost upon us. We've taken 3 from Stoke so taking a draw away to them wouldn't be terrible. Beat Brighton and get anything other than an absolute dicking of Man City and we're doing okay.

[Twinport53]

Personally think 4 points from Man City, Stoke and Brighton would be more than okay.

[Yorkie]

Personally think 4 points from Man City, Stoke and Brighton would be more than okay.

 

Absolutely, four points from those two football matches would be a very decent return.

[Optimistic Nut]

And then Swansea at home. 6-7 points going into the next time we play Man City away is important.

[Dokko]

And then Swansea at home. 6-7 points going into the next time we play Man City away is important.

 

Then Citeh are out of the way for the rest of the season.

[Ketsbaia]

Ok scores today, although West Brom are hanging in there and have a good set of players.

 

Don't see Bournemouth as a realistic relegation candidate tbh.

[BergenMagpie]

Ok scores today, although West Brom are hanging in there and have a good set of players.

 

Don't see Bournemouth as a realistic relegation candidate tbh.

 

The only teams I can see going down are Swansea, WBA, Bournemouth, Stoke, us and maaybe Soton/Hammers.

[Ketsbaia]

Ok scores today, although West Brom are hanging in there and have a good set of players.

 

Don't see Bournemouth as a realistic relegation candidate tbh.

 

The only teams I can see going down are Swansea, WBA, Bournemouth, Stoke, us and maaybe Soton/Hammers.

 

Agree that Palace, Southampton and probably West Ham won't drop. Huddersfield amassing points as well.

 

So it's us, Swansea, West Brom, Brighton or Stoke.

[mrmojorisin75]

Swansea are as good as down.

 

Take your pick on the other two.

Remember everyone wanking themselves to death when they got Sanches

[Heron]

Everyone in the league has to play City again and other teams of a similar calibre. No team is as good as down yet, I don't think. (Sorry if it was tongue in cheek.)

What I would say though is that the likes of Swansea, West Brom, West Ham, etc., are unlikely to roll the dice with new managers again, so if it's not working now, and continues in a similar vein into mid-Feb some of those might well be a good shout for relegation fodder.q

[Stifler]

Brighton could easily have a poor 2nd half of the season. They have never filled me with confidence in getting results, and if they have a bad spell then their confidence could go and that could finish them off.