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The Europeometer™ (2024/25) - NUFC Qualify for Champions League


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2 hours ago, The Fountain said:

Not if Chelsea beat Spurs by a good score. 

 

He said 'could'. Given that scenario also requires Chelsea losing to Forest, odds are probably our GD would not be worse than theirs. Suffice to say the collection of circumstances required for us to finish 7th are possible but pretty remote!

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13 hours ago, JLC said:

Oddschecker.com has us at 1/25 for a top 5 finish

Mad that, especially when it’s guaranteed all of our rivals will win all of their games.

 

Really makes you think.

 

Le Tissier Goat GIF by Southampton FC

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Posted (edited)

We’re obviously hoping that either Chelsea or Villa drop points tonight (unlikely but you never know) or that we can somehow pull off a win on Sunday which would be amazing. But it’s almost certainly going to come down to us putting Everton away on Sunday. That could be a tough fixture as they’ve picked up recently but I’m still confident of this team and its mentality having the composure to get the job done. 
 

(There’s obviously other squeaky bum situations relying on the final Forest match but we don’t want to go there at all!)

 

 

Edited by ExiledGeordie

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What is absolutely insane is that a spurs and Man Utd double is over 50s. £20 on that and it comes in would be a pretty lovely day. Of course I’ve lumped on the Chelsea Villa double to ensure it doesn’t happen

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Posted (edited)

Dunno why but I feel like at least one result will go our way this weekend.

 

If we say there's a small 20% chance of us beating arsenal, a 20% chance of man u drawing or beating Chelsea, and a 20% chance of spurs drawing or beating villa.

 

Individually those are all unlikely to go our way but collectively there's a 50% chance (if my maths is right) of at least one of those things happening and just one of those would be huge.

 

 

Edited by t00nt00n313

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Feel like Spurs are the most likely to field a minging line-up tonight. Man Utd probably just about have enough to depth to rest a couple of those available and still have a semi-decent team out. Don’t think that’s the case with Spurs.

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24 minutes ago, Paully said:

At least one of Villa or Chelsea are dropping points tonight!

Nah. Man Utd and Spurs are an absolute joke 

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I'll be watching the games tonight more in hope than anything else.

 

For all that players will be concentrating on the final, surely a few will want to come in and stake a claim to be playing in it? And surely neither will want to go into it on the back of a hammering either.

 

Anyway, while yes there's always a chance, like most, I do think in reality it's all most likely to go down to the last game.

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There is absolutley no danger of Man Utd or Spurs doing us any favours, they effectivley forfeited the league in Feb/Mar.

 

The good news is that since Eddie's come in, we've become better at getting ourselves over the line when we need to, this season especially.

 

It'd be nice for one of those useless fucks to help us out tonight, but I have every faith that we'll take care of business ourselves anyway.

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2 hours ago, t00nt00n313 said:

Dunno why but I feel like at least one result will go our way this weekend.

 

If we say there's a small 20% chance of us beating arsenal, a 20% chance of man u drawing or beating Chelsea, and a 20% chance of spurs drawing or beating villa.

 

Individually those are all unlikely to go our way but collectively there's a 50% chance (if my maths is right) of at least one of those things happening and just one of those would be huge.

 

 

 

you are right as the double of villa and chelsea is 4/5 which added with arsenal double chance bumps it to 6/5 which make it less than 50% chance of happening

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Looking at it again, I'll probably just be watching for a laugh. 

 

I suppose there's always a chance Caicedo just runs around kicking lumps out of people again and a ref finally sends him off, which would be nice.

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Dunno where 20% chance is coming from for Man U or Spurs. I'd say 99.9% chance of loss. Neither team give a shit about the league and certainly not with both worried about more injuries. 

 

We can't cry about it however as we already took 12 points off both of them so we can't begrudge others playing them. I was more annoyed at the likes of Liverpool, Fulhamand Bournemouth who all took loads of points off us yet didn't turn up against Chelsea and Villa.

 

Just need to take care of our own business. 

 

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Despite Man U being a pale imitation of themselves I still think Amorim needs to and will pull a league from somewhere... blind faith I suppose!

The Aussie at Spurs is win or bust for the final so can't see them doing anything in either league game other than losing by two in each or worse

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34 minutes ago, alexf said:

Dunno where 20% chance is coming from for Man U or Spurs. I'd say 99.9% chance of loss. Neither team give a shit about the league and certainly not with both worried about more injuries. 

 

We can't cry about it however as we already took 12 points off both of them so we can't begrudge others playing them. I was more annoyed at the likes of Liverpool, Fulhamand Bournemouth who all took loads of points off us yet didn't turn up against Chelsea and Villa.

 

Just need to take care of our own business. 

 

It comes from the betting companies. They live of this shit so probably knows more than us.

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Just hope we get it done this weekend as the thought of Pickford at full time next Sunday if them lot  win Saturday and that twat denies us CL football is horrendous!

 

Ive got every bit of faith in Eddie and the lads though!

 

2nd!

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50 minutes ago, Displayname said:

It comes from the betting companies. They live of this shit so probably knows more than us.


There’s literally no football match where the result is 99% certain. 
 

Even Madrid v Oxford Utd there’d be one match where their striker breaks his leg and they score two own goals. 
 

That said, Man U and Spurs are really bad. 

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