The Europeometer™ (2024/25) - NUFC Qualify for Conference League (at least)

[Elma]

4 hours ago, Stottie said:

I reckon we'll do it barring a collapse. A collapse is possible, but would be very uncharacteristic for us under Eddie Howe. This collapse would also have to come following a run where we've scored 18 goals in six games, four more than anyone else, 9 more than Forest, and 12 more than Chelsea.

 

The no. 1 form team in the league is Wolves, who play Man City at home next. City also play Fulham away. I don't quite get the idea of them being a shoo-in based on who they play.

Think City will beat Wolves but it won't be a walkover. Wolves have a very streaky fixture list this season so their unbeaten six match run has been Southampton, West Ham, Ipswich, Spurs, Man U and Leicester. Literally the bottom six. They'll have taken confidence from that but City will have too much for them at home. Fulham away will be the tricky one.

 

 

Edited 12 hours ago by Elma

[Skeletor]

Win the home games. Any points in the away games are a bonus.

[The College Dropout]

16 minutes ago, Skeletor said:

Win the home games. Any points in the away games are a bonus.

Been that way for some time.  68 with our GD almost certainly secures it with those 2 home wins. 

[Jewel]

I know it's a really long shot, but could do with Spurs winning today. Means Liverpool will still have something to play for against Chelsea.

[Nucasol]

Just now, Jewel said:

I know it's a really long shot, but could do with Spurs winning today. Means Liverpool will still have something to play for against Chelsea.

[Jewel]

In hindsight, Arsenal drawing the other day against Palace was not a good result for us. If Arsenal had won it would have meant Liverpool still needing something from Chelsea to wrap the title up, even after beating Spurs today.

[Nucasol]

Just now, Jewel said:

In hindsight, Arsenal drawing the other day against Palace was not a good result for us. If Arsenal had won it would have meant Liverpool still needing something from Chelsea to wrap the title up, even after beating Spurs today.

Arsenal getting through the CL semis and wrapping players in cotton wool ahead of the final is more important. Means we can up the intensity against them and they’ll bottle it again.

[Jewel]

1 minute ago, Nucasol said:

Arsenal getting through the CL semis and wrapping players in cotton wool ahead of the final is more important. Means we can up the intensity against them and they’ll bottle it again.

 

That is true.

 

I was just pointing out that Arsenal dropping points against Palace was not a good result for us.

[STM]

I think we will beat Brighton and that will effectively give us the Chelsea game to seal it.

[Hanshithispantz]

We'll finish ahead of Arsenal still man. They have Bournemouth sandwiched between 2 PSG games, then Anfield 4 days later for Liverpool's after party.

 

 

Edited 8 hours ago by Hanshithispantz

[Elma]

1 minute ago, Hanshithispantz said:

We'll finish ahead of Arsenal still man. They have to go to Bournemouth, sandwiched between 2 PSG games, then Anfield 4 days later for Liverpool's after party.

 

I'd love it, love it if we beat them...

[TRon]

Joelinton being fit might still have a big bearing on where we finish. I don't really like any of the options we have to replace him.

[Shadow Puppets]

1 hour ago, STM said:

I think we will beat Brighton and that will effectively give us the Chelsea game to seal it.

 

That wouldn't seal it. It would knock Chelsea out of the running (depending on their result against Liverpool), but I think we're still going to need to get to 69 points to actually seal it. Think Villa are more than capable of bouncing back and winning their last 4 games.

[MagPar]

21 hours ago, ExiledGeordie said:

CL is vital for holding onto and attracting certain players this summer never mind the world of PSR. Our squad is thin but the new format of the champions league makes it more manageable with recruitment. Also give your head a wobble and have a bit of positivity ffs 😂 We’re 3rd and have every chance of qualifying. 
 

 

Sorry bud but I was born pessimistic. Expecting the worst makes it harder to feel let down 😕 . 

[MagPar]

20 hours ago, Superior Acuña said:

There’s a possibility of Liverpool not turning up. But the idea of ‘not being able to see it’  Liverpool have lost two games all season and they’re playing a rival, that’s just silly.
 

People get off on being pessimistic here so they can be smug if we fail. Look at the relegation thread in Howe’s first year, was insufferable.

I don't get off on being pessimistic, it's just the way that life has conditioned me. I hope in the next life that I'm an eternal optimist. 

[BermyToon]

What do you reckon Villa getting knocked out of the FA Cup would do for the CL race?

[The Prophet]

4 minutes ago, BermyToon said:

What do you reckon Villa getting knocked out of the FA Cup would do for the CL race?

 

Not a lot.

[Crimson Cardigan]

34 minutes ago, BermyToon said:

What do you reckon Villa getting knocked out of the FA Cup would do for the CL race?

They were devastated by the late loss to City, and they properly took that into Palace where they were rinsed, and their players looked knackered. Now Rashford is out I think them winning 4 in a row will be a huge ask for them.

[TRon]

1 hour ago, BermyToon said:

What do you reckon Villa getting knocked out of the FA Cup would do for the CL race?

 

More interested in what them losing out on the CL positions would do given they have gambled quite a lot on expensive loan signings in the hope of qualifying again.

[Andy]

7 minutes ago, TRon said:

 

More interested in what them losing out on the CL positions would do given they have gambled quite a lot on expensive loan signings in the hope of qualifying again.

 

Were they really that expensive? Not sure what wage they're on, but even if they're paying £400,000 a week for them combined for 20 weeks or so, that's only 8 million quid. They probably made that back in progressing through the CL this season. 

[Stifler]

2 hours ago, Shadow Puppets said:

That wouldn't seal it. It would knock Chelsea out of the running (depending on their result against Liverpool), but I think we're still going to need to get to 69 points to actually seal it. Think Villa are more than capable of bouncing back and winning their last 4 games.

We are currently 5 points ahead of Villa. If we beat Brighton and then Chelsea, we would still be at least 5 ahead of Villa with only 6 points left to play for.

Considering Chelsea play Liverpool next in the league, and Villa have 2 games against teams going for Europe left to play, we could easily be in a position where winning our next 2 games results in us finishing in the top 5.

[johnny36]

Looking at Forests 5 remaining games..The only one thats a banker is Leicester..They have Brentford on Thur night..Palace away, Leicester, West Ham and Chelsea..Can see them dropping points in at least 2 of those fixtures

[Stifler]

1 minute ago, johnny36 said:

Looking at Forests 5 remaining games..The only one thats a banker is Leicester..They have Brentford on Thur night..Palace away, Leicester, West Ham and Chelsea..Can see them dropping points in at least 2 of those fixtures

Leicester is a little bit of a derby though. With them already being relegated, there is absolutely no pressure on Leicester at all, and all the pressure will be on Nottingham Forest due to expectation, and hopes for a Champions League spot.

[Novocastrian]

5 minutes ago, Stifler said:

Leicester is a little bit of a derby though. With them already being relegated, there is absolutely no pressure on Leicester at all, and all the pressure will be on Nottingham Forest due to expectation, and hopes for a Champions League spot.

Leicester gave us a scare the last time we were chasing PL. They also got relegated that season. Only a Nick Pope save got us the point we needed.

[TRon]

1 hour ago, Andy said:

 

Were they really that expensive? Not sure what wage they're on, but even if they're paying £400,000 a week for them combined for 20 weeks or so, that's only 8 million quid. They probably made that back in progressing through the CL this season. 

 

There are usually pretty hefty loan fees as well, that is why most clubs avoid loan deals these days.