Froggy Posted November 28, 2023 Share Posted November 28, 2023 2 minutes ago, Nine said: If Villa can maintain their consistency at home they should stay within touching distance of top 4 all season, as always though the common denominator will be down to luck with fitness and injuries. Villa have no chance of getting fourth. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Froggy Posted November 28, 2023 Share Posted November 28, 2023 3 minutes ago, gbandit said: Rod coming out swinging, you love to see it. Unfortunately it’s a bit early in the day for Rod to be leathered. Come back this evening and show Froggy what you’re all about Rod He should maybe wait until Wednesday, as there's a fair chance today doesn't end well for Rod and co. We'll be out of the CL tomorrow so he go hell for leather then. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
54 Posted November 28, 2023 Share Posted November 28, 2023 3 minutes ago, Froggy said: Villa have no chance of getting fourth. You mean like we had no chance of getting fourth last season? They have one of the best managers in the league, have made Villa Park and absolute fortress, and a place they will barely drop points at. They have a huge amount of depth, and only have to deal with the Conference League. While it's not definite, they 100% can get in this season. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
NE27 Posted November 28, 2023 Share Posted November 28, 2023 6 minutes ago, Froggy said: Villa have no chance of getting fourth. Not arguing, but why are you so certain of that? I've been impressed with villa so far this season, and see no reason why they can't keep it up much like we did last season. I'd say pound for pound, they have a slightly better squad than us also. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
SUPERTOON Posted November 28, 2023 Share Posted November 28, 2023 10 minutes ago, Froggy said: Villa have no chance of getting fourth. What a load of shit Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Prophet Posted November 28, 2023 Share Posted November 28, 2023 Even going into the World Cup sitting in third, I still didn't think we'd finish top four. It was only after we'd overcome a rough patch and won three games in a week, including one v our direct rivals that I knew we could do it it. Perhaps that's just me being too cautious. That's why I think it's too early to be ruling Villa in for fourth. There's a reason only two teams have cracked the big six's domination of it in twenty years, it's a long old season and a rough spell will come. It's all about how they manage and overcome that. Personally, if fourth is beyond us, I hope they do it though. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Froggy Posted November 28, 2023 Share Posted November 28, 2023 44 minutes ago, 54 said: You mean like we had no chance of getting fourth last season? They have one of the best managers in the league, have made Villa Park and absolute fortress, and a place they will barely drop points at. They have a huge amount of depth, and only have to deal with the Conference League. While it's not definite, they 100% can get in this season. Yes sorry I probably shouldn't have said no chance. They have a 5% chance. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
mondonewc Posted November 28, 2023 Share Posted November 28, 2023 6 minutes ago, Froggy said: Yes sorry I probably shouldn't have said no chance. They have a 5% chance. Not sure if you're trolling but... Villa are around 2/1 for top 4, and your lot are as big as 5/1. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Froggy Posted November 28, 2023 Share Posted November 28, 2023 5 minutes ago, mondonewc said: Not sure if you're trolling but... Villa are around 2/1 for top 4, and your lot are as big as 5/1. We have no chance. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
STM Posted November 28, 2023 Share Posted November 28, 2023 Villa look a waaaay better side than Man Utd. I look at Man Utds top 4 push the same way I looked at the Spurs title push. They've had a few good results but ultimately they just aren't at that level. Man Us performances have been awful for ages and performances absolutely do count. They are the indicator for what to expect in the future. Out of Villa, Newcastle and Man U, which do you think are more likely to win home games against other top 6 sides? I'd back us and Villa any day over Man U. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
STM Posted November 28, 2023 Share Posted November 28, 2023 Also, Froggy, love you babe. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
mondonewc Posted November 28, 2023 Share Posted November 28, 2023 2 minutes ago, Froggy said: We have no chance. The Man U odds were just for my pleasure, it's the simple things in life... Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Froggy Posted November 28, 2023 Share Posted November 28, 2023 Just now, mondonewc said: The Man U odds were just for my pleasure, it's the simple things in life... Odds will fluctuate massively anyway. If Villa were to their next game and we were to beat you at the weekend we would be favourites over them for top four. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hanshithispantz Posted November 28, 2023 Share Posted November 28, 2023 Villa will have had top 4 form for about a year now I'd imagine, I'm sure @brummie will have the stats. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
r0cafella Posted November 28, 2023 Share Posted November 28, 2023 1 minute ago, Hanshithispantz said: Villa will have had top 4 form for about a year now I'd imagine, I'm sure @brummie will have the stats. It’s better to just be in denial about how good they are Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
mondonewc Posted November 28, 2023 Share Posted November 28, 2023 2 minutes ago, Froggy said: Odds will fluctuate massively anyway. If Villa were to their next game and we were to beat you at the weekend we would be favourites over them for top four. I'm still half asleep and convinced you're trolling lol, but I'll bite, you obviously must see that suggesting Villa has a 5% chance of getting top 4 whilst being priced at 2/1 wildly doesn't add up? And yeah future results will have an effect on these odds, I agree Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Prophet Posted November 28, 2023 Share Posted November 28, 2023 2 minutes ago, Hanshithispantz said: Villa will have had top 4 form for about a year now I'd imagine, I'm sure @brummie will have the stats. 3rd with 77 points, over the last 38 games I believe. Superb form. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kid Icarus Posted November 28, 2023 Share Posted November 28, 2023 3rd since Emery came in I think. Very similar to us, only a few points between us. Good to know that both of the managers we looked at are both excellent like. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
SUPERTOON Posted November 28, 2023 Share Posted November 28, 2023 Wonder how @Rod feels about the job Emery is doing, he was very vocal against him not that long ago. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
r0cafella Posted November 28, 2023 Share Posted November 28, 2023 1 minute ago, SUPERTOON said: Wonder how @Rod feels about the job Emery is doing, he was very vocal against him not that long ago. Let’s not become a kaka tribute act. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
The College Dropout Posted November 28, 2023 Share Posted November 28, 2023 2 hours ago, Optimistic Nut said: They'll have a spell like Spurs have had at some point, we just need to stay within sort of 6-7 points while we have these injuries and capitalise when they do. Any team that finishes 4th-5th will have spells like that though. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Froggy Posted November 28, 2023 Share Posted November 28, 2023 7 minutes ago, mondonewc said: I'm still half asleep and convinced you're trolling lol, but I'll bite, you obviously must see that suggesting Villa has a 5% chance of getting top 4 whilst being priced at 2/1 wildly doesn't add up? And yeah future results will have an effect on these odds, I agree They're my percentages. City are 8/13 to win the league but I'd give that a 99% chance. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
The College Dropout Posted November 28, 2023 Share Posted November 28, 2023 IIRC Bruno had the highest Xa in the league but underperformed his actual Xa because team mates. Rashford overperformed his Xg from memory. So the two aren't as connected as Froggy is making out. Rashford was ruthless. The rest of the team was not. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
The College Dropout Posted November 28, 2023 Share Posted November 28, 2023 My hope for Villa is they run deep in the Conference but have tough ties. When they have to play their best team Sunday, Thurs, Sunday, Thurs performances will dip. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
gbandit Posted November 28, 2023 Share Posted November 28, 2023 I think if we had not been laid low with injuries and not been in Europe then we’d get top 4 this season but I think it’ll be too much for us this year. This stretch of games until January is going to be a nightmare. I’m not going to be devastated if we don’t make it. This season is just about building the squad, trying to get to a final of a cup competition as a minimum and making as good a fist of it in the league and Europe. Anything below 7th in the league would be a serious disappointment however Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
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