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The Europeometer™ (2023/24) - permutations in O.P.


Rich

The TopFourometer™ (2023/24)  

615 members have voted

  1. 1. How likely are we to finish top four this season? 0 = nee chance, 5 = can’t call it, 10 = nailed on marra



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1 minute ago, The Prophet said:

Nothing between 7th and 13th, could be a bit of a free for all from Bournemouth up.


I hadn’t looked at the table in a long time and had no idea how close we were/are to being 13th instead of 8th. :lol: 

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End of March comparison against expected points total for sixth; taking into account relative difficulty of fixtures. 

 

image.png.defdde35fdb5726401c287edec2def36.png

 

We sit three points below where we should be for average PL season sixth place finish. We need to find 19 points from 9 games (2.1 ppg, which is pretty much what we amassed in the 36 games in 2022 calendar year) to be in with a shout of sixth. We'd also need Man Utd to drop below 1.6 ppg (can't see it...) plus West Ham and Brighton (also Wolves and Chelsea) to continue pretty much as as they have been/not mirror, or better, our upturn in form.  

 

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Still think we will struggle for top 7 with the way we defend. It really is a massive concern with the amount of goals we concede, and with how easy we are to score against.

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24 minutes ago, RodneyCisse said:

I think we get around 60 points, no idea where that would put us but any type of Europe next season would be class.

Just worked it out and the average points total required for 7th, over last 31 seasons, is 58 (57.51). 8th place average is 54. 
 

If we do manage 60 points that would almost guarantee 7th. 

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We're not getting 6th like, especially with Dubravka in goal. 7th is the aim and 5 wins from the last 9 should be enough.

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Beat Everton and its still on.

 

Lose to Everton, have a melt down and it's off.

 

Beat Fulham and its still on on

 

Lose to Fulham, have a meltdown and its off.

 

Beat Tottenham and its still on.

 

Lost to Tottenham, have a meltdown  and its off

 

Beat Manchester United and its still on

 

Lose to Manchester United, have a meltdown and its off. 

 

Beat Crystal Palace and its still on

 

Lose to Crystal Palace, have a meltdown and its off.

 

Beat Sheffield United and its still on.

 

Lose to Sheffield United, have a meltdown and its off.

 

Beat Burnley and its still on.

 

Lose to Burnley, have a meltdown and its off

 

Beat Brighton and its still on.

 

Lose to Brighton, have a meltdown and its off

 

Beat Brentford and its still on.

 

Lose to Brentford, have a meltdown and declare it the worst season in our entire history. 

 

 

 

 

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41 minutes ago, TBG said:

Beat Everton and its still on.

 

Lose to Everton, have a melt down and it's off.

 

Beat Fulham and its still on on

 

Lose to Fulham, have a meltdown and its off.

 

Beat Tottenham and its still on.

 

Lost to Tottenham, have a meltdown  and its off

 

Beat Manchester United and its still on

 

Lose to Manchester United, have a meltdown and its off. 

 

Beat Crystal Palace and its still on

 

Lose to Crystal Palace, have a meltdown and its off.

 

Beat Sheffield United and its still on.

 

Lose to Sheffield United, have a meltdown and its off.

 

Beat Burnley and its still on.

 

Lose to Burnley, have a meltdown and its off

 

Beat Brighton and its still on.

 

Lose to Brighton, have a meltdown and its off

 

Beat Brentford and its still on.

 

Lose to Brentford, have a meltdown and declare it the worst season in our entire history. 

 

 

 

 

I can't believe you took the time to type that out.

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2 hours ago, Beth said:

We're not getting 6th like, especially with Dubravka in goal. 7th is the aim and 5 wins from the last 9 should be enough.

 

If 8th is enough to get us into Europe, that'll do me.

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5 hours ago, TBG said:

Beat Everton and its still on.

 

Lose to Everton, have a melt down and it's off.

 

Beat Fulham and its still on on

 

Lose to Fulham, have a meltdown and its off.

 

Beat Tottenham and its still on.

 

Lost to Tottenham, have a meltdown  and its off

 

Beat Manchester United and its still on

 

Lose to Manchester United, have a meltdown and its off. 

 

Beat Crystal Palace and its still on

 

Lose to Crystal Palace, have a meltdown and its off.

 

Beat Sheffield United and its still on.

 

Lose to Sheffield United, have a meltdown and its off.

 

Beat Burnley and its still on.

 

Lose to Burnley, have a meltdown and its off

 

Beat Brighton and its still on.

 

Lose to Brighton, have a meltdown and its off

 

Beat Brentford and its still on.

 

Lose to Brentford, have a meltdown and declare it the worst season in our entire history. 

 

 

 

 


 

Had no clue we have such a weak schedule to end the season. Should be winning all of those and can also get a result against spurs and Utd 
 

palace Brentford Brighton burnley Sheffield Everton should all be 3 points. 
 

fulham I can see being a draw maybe. 
 

wouldn’t be surprised if we got something from spurs
 

Am I crazy for thinking 5th isn’t impossible if spurs and united choke a bit and we pick up 18 points off the easy matches above and maybe 1-3 off the others. 
 

 

spurs play arsenal, liverpool, west ham and us. Of those only arsenal is a home match for them. 
 

Divided play liverpool arsenal Chelsea and us. 
 

we would have to be near perfect but stranger things have happened. 

 

 

Edited by Sufi

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if we end up top 6/7 after the dust settles this season I think that would be a MASSIVE achievement 

 

still a long way to go with more injuries to look forward to 

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12 hours ago, Sufi said:

Had no clue we have such a weak schedule to end the season. Should be winning all of those and can also get a result against spurs and Utd 

 

Palace Brentford Brighton burnley Sheffield Everton should all be 3 points. 
 

Wouldn’t be surprised if we got something from spurs

 

This kind of whacky, er is it optimism or hubris, is what gets people shouting for Eddie's head when at least one of those fixtures defaults to reasonable expectations. A draw, for instance 😂😂😂😏

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13 hours ago, Sufi said:


 

Had no clue we have such a weak schedule to end the season. Should be winning all of those and can also get a result against spurs and Utd 
 

palace Brentford Brighton burnley Sheffield Everton should all be 3 points. 
 

fulham I can see being a draw maybe. 
 

wouldn’t be surprised if we got something from spurs
 

Am I crazy for thinking 5th isn’t impossible if spurs and united choke a bit and we pick up 18 points off the easy matches above and maybe 1-3 off the others. 
 

 

spurs play arsenal, liverpool, west ham and us. Of those only arsenal is a home match for them. 
 

Divided play liverpool arsenal Chelsea and us. 
 

we would have to be near perfect but stranger things have happened. 

 

 

 


We have had a favourable run in since we came out of January, this extends for the rest of the season apart from the odd game here and there.

 

If we carry on with the same form since then we will finish with about 57 points, although there is no reason why we shouldn’t pick up more than that as our form from February to now has been hit and miss.

 

The good news is there is no team playing like Brighton and Villa did last year chasing sixth and seventh spot.

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We will get battered off Man United away like. That's 6th gone. 

 

Right now I wouldn't fancy us to go to the likes of Brentford and get a result.

 

If we finish 7th we are for the most entertaining run in ever. The main reason we should be hopeful is because West Ham are well capable of losing games.

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10 minutes ago, STM said:

We will get battered off Man United away like

 

:lol: You will beat us if you take your chances. We don't batter anyone. You'll have 20 shots and will need to score 2 or 3 of them.

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2 minutes ago, Froggy said:

 

:lol: You will beat us if you take your chances. We don't batter anyone. You'll have 20 shots and will need to score 2 or 3 of them.

 

Look mate. We are shitter than you right now and I don't want any arguments about it. :lol:

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8 minutes ago, STM said:

Look mate. We are shitter than you right now and I don't want any arguments about it. :lol:

 

:lol: Fair enough, but I really don't think so. 

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